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Google Inc: Preparing for the Death of Search

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It's no secret that Google makes its living from advertising, both display and search-related. How much of Google's $15.42 billion in revenue generated in the recently completed 2014 first quarter is attributable to search? That's not something CEO Larry Page chooses to share, but it's safe to say Google search still drives a significant portion of overall sales.

Research firm eMarketer estimates that Google will earn $15 billion in net search advertising revenue this year, a jump of about $1 billion from 2013. Yahoo! earned over one-third of its $1.13 billion in revenue last quarter from search. And the ancillary revenues derived from search likely make up an even bigger portion of each search giant's total advertising pie. But what if online search started to decline drastically, or, worse yet, disappear altogether?

What's the problem?
The long-term concern is the growing number of online users who are shifting from desktops to all-in-one mobile devices. Mobile users don't use search as often as PC users, they're too busy running their apps. According to one mobile industry pundit, on average Android smartphone users search the Internet with a browser, such as Google or Yahoo!, a mere 1.25 times daily.


Though Yahoo! was able to buck the declining search revenue trend last quarter compared to its 2013 first quarter -- sending it up 5% to $445 million on a generally accepted accounting principles basis -- CEO Marissa Mayer can read the writing on the wall. Not only is Yahoo! aggressively building out its content offerings in an effort to transform itself into a destination site, in addition to a portal like Google, both companies are laser-focused on boosting their respective suite of mobile solutions.

According to eMarketer, Google's new mobile-friendly enhanced campaigns -- which essentially force advertisers to go mobile if they want to bid on desktop ads -- as well as product listing advertising alternatives, are helping to offset the trend of fewer mobile searches. Product listings include pictures and are historically more effective for Google's advertisers.

But neither Google nor Yahoo! are out of the woods, and both think they've found the solution. This shouldn't be surprising considering Mayer's history as the head of Google's products division a few years back.

The solution
A steady drop in mobile search should spell big trouble for the two search giants, right? It would, except for something called "context," or what Mayer referred to in 2010 while with Google as "contextual discovery." According to Mayer four years ago, contextual discovery was "a little like getting search results without having to actually perform the search." Though she's since updated her term to contextual search, the concept's the same. With so much data at the fingertips of these search giants, the idea is to provide you with the information you need, before you ask for it.

Mayer cited a couple of examples, including your smartphone automatically loading the menu of a restaurant you just arrived at, without requiring a search of the web. That was four years ago, and Mayer still loves the idea. At a tech conference a few months ago, Mayer echoed her same theme from 2010 regarding context.

Not surprisingly, Google has been hard at work developing the right way to substitute mobile context for search, too. Google introduced a watered-down version of context search when it rolled out its voice recognition search a year ago. But a lot has changed in the past year, which is confirmed by last year's hands-free "upgrade," which Google targeted exclusively for PCs. A truer version of the future of search is Google's Now solution. Google Now isn't the end of its search for context, but it's getting closer.

Final Foolish thoughts
Mayer remains "long on search," and hopes to continue growing revenue from the division, particularly via mobile. Nor has Google given up its search efforts, there's simply too much on the line to do that. So the "death" of search may be slightly exaggerated, but Ellison and Mayer both recognize that search as we know it today won't be the search of tomorrow. Is context search too much of a good thing? Some might find it a bit unsettling to learn their smartphone knows what they want before they do. But ready or not, here it comes.

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The article Google Inc: Preparing for the Death of Search originally appeared on Fool.com.

Tim Brugger has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Google (A shares), Google (C shares), and Yahoo!. The Motley Fool owns shares of Google (A shares) and Google (C shares). Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Opportunity Abounds As Non-European Carriers Move Into European Skies

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Having a strong network is key to an airline's success, and European routes are becoming highly sought after by non-European airlines. Actions taken by Delta Air Lines and Etihad Airways are shaking up who competes for the money spent by European travelers.

Airline regulation
Through the latter half of the 20th century, most nations moved to deregulate their airline industries, thus allowing carriers to pick new routes, new times, charge different prices, and compete with one another.

However, compared to most other industries, airlines still remain highly regulated when it comes to international routes and ownership. Most nations have restrictions on the ownership and control of airlines that operate within their aerospace, and the European Union is no exception. According to Reuters, to obtain an operating license in the E.U., carriers must be at least 50% owned and "effectively controlled" by an E.U. member state or citizens.


International airline management
With similar restrictions existing in the U.S. and Canada, airlines have used alliances of partner airlines to form strong international networks. Sometimes, to create a special partnership deal, airlines will purchase minority stakes in other airlines.

In Delta's case, the airline wanted to increase its presence at London Heathrow Airport, which is particularly popular with high-revenue business travelers. But with Heathrow being a highly popular, slot-restricted airport, Delta pursued a joint venture with Virgin Atlantic to increase its presence. By purchasing a 49% stake in Virgin Atlantic from Singapore Airlines, Delta and Virgin Atlantic established a joint venture to boost Delta's presence at London Heathrow.

Etihad Airways, a state-owned Middle Eastern carrier, has also been looking to compete in Europe but is subject to the same ownership laws as other non-European carriers. To get around this, Etihad has been establishing partnerships and buying stakes in European airlines, including Air Berlin and Aer Lingus.

Now, Etihad is eying Italian flag carrier Alitalia. Alitalia has had a long and mostly unprofitable history, with its most recent cash call resulting in the dilution of Air France-KLM's 25% stake down to 7% as the Franco-Dutch carrier declined to inject more money into the unprofitable airline.

As Alitalia is still looking for cash, Etihad is considering the airline as a way to expand its reach in Europe. Air France-KLM left talks concerning additional funding for Alitalia after Alitalia refused to more aggressively restructure debt and cut unprofitable operations. In February, Air France-KLM noted it was still interested in Alitalia if its conditions were met. This raises the possibility that if Etihad can extract better terms from Alitalia, both Air France-KLM and Etihad could move in to partner with and recapitalize the Italian flag carrier.

Investing in European skies
Etihad Airways is not open to outside investment because of its state ownership by Delta Air Lines and Air France-KLM are both publicly traded. Delta offers exposure to the U.S. airline market, parts of international markets, and a specialized joint venture between North America and London Heathrow.

Air France-KLM offers more direct European exposure along with the potential upside of a deal with Alitalia if an agreement can be reached. For U.S. airline investors, gaining some exposure to European airline operations can help round out an airline portfolio, making these carriers worth a look.

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The article Opportunity Abounds As Non-European Carriers Move Into European Skies originally appeared on Fool.com.

Alexander MacLennan owns shares of Delta Air Lines. Alexander MacLennan has the following options: long January 2015 $22 calls on Delta Air Lines, long January 2015 $25 calls on Delta Air Lines, and long January 2015 $30 calls on Delta Air Lines. This article is not an endorsement to buy or sell any security and does not constitute professional investment advice. Always do your own due diligence before buying or selling any security. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Here's How Apple Got Back Above $600

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After opening lower this morning, U.S. stocks finished ahead on Monday, with the benchmark S&P 500 gaining 0.1%. Meanwhile, the narrower Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.2%, while the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index was up 0.3%. In company-specific news, shares of the world's most valuable company, Apple closed above $600 for the first time in over a year and a half. That level in itself isn't particularly meaningful, but it's an opportunity to examine some of the factors that are underpinning the recovery in the share price -- and one that isn't!

Split happens
First, here's one reason Apple's stock didn't break $600: the imminent 7-for-1 stock split the company announced along with its fiscal second quarter results on April 23. The announcement may have had a (very) small, (very) short-term effect on the stock price, resulting from buying by short-term momentum "investors." Fundamentally oriented fund managers, on the other hand, won't have bought the stock on that basis. As far as making Apple's stock "more accessible to a larger number of investors," per the stock split FAQ on Apple's website, that wouldn't have any effect until the stock begins trading at its split-adjusted price on Monday, June 9. At this stage, the aggregate effect is zero.


Another bad argument I have read relating to the stock split is that it will enable Apple to be considered for inclusion in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and that this is positive for the share price. The Dow is price-weighted, so, at $600, Apple's stock would have a lopsided weighting in the index -- roughly 15 times that of Microsoft, for example. The original observation is correct: The stock split does remove a barrier to inclusion in the Dow. However, the conclusion is false, as the total amount of assets that track the Dow is insignificant.

(For an even more wonkish discussion of Apple's split, I recommend this post from the Financial Times' Alphaville blog -- registration may be required.)

Here's matters for Apple's stock price
Instead, the April 23 fiscal second-quarter results have clearly been the catalyst for a re-rating in the shares (from close just before the announcement, the stock is up 14.5%). Specifically:

  • Growth matters: In its March quarter, Apple soundly beat Wall Street's expectations on revenue and earnings-per-share (by 5% and 14%, respectively), proving that it still has the capacity to genuinely surprise investors and that its growth engine is not stalled, let alone reversed.
  • Cash matters: Simultaneously, Apple announced that it is raising its dividend by 15.5% and adding $30 billion to its existing share repurchase authorization, to be put to use before the end of 2015.

What's missing from this picture? As legendary activist investor Carl Icahn -- one of Apple's top shareholders -- tweeted on April 23:

Indeed, Apple CEO Tim Cook has promised a new product category this year; Apple has not launched a new product since the introduction of the iPad in January 2010. Will a new product be the catalyst for the next significant share gains? In the short term, it's the most obvious one, yes. Reuters ran a story this morning according to which the company is on a hiring spree in the area medical technology, which suggests a wearable technology device could be in the pipeline.

Longer term, a successful new product category will be instrumental in fueling Apple's future growth. At 12.2 times forward earnings per share, however, the growth hurdle for shares doesn't look excessive, particularly when one takes into consideration the beneficial effect of repurchasing shares that are undervalued. Naturally, however, the margin of safety is smaller today that it was on April 23, with the shares at $524.75 -- on that day, both Cook and Icahn declared they were still undervalued. The $600 level is another reminder that Apple shares are getting closer to fair value.

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The article Here's How Apple Got Back Above $600 originally appeared on Fool.com.

Alex Dumortier, CFA, has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Apple. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Why Whole Foods Market, Inc., Pfizer, Inc., and The Clorox Company Are Today's 3 Worst Stocks

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The stock market held its ground on Monday, ending with modest gains on a day that didn't bring much in the way of economic data. Wall Street's sole focus now is on earnings season, a fact that worked against shareholders in Whole Foods Market , Pfizer, , and The Clorox Company . One of these companies hasn't even reported earnings yet, but the mere anxiety surrounding the impending results was still enough to dent shares. The S&P 500 Index , for its part, added 3 points, or 0.2%, to end at 1,884.

Source: company website

Whole Foods Market is the only one of today's three laggards that hasn't yet announced earnings. Still, the market seems confident that the company will disappoint, an opinion evidenced by Whole Foods' 2.8% drop today. I think skepticism over its long-term prospects is well-founded: While Whole Foods has been remarkably successful to date, there's no stopping competitors from cashing in on the organic food craze. The stock was downgraded today by Wolfe Research and its price target was cut by Oppenheimer ahead of tomorrow's second-quarter results.

Shares of Pfizer lost 2.6% today, as the pharmaceutical giant reported sales significantly below expectations. While net income jumped 12%, revenue actually fell by 9% in the first quarter to $11.35 billion. Sales of the arthritis drug Celebrex, which could lose its patent protection at the end of this month, missed Wall Street forecasts by more than $75 million. Clearly demand for Celebrex was more elastic than expected, as those in need of arthritis medication showed their willingness to wait for a cheaper, generic alternative.


Finally, Clorox shares continued their recent slide, losing 2.5% on Monday. The stock has now lost ground in four of its last five sessions, including last Thursday, when the international consumer goods company reported subpar quarterly results. Investors don't look at Clorox stock and think, "Sign me up for some of that blowout growth!" but interestingly enough a major part of its investment appeal is tied to emerging markets. That's because overseas markets are, in a nutshell, the only place a company like Clorox can grow, given its saturation in the U.S. But with new markets come new risks, and Venezuela's recent decision to devalue its currency hurt Clorox, as proceeds from its operations in the country -- measured in bolivars -- converted more harshly to U.S. dollars, the language of Wall Street.

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The article Why Whole Foods Market, Inc., Pfizer, Inc., and The Clorox Company Are Today's 3 Worst Stocks originally appeared on Fool.com.

John Mackey, co-CEO of Whole Foods Market, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. John Divine has no position in any stocks mentioned.  You can follow him on Twitter, @divinebizkid , and on Motley Fool CAPS, @TMFDivine . The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Whole Foods Market. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Is the Stock Market Rigged?

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"Beware those who seek constant crowds, for they are nothing alone."
-- Charles Bukowski

"The United States stock market, the most iconic market in global capitalism, is rigged."

So says Michael Lewis. His most recent book, Flash Boys, has drawn a huge amount of scrutiny to what really isn't a new problem: high-frequency trading, or HFT. It's a debate that's been going on for some time on Wall Street, and we should be grateful for Lewis' storytelling ability to make such an arcane topic accessible to the general public.


The attention and scrutiny given to Flash Boys has resulted in the definitive answer to one question: "How can an author sell a lot of books?"

On other questions, there is unlikely to be a definitive answer, in part because of what is the most fascinating revelation of the debate so far: No one really knows how the stock market actually works.

To me the question is whether HFT is a malevolent force -- and I believe that it is. Further, I believe that the actions of the players are much more important than what they say. So while this debate will certainly focus on what Lewis got wrong (and make no mistake, he did get things wrong), those who profit from HFT will attempt to use those errors to extrapolate that Lewis' entire premise is wrong. In classical rhetoric, that's known as a "fallacy of stupidity."

Here's my own primer. It is basic and also certain to be wrong in parts (see "no one really knows," above).

1. The markets are, and have always been, about speed. There's a reason traders don't stand around the Buttonwood tree anymore, and why the stock market scene from Trading Places now looks so anachronistic. Electronic trading has made the buying and selling of stocks (and other financial instruments) more efficient, lowering spreads, and trading costs for everyone. HFT is a kind of electronic trading, but the two are not the same thing. I don't think that things like sub-second trading add much to the market (where "much" equals "liquidity"), but I sincerely doubt that this is the source of many problems, either.

2. Market participants have always accessed the market at different speeds. Some people traded by telegram while others went to telegraph. Others had phone access, then dial-up modem access, then broadband, then direct fiber collocated at the exchange. No competent argument should posit that access speeds to the markets should be identical for all participants because this is impossible. And dumb.

Market participants have similarly always used these speed differentials to their advantage. It's why companies set up massive day-trader pits in the 1990s. In our business of running mutual fund portfolios, we have certain algorithms that we use to trade to maximize efficiency. In a pari-mutuel system, maximized efficiency has always and will always come at the cost of the inefficient.

But a few years ago something changed, and to me it is at the center of the argument. The exchanges themselves (NYSE, Nasdaq, etc.) started providing information faster to those who paid for it, and also gave them the ability through their own algorithms to jump in front of other participants. By "faster" I mean that we're measuring in tiny fractions of seconds, but it's enough.

Those who insist that HFT is no big deal and actually adds efficiency and liquidity to the market have a hard time describing why this is cool. The fastest traders could simply make money by being the fastest, by having preferential access at the exchanges themselves. They don't care what they're trading -- Apple stock, frozen concentrated orange juice futures, whatever. They take advantage of their latency advantage to jump in front of other market participants -- and that latency is provided by the exchanges themselves.

That's what's different about HFT. The exchanges have sold certain participants privileged access and in turn pay those same participants to create volume, creating a situation in which HFT firms can pretty much make a guaranteed profit on every trade. A super-tiny profit, yes, which is why the HFT firms must make millions of trades a day. That's why they're called "high-frequency traders." HFT firms are investing hundreds of millions of dollars, and paying the exchanges enormous sums to get in front of the line, and we are to believe that this is a benign market function?

Basic business sense should tell you what's up here. The HFT guys are not stupid. The algorithms they create are mind-bendingly complex. And if they are going to invest such huge sums for preferential speed and access, they will demand (as they should) a satisfactory return on their investments.

I don't even blame the HFT guys here. The real villains, in my mind, are the exchanges themselves. I've argued a few times in these pages (most recently in Question Authority, Jan. 17, 2014) that one of the most dangerous things that's happened over the past 20 years in investing is that the exchanges themselves converted from private partnerships to publicly traded entities.

In my mind, having a quarterly number to hit to satisfy stockholders has given exchanges an almost irresistible incentive to compete with one another to maximize profits. And on occasions where you're just lowering your standards a little bit (See "reverse merger," "Chinese," "small caps," almost all of them as an example), then shareholder protection and fairness become that much more expendable. Self-interest does a strange thing to people. It corrupts.

So this leads to two questions:

  • "Is the market rigged?"
  • "Does this hurt me?"

As to the first, my answer is an unequivocal "yes," followed by "and this isn't new." HFT, as practiced by the exchanges' selling of asymmetric access to certain market participants, simply isn't fair. The HFT algorithms essentially attempt to influence the price of the market through tactics like "quote stuffing," which is about like it sounds. What we don't know is how far these market participants are willing to go to distort the market to their advantage.

The second question is much more important. Systemically, things that cause market participants to lose faith in that market are probably bad. But there are lots of things that manipulate stock markets. Federal Reserve policy is all about influencing investor behavior. So is capital-gains tax policy. It's possible that you've had a few pennies harvested from you during a trade.

There is an obvious solution to combat this: trade less. Be a long-term holder of businesses. Focusing on HFT as a reason to be in or out of the market is absurd. The stock market isn't Vegas or some crooked numbers game. It's a tool that allows ordinary folks like us to buy pieces of businesses, which, if you're doing it right, tend to appreciate in value. Some lose, yes, but ultimately your investment returns are overwhelmingly going to be driven by what investments you hold.

It's the Joshua Principle: "A strange game. The only winning move is not to play." Worrying about HFT as an individual investor is like worrying about sunspots. Yes, they might be bad for you, but not nearly as unhealthy as your three-chalupa lunch was. Frankly, out-of-control management compensation is a far, far bigger drag on your long-term investment returns than HFT could ever dream of being. Worry about that.

Returns in investing come from buying something for $1 and selling it for a lot more. If HFT causes you to buy it for $1.00000001 instead, is that really, truly harmful when you sell it for $2.63 years from now? Trading has both overt and hidden expenses to it, and those expenses can add up over time.

Speaking of "over time," in aggregate, stocks go up in value, over time. If you're buying and selling stocks in a hurry (or holding mutual funds that frequently turn over their asset base), you're leaving yourself more susceptible to the machinations (and manipulations) of the stock market. If you aren't, you aren't. Simple.

And read Michael Lewis' book. Whether it has wrongness built into it (and it does), it will give you an idea why our stock exchanges are threatening to surpass both Congress and the NCAA on the cravenness scale. They're the villains in this story, because they're supposed to promote fairness.

The article Is the Stock Market Rigged? originally appeared on Fool.com.

Bill Mann has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Apple. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Will Things Keep Going Burger King's Way?

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Despite facing intense competition and a tough economic environment, US restaurant chains Burger King Worldwide , Wendy's , and Chipotle Mexican Grill remained some of the most valuable buys in the restaurant industry during the last 12 months.

In this article, I will analyze why investors are betting on Burger King and examine what's in store for the restaurant chain in the future.

What drove Burger King's profits?
On April 25, Burger King announced its first-quarter earnings. The company posted earnings of $0.17 a share, up 69% from $0.10 a share a year earlier. However, revenue slipped 26% to $240.9 million. Excluding the impact of currency fluctuations and refranchising, total revenue grew by 6.9%. Same-store sales were up by 2%, including an increase of 0.1% in Canada and the U.S.


One of the major reasons for this remarkable earnings growth was a sharp decline in the company's expenses. The restaurant's expenses dropped by a staggering 86% to $15.5 million during the quarter. Last year, Burger King refranchised a net of 360 restaurants, which is why it's continuously incurring lower expenses.

More recently, Burger King's new food items such as Satisfries and the "Burger King" burger have done really well. With Satisfries doing a great job, the fast-food chain has replaced the standard fries with Satisfries in its popular Kid's Meal. Satisfries have 40% less fat and 30% fewer calories than standard fries.

In the last year, Burger King opened 670 net new restaurants around the world. In North America, the company continued reimaging and remodeling its existing restaurants. Burger King remodeled around 600 stores last year, or 30% of its 7,400 locations in the U.S. and Canada. By year-end 2015, the fast-food chain has a goal of remodeling 40% of its restaurants in the region.

In such a competitive market where consumers have so many restaurants to choose from, brand image plays a vital role. Alex Macedo, president of Burger King's North American business, said:

We recognize that when our guests drive down the street today, they have many dining options. In a competitive market, having a fresh new image is one of the main ways we can differentiate ourselves.

Recent developments
While Burger King is enjoying success from its international operations, it continues to expand its restaurant portfolio worldwide. It recently opened its first restaurant in the Kingdom of Brunei where it chose Sinofood Express as its franchisee. Apart from this, Burger King and ADM Food Services have collaborated to establish three Burger King restaurants in Martinique. The restaurants will be opened in Le Lamentin, Fort-de-France, and Guadeloupe.

Recently, Burger King partnered with AT&T to launch AT&T Wi-Fi services for its U.S. restaurants. The new platform, "WHOPPER Wi-Fi," which is easier to use and has enhanced connectivity, will replace the company's old Wi-Fi system. Numerous customers use the Internet while dinning at Burger King restaurants, and the new service will help in improving the overall customer experience at the fast-food chain.

Wendy's and Chipotle Mexican Grill
In March, Wendy's completed its system optimization initiative by selling 104 restaurants in four U.S. markets -- Phoenix, Los Angeles/Palm Springs, Hawaii, and Albuquerque, N.M. The system optimization initiative, which started last July, targets a transition into a franchise-based model. Its goal is to reduce the total system ownership from 22% to 15%. Under the initiative, Wendy's sold 418 company-operated restaurants in the U.S. The program also involves expansion plans, shutting underperforming stores, and reimaging its restaurants. Wendy's year-over-year capital appreciation stands at 46%.

After missing Wall Street's expectations in the first quarter, Chipotle's share price fell by more than 6% in after-hours trading. However, the company's earnings grew 8.5% from the comparable quarter of last year, as it reported earnings per share of $2.64. The company plans to open 180-195 new restaurants this year. It has also said that it will raise its prices by 3% to 5% in the coming weeks. Chipotle has given a year-over-year return of 38% to its investors.

Bottom line
Burger King's strategy of refranchising continues to pay off for the company. By reducing its expenses substantially, the fast-food chain is posting heavy profits. The company's new items, especially Satisfries, have also contributed to these profits, as they have enjoyed success of late. After doing pretty well in international markets, the company is expanding its brand, which will give a further impetus to its earnings in the coming years.

As the restaurant industry is inundated with many food companies, Burger King's decision to reimage its North American restaurants will prove to be a wise one. Given the fact that many customers these days use their smartphones and tablets to log on to the Internet, an improved Wi-Fi service will give Burger King a further edge over its competitors.

Burger King will continue to post incremental earnings in the coming days, largely due to its refranchising strategy. In short, buy Burger King.

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The article Will Things Keep Going Burger King's Way? originally appeared on Fool.com.

Waqar Saif has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Burger King Worldwide and Chipotle Mexican Grill. The Motley Fool owns shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Why King Digital Entertainment, Intermune, and Pharmacyclics Jumped Today

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This morning, it looked as though Monday would be a horrible day for the stock market, as worries about the health of China's economic growth and ongoing turmoil in Ukraine combined to send stocks falling at the open. Slowly but surely, though, stocks clawed their way back to small gains, and King Digital Entertainment , Intermune , and Pharmacyclics had some impressive moves higher in their share prices today.


Source: King Digital Entertainment.

King Digital Entertainment gained 8.5% after the maker of Candy Crush Saga got favorable ratings from several analyst firms. The firms pointed to the King Digital's potential to continue monetizing Candy Crush Saga and the company's other game offerings well into the future, with King Digital well-poised to keep profiting as mobile devices get more common not just in the U.S. but worldwide. The analysts' arguments attempt to counter the market's perception that King Digital is too dependent on its primary game, raising fears that it will flare out like other mobile-gaming companies before it. It's important to remember, though, that among the analysts making positive assessments on the stock were the lead underwriters on King Digital's IPO, and while the recommendations are supposed to be independent of the underwriting relationship, you'll want to draw your own conclusions about how much weight you give them.


Intermune rose 7%, adding to its 2% rise on Friday after the biopharmaceutical company impressed investors with its first-quarter earnings report. Intermune's losses were slightly larger than in the year-ago quarter, but sales of the company's idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis treatment Esbriet almost tripled from last year and rose 18% sequentially from the previous quarter. Although Esbriet is available in Europe, Intermune plans to resubmit an application for approval from the Food and Drug Administration in the U.S. after mid-year. If the FDA approves the drug, then Esbriet could launch as early as next spring. Although widening losses are always troubling, the fact that Intermune has demonstrated success with Esbriet is a positive sign for its future.

Pharmacyclics climbed 8%, regaining every bit of the ground it lost last Friday after its own earnings report failed to inspire the same confidence that Intermune's did. The maker of mantle-cell lymphoma treatment Imbruvica saw total sales soar as a result of the drug's approval and milestone payments associated with its success, turning a year-ago loss into a substantial profit. On Friday, investors seemed disappointed by Pharmacyclics' revenue guidance for the full year, which fell far short of what analysts were expecting. But given the demand for promising treatments, investors might well have decided Monday that Pharmacyclics has potential not just in its own right as an independent company but also as a possible takeover candidate.

Warren Buffett just bought nearly 9 million shares of this company
Imagine a company that rents a very specific and valuable piece of machinery for $41,000 per hour. (That's almost as much as the average American makes in a year!). And Warren Buffett is so confident in this company's can't-live-without-it business model, he just loaded up on 8.8 million shares. An exclusive, brand-new Motley Fool report details this company that already has over 50% market share. Just click here to discover more about this industry-leading stock, and join Buffett in his quest for a veritable landslide of profits!

The article Why King Digital Entertainment, Intermune, and Pharmacyclics Jumped Today originally appeared on Fool.com.

Dan Caplinger and The Motley Fool have no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Overstock.com Is No Match for the King of Online Retail

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Online retailer Overstock.com  and its big cousin Amazon.com  reported their earnings for the first quarter of fiscal 2014 the other week. It is clear from both online retailers' financial results that more and more consumers are choosing to shop online.

While Overstock.com reported modest growth for the first quarter with a 9% increase in net sales, Amazon.com reported much stronger growth of 18.3% over last year's first quarter despite its larger size. Although Overstock.com is experiencing impressive online sales growth which gives it an edge over traditional bricks-and-mortar retailers, it still has a long road ahead to catch up to Amazon.com.

The basic facts from the quarter
Overstock.com is off to a good start for fiscal 2014 with net sales climbing $29.2 million from the first quarter of 2012 to $341.2 million. This jump in revenue resulted partly from an increase in the average order amount from $153 to $165 as well as a 5% growth in the number of orders placed on the company's site.

Unfortunately, Overstock.com's profit fell to $4.0 million, or $0.16 per share, in the first quarter while in the year-ago quarter its net income totaled $7.7 million with earnings of $0.32 per share. A 25% increase in sales and marketing expenses for the quarter contributed to this decline in profit. For Overstock.com's sake, hopefully this increased spending will lead to higher sales volume in the future.


Just can't keep up with big brother
Overstock.com has done fairly well for itself over the past year. Despite the stiff competition from Amazon.com and the bigger company's reputation among consumers, Overstock.com has put up a good fight. However, its annual revenue is still no match for that of Amazon.com, as this online retail business continues to dominate against the rest, stealing sales left and right from all retailers. To see how Overstock.com and Amazon.com compare in terms of annual revenue over the past three years, see the chart below.

Company Name

FY 2011 Revenue Growth

FY 2012 Revenue Growth

FY 2013 Revenue Growth

Amazon.com

40.56%

27.07%

21.87%

Overstock.com

(3.3)%

4.27%

18.65%

It would be one thing if Overstock.com was much smaller than Amazon.com but growing much faster. However, this is not the case. For the past three years, Amazon.com has experienced double-digit growth in revenue, and it brought in $74.4 billion in fiscal 2013 alone. In comparison, Overstock.com just saw its first year of double-digit sales growth in 2013 on much smaller revenue than that of Amazon.com.

In fact, Overstock.com earned $73 billion less in net sales than Amazon.com did in fiscal 2013. All in all, Amazon.com is growing much faster than Overstock.com, and it's taking the next step for its long-term success by trying out its luck with video streaming. This latest move by Amazon.com will carry its business even further up the ranks from that of Overstock.com.

Foolish takeaway
Foolish investors should take note of everything Amazon.com is doing to transform its company from solely operating as a retailer to operating in the world of entertainment as well. While Overstock.com is growing its sales year after year, it's not making the kind of sales made by Amazon.com. For this reason, Amazon.com remains the king of online retail. Investors would be wise to do more research on Amazon.com to see what else it is currently working on to keep its business high above the rest.

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The article Overstock.com Is No Match for the King of Online Retail originally appeared on Fool.com.

Natalie O'Reilly has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Amazon.com. The Motley Fool owns shares of Amazon.com. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Why Allegiant Travel Company Sees Skies Free of Turbulence Ahead

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How is hybrid travel business Allegiant Travel faring in today's competitive landscape? In a word: great. The discount airline portion of the business can easily feel the pinch of increased expenses, but luckily it has a travel-booking segment to lend some relief to margins. The stock has booked a two-year gain of roughly 100 %, yet its run may still have legs. In its fiscal first quarter, the company reported healthy jumps in unit-level metrics and, even as the No. 2 low-cost carrier in the U.S., maintains one of the chunkiest operating profit margins in the business. The stock isn't the cheapest in the game, but investors still have plenty of reasons to get on board Allegiant.

Flying high
With the wind at its back, Allegiant is finding success on all levels of its business. The company has been firmly in the black for 45 consecutive quarters. In the first quarter, revenue climbed more than 10% to $302.5 million on the back of an all-time high in average fare and a 1.6% gain in PRASM, which is passenger revenue per available seat mile. Ancillary revenue, which includes the travel booking website, grew 4.1%.

Margins remain a strong point for the company, even though Allegiant saw continued cost bumps from maintenance and training during the first quarter. As reported last quarter, Allegiant's fleet is relatively old, and many of its MD-80s will be in service throughout this year. The company is also, wisely, upgrading other parts of its fleet to generate higher PRASM. In the first quarter, Allegiant brought into service two Airbus A320s, in addition to two more MD-80s reconfigured with 166 seats.


An 8.8% drop in fuel expense per available seat mile helped to keep the company's operating margin around 19% for the quarter.

Everything about the business is growing: 12 new routes were added this past quarter, while car rentals from the website grew by double-digit gains. The company has nearly 13% more full-time employees than it did one year ago. Growth often comes at the expense of margins, and Allegiant is certainly paying its dues to scale up its business, yet the margins remain intact and healthy. The bottom line came in at $1.86 per share -- almost a 13% gain over the prior year's $1.65 per share.

Will it stay up?
Allegiant is in the midst of substantial growth, but the company doesn't quite fit the profile of an asset-laden grower. For one thing, its balance sheet looks phenomenal with more than $300 million in cash and just $149 million in debt. This isn't a legacy carrier by any stretch of the imagination. Second-quarter PRASM is expected to rise 2%-4%, while full-year 2014 capacity could grow as much as 13%. How does this translate to sales and earnings growth? Analysts expect an average of $5.86 per share for this year (a 21.5% jump over 2013's earnings), and an additional 18% gain for the fiscal full year 2016 to $6.92 per share. Whether the company hits or exceeds these estimates can largely depend on factors beyond the company's control -- weather, fuel costs, etc. Investors are best off monitoring the unit level growth measures, as mentioned above. 

The travel and services booking business complements the airline nicely, as deal-seeking customers are eager to bundle and save money. Allegiant understands its customer -- a small-town, value-focused individual looking to get where he or she is going as efficiently as possible. While the leader of ultra-low-cost airlines, Spirit, is also the worst-reviewed airline in the industry, Allegiant has maintained its reputation beyond low prices. Allegiant has a three-star rating, according to airline ratings website Skytrax while Spirit comes in at two stars.

At roughly 16 times earnings, this certainly isn't the cheapest pick in the airline bunch. Delta, which has also found success recently, trades at just 10.7 times earnings. Investors should note, though, that these really are different businesses. Investors are paying up for Allegiant's projected growth, and with the way it looks now, that premium may be worth it.

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The article Why Allegiant Travel Company Sees Skies Free of Turbulence Ahead originally appeared on Fool.com.

Michael Lewis has no position in any stocks mentioned, and neither does The Motley Fool. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insightsmakes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Why Plug Power, BroadSoft, and Universal Display Tumbled Today

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Out of the gate, Monday was an ugly day for the stock market, which suffered big losses early in the session. But even though violence in Ukraine showed few signs of letting up and even though investors worried about new data pointing to potential weakness in the Chinese economy, favorable news on the domestic economic front helped pull stocks back from the brink to post modest gains on the day. Still, shareholders in Plug Power , BroadSoft , and Universal Display couldn't escape losses Monday.

Source: Plug Power.

Plug Power dropped almost 10%, adding to its losses over the past couple of weeks. After a secondary offering of 22.6 million shares two weeks ago, Plug Power stock has lost more than a quarter of its value, as investors not only question the fuel-cell company's future prospects but also actively sell the stock short. Short-sellers can note that Plug Power has gone through similar patterns in the past, with bouts of optimism causing temporary surges in share price that have eventually given way to disappointment. However, with roughly 30% of the company's outstanding shares sold short, Plug Power could make bullish investors happy if future positive news from the company creates a short squeeze, as the high short interest could send share prices much higher.

BroadSoft sank 19% after the company's latest quarterly report included both disappointing results for the first quarter and troubling guidance for the current quarter. BroadSoft makes software and provides ancillary services that help enable communications across its customers' platforms, and with the rise in enterprise demand for data analytics and cloud-related applications, BroadSoft's industry has plenty of potential. Yet adjusted earnings and revenue fell short of what investors were looking for, despite an 11% gain in revenue compared to the year-ago quarter. Moreover, although revenue guidance for the second quarter looked solid, BroadSoft sees earnings per share coming in well short of what investors wanted to see. Without working harder to take advantage of opportunities in the space, BroadSoft won't be able to convince investors of its long-term promise.

LG Display curved OLED television. Source: LG Display.


Universal Display's losses amounted to nearly 10%, with the maker of organic light-emitting diodes seeing its share drop in response to reports that television manufacturer Samsung might not go forward with initial plans to expand its production of televisions making wider use of OLED technology. Universal Display has looked forward to greater demand for OLED products from television manufacturers like Samsung and LG Display for a long time, so if the reports on Samsung are true, then it could mark a big step backward for Universal Display. Already, investors had shown signs of impatience with the company's progress, and without a high-profile success story when Universal Display reports its first-quarter earnings later this week, the stock could see even further declines.

Warren Buffett just bought nearly 9 million shares of this company
Imagine a company that rents a very specific and valuable piece of machinery for $41,000 per hour. (That's almost as much as the average American makes in a year!) And Warren Buffett is so confident in this company's can't-live-without-it business model, he just loaded up on 8.8 million shares. An exclusive, brand-new Motley Fool report details this company that already has over 50% market share. Just click here to discover more about this industry-leading stock, and join Buffett in his quest for a veritable landslide of profits!

The article Why Plug Power, BroadSoft, and Universal Display Tumbled Today originally appeared on Fool.com.

Dan Caplinger has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Universal Display. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Do Proofpoint's Earnings Mean Anything for Cybersecurity?

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Proofpoint shares soared after the cloud data protection software provider reported better-than-expected earnings. However, it's worth noting that shares of security stocks have been badly beaten, and had continued to trend lower prior to Proofpoint's report. So, should you buy Proofpoint or peers Palo Alto Networks and FireEye ?

What did Proofpoint say?
Proofpoint saw gains of nearly 14% following its first-quarter report. The company saw revenue of $42.7 million, beating expectations with growth of 38.8% year-over-year. Moreover, its loss per share of $0.12 was also better than the consensus.

Lastly, the company's guidance was solid, expecting full-year revenue of $179 million and a loss of $0.43 per share, both of which were slightly better than expectations. Essentially, the company beat on all metrics, although the beats were marginal compared to expectations.


High expectations and great volatility
As it appears, Proofpoint's earnings eased some fears that security providers are facing increased competition from larger companies that are building their own security networks. Specifically, Proofpoint's Targeted Attack Protection program, which protects customers against malicious links and emails, saw year-over-year growth of more than 100%. It is this performance that has investors of other cybersecurity stocks excited.

Nonetheless, all security-related companies sell different types of software, including FireEye and Palo Alto. For example, FireEye sells appliances to prevent advanced persistent threats, or APTs, alerting customers, but not actually preventing or eliminating the threat. Palo Alto, on the other hand, operates in the advanced firewall space, combining other services such as intrusion prevention.

With that said, investors know that companies of all sizes have bulked up their security, and as a result, shares of security-related stocks have soared in years past. In the five months prior to March, Palo Alto soared more than 65%, Proofpoint increased 225% in the year prior to March, and FireEye, with its IPO late last year, appreciated by 150% in the initial five months following its debut.

As a whole, this is an industry that has had enormous expectations built in to valuations, and even with large losses since March, these stocks are still expensive. So, are Proofpoint, FireEye, or Palo Alto good buys?

Is there a buying opportunity?
According to Proofpoint's guidance, the stock trades at 6 times guided full-year revenue, with operating margins of negative 20%. FireEye is growing a lot faster, with 152% expected revenue growth this year, in part thanks to an acquisition, and 46% growth is expected in 2015. However, FireEye trades at 9.5 times 2015's expected sales, and has a negative 100% operating margin, meaning $2 is spent for every $1 in earned operating income. Therefore, FireEye is still a big risk.

However, Palo Alto might be a different story. It trades at 10 times trailing 12 month sales, but the company is expected to grow 45% and 34%, respectively, over the next two years. Moreover, the company should be profitable in the process.

In 2012, Palo Alto had seen four consecutive years of operating margin improvements, including profits in 2012, but then took a step back in 2013. However, Palo Alto is expected to earn $0.38 and $0.60 per share during the next two years, respectively, to complement its impressive growth rate. Lastly, the company's upside looks solid beyond 2015, as Palo Alto estimates that its total addressable market will rise from $15.8 billion to $19.5 billion over the next three years, and will continue to grow.

Final thoughts
If you want to invest in the cybersecurity space, you're going to pay for it. But, in the process, it's important to remember that you're not comparing apples to apples, as these companies all offer different services and are priced differently in the market.

With that said, there are dozens of cybersecurity-related companies, and while different, investors can still compare valuations and growth rates to find a good opportunity. In this particular case, Palo Alto operates in a large market, it's attractively priced, profitable, and has a good risk-to-reward ratio, meaning it appears to be the best.

6 stock picks poised for incredible growth
They said it couldn't be done. But David Gardner has proved them wrong time, and time, and time again with stock returns like 926%, 2,239%, and 4,371%. In fact, just recently one of his favorite stocks became a 100-bagger. And he's ready to do it again. You can uncover his scientific approach to crushing the market and his carefully chosen six picks for ultimate growth instantly, because he's making this premium report free for you today. Click here now for access.

 

The article Do Proofpoint's Earnings Mean Anything for Cybersecurity? originally appeared on Fool.com.

Brian Nichols has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Palo Alto Networks. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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8 Cool Ways Technology Is Improving Shopping

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leftshoecompany.com
By Lou Carlozo

"The next five years will bring more change to retail than the last 100 years," says Cyriac Roeding, CEO of Shopkick, a location-based shopping app. And he said that a few years ago.

DealNews talked to retail executives and observers about changes that are starting out or are coming. Through these changes, you'll see various themes emerge, including the growth of the individual experience and the explosion of digital technology.

"It's reaching out and interacting, being able to have a more personalized dialogue," says Bruce Molloy, vice president of global business development at Customer Mobile and an expert on the evolving retail space. "It's where we are as consumers, that people want that kind of individuation. And people want a continuous experience whether people are speaking to someone, or on a tablet, or on a smartphone. All the pieces in the process will know you and what your interests are."

If the Shoe Fits, Upload It

In terms of a custom-made shoe experience, nothing can top what's going on at The Left Shoe Co. in Los Angeles. The Left Shoe puts customers' feet through a 3D scan that takes 150 pictures. "Those photos are then sent to Portugal, where the shoes are made to order," Molloy says. "To the extent that it works, it's pretty powerful. It's a forerunner of things to come with this kind of personalization."

You Favorite Store Goes for the Geofence

Geofencing is a virtual perimeter for a real-world geographic area. So let's say you set a boundary via mobile communications that encompasses a six-square-block area. That would be your geofence, and anyone who enters that area whose contact information you have can receive a text message or email via smartphone or tablet. And when the bullseye of the geofenced turf is a retail outlet, things get mighty interesting.

Media industry analyst Gordon Borrell of Borrell Associates cites a San Francisco company called Placecast, which ran a promotion with a Lands' End store in that city. A bulletin went out via mobile, and the results make Borrell laugh in admiration. "Eighty percent of the people who saw the message went in the store. And 60 percent of those people bought merchandise," he says. "Direct mail campaigns have a 1 percent to 2 percent response. It was amazing."

Package Delivery at Your Convenience

Missing the FedEx (FDX) or UPS (UPS) truck can prove quite aggravating, especially when you have to retrieve the package or figure out a time range to hang at your house in anticipation of the driver's return. Harvard Business School students have come up with an innovative solution. Their nifty start-up, Boxxify.com, not only handles and signs for your packages, but also delivers them by appointment to your doorstep anywhere in the metro Boston area, from 7 p.m. to midnight. Since going live on April 15, the service has attracted more than 1,300 unique visitors and more than 80 customers. "We're targeting entry into several other metro areas over the next one to two years, including Chicago, Washington, and Atlanta," says co-founder Paul Moskowitz.

Navigating the Supermarket in Super Style

The smartphone has all but replaced the standalone GPS as a product in the average consumer's tech arsenal. That's because mapping apps from Google, Apple, and Waze help us get from point A to B. Ah, but they don't do it indoors. Molloy sees a time in the not-too-distant future when app developers figure out how to map your favorite grocery store or retail store, so that you can just enter your grocery list, for example, and the app does the rest. "You can imagine a GPS that would take you on the most efficient course, where the store knows the things you buy and leads you there," he says.

Customized Commercials

Right now, commercials target consumers as a big group. But as big data gets bigger, retailers will have the ability to hit up each of us as individuals. Based on what retailers know about our buying patterns, "shoppers will receive targeted messages and promotions while in the store, as the system will already know who they are, their lifestyle and purchasing patterns," says Jonathan Asher, executive vice president of Perception Research Services. "It will also link them to cross-category suggestions or specials. So if they put hot dogs in their cart, they'll get a coupon for beans and chips or something in the deli."

Tweeting Your Shopping Needs

Some savvy companies already use Twitter to monitor customer complaints and address customer service. But it's now going a step further than that, where you can tweet at a store and get fashion or purchasing advice on the spot. It's all done by software made by HipLogiq, which combs Twitter looking for tweets that would include a client's keywords and phrases. "A women's clothing store client, for example, may be looking for 'fashion,' 'cute outfit,' or 'closet makeover' on Twitter," says HipLogiq marketing director Ben Read. "Once our software flags the Tweet on a user-friendly dashboard, the owner can then reply directly back with an offer to encourage them to take a look at their store."

Busting Out of Barcode Prison

Everyone who's been in a long checkout line has experienced the frustration of watching a cashier fumble with a product trying to either find the barcode or scan it correctly. In January, a company called Digimarc introduced a new technology that incorporates an invisible digital watermark, not unlike the kind used for currency.

"The clerk no longer has to hunt for the barcode because it's all over the package," says Ed Knudson, executive vice president of sales and marketing for the company. "You and I can't see, it but other devices, including a smartphone, can see it." The code can be embedded onto the product label via Photoshop, though Knudson says it will still be in the trial stage this year. Not that we can wait: Digimarc says the new technology speeds up checkout times by as much as 33 percent.

If You're Just a Touch Hungry, Touch This

Waiters and waitresses do get busy, and there's nothing more frustrating during a lunch or dinner rush than to have them ignore your table. "But imagine sitting right down and placing your order from a touchscreen tabletop menu," says Molloy. He went through this experience at airport eateries in Toronto and Charlotte, North Carolina, which makes sense, since air travelers often have to eat and run. "I saw tablets the size of iPads and you can scroll through, see the descriptions and order what you want," he says. "The photography is fantastic, and it'll make some suggestions about side orders, wine or other things that can go with the menu."

 

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I Own 3,000 E-Books. I Paid $0: How to Build an E-Library Free

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Tech Test E Reader Gift Guide
Mark Lennihan/AP
One of the highlights of my day is to browse several emails I receive that list free e-books. A lot of it is dreck (many self-published books on Kindle's free publishing platform sorely needed editors). But virtually every day, I find something interesting.

The average price of Kindle best sellers on Amazon.com (AMZN) is rising steeply. E-book prices go from 99 cents for unknown and self-published authors to $20 or more for new books from household names, such as John Grisham, Stephen King, J.K. Rowling and Dan Brown.

I now have more than 3,000 free e-books on my Kindle and iPad. Many are from Project Gutenberg, which includes books whose copyrights have expired (these are generally a century old). Other, I have borrowed from openlibrary.org (check to see if your local library participates). Authors also briefly offer their books as freemium promotions (sometimes for just a day) in hopes that you'll read them and tell all your friends about them. And bestsellers and new books do appear on these lists occasionally. These may even be available on your own public library's e-reader platform.

Free, Free, Free

These sites for free e-books span the genres, including self-help, children's fantasy, romance, mystery, Christian, erotica and nonfiction. I've found that having an Amazon account is the best access. Also, it's easy to cancel an order if by accident you buy a book that is not free.
  • You can sign up for ZeroFrictionBooks' daily email list or browse the books with the covers on the site. Links are to buy free on Amazon.
  • Bookbub.com lists deals and freebies with links to buy on Kobo from Indigo (IDGBF), Apple (AAPL), Barnes & Noble (BKS) and Amazon. It also lists when the deal expires.
  • PixelOfInk links to Amazon.
  • ChoosyBookworm links to Amazon.
  • BookGorilla.com has some freebies but mostly good deals.
  • OpenCulture.com lists free e-books as well as free movies, courses and more.
  • At Amazon, type in "free Kindle e-books." Today's list had almost 60,000 available. And you don't need a Kindle. Just search for free Kindle apps for your mobile device,
I check these almost daily since many freebies are one-day only or may only be free for Amazon Prime members. I've snapped up several financial books for free that retail for close to $100.

Write for Free E-Books

A more unusual way to get free e-books is to write brief reviews. I've written reviews on Amazon under a nom de plume, not in the hopes of garnering free books, but just to vent. Since then, I've received several offers to review books for authors. The easiest way to become a reviewer is simply to read an ebook from Amazon on your device. At the end, there will usually be a page asking for a recommendation. Write your honest thoughts, and ta-da, you're now a reviewer. A new site called StoryCartel allows you to download a book if you write a review afterward. It has its own standards available on site.

Either a Borrower or a Lender Be

Amazon Prime members can borrow many e-books for free through the Kindle Owners Lending Library You don't need Prime to lend to friends, but there are limitations -- the loan can be active for just for two weeks, for example. BookLending.com allows readers to lend to each other, risk-free. Lendle is similar, no Kindle required.

If none of these free choices satisfy you, scribd.com, often called the Netflix (NFLX) of literature gives access to 300 books a month for $8.99.

Now, with all these books, you'll feel like "The Twilight Zone" book lover finding himself among countless books in a post-apocalyptic era, only wishing for enough time to read them.

 

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5 Essential Facts on Your Social Security Statement

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Studio shot of social security card and banknotes
Tetra Images/AlamyYour Social Security statement contains your earnings record, which lists the amount you made during each year you worked.
By Emily Brandon

The Social Security Administration is planning to resume mailing Social Security statements to some workers beginning in September. The paper statements will be sent to workers ages 25, 30, 35, 40, 45, 50, 55 and 60 who aren't registered for online statements or currently receiving benefits. These previously annual mailings to workers were suspended in April 2011 to save money, and the ability to view statements online was added in May 2012. Here's how to make the most of your benefit statement.

How much you will get when you retire. Most Social Security statements contain an estimate of how much you will receive if you sign up for Social Security at your full retirement age, age 62 and age 70. The full retirement age is 66 for most baby boomers and 67 for everyone born in 1960 or later. "The statement shows clearly that the longer you wait to claim benefits, the more you get each month," says Jonathan Peterson, executive communications director at AARP and author of "Social Security For Dummies." "Over time, the difference can be many thousands of dollars. So it makes a lot of sense to look at the projections at different retirement ages and think about what they mean for you." For example, a worker eligible for $1,680 a month at age 67 would get just $1,159 monthly at age 62, but his benefit would increase to $2,094 each month if he delays signing up until age 70. However, it's important to note that these benefit estimates assume Social Security law will remained unchanged and that you will continue to earn your current salary, both of which could change in the future. The statement will also let you know if you haven't yet worked long enough to qualify for benefits.

What happens if you become disabled. Social Security benefits aren't just for retirees. Your statement will also tell you the benefit amount you will be eligible for if you become disabled in the coming year.

What your family will get if you die. Social Security pays out benefits to families when a breadwinner passes away. Your dependent children and a spouse caring for those children will likely both be eligible for payments upon your death, and the amount they will get is on your statement. Your spouse may also be eligible for retirement benefits based on your work record, even if you die before retirement. A spouse or minor child may additionally be eligible for a one-time death benefit when you pass away.

Your earnings record. Your Social Security statement typically lists every year you have worked and how much you earned. "Sometimes your income does not get properly reported to Social Security," says Brian Vosberg, a certified financial planner and author of "The Complete Retiree's Guide to Social Security." "Checking annually will help guarantee accuracy." The 35 years in which you have the highest earnings are used to calculate your retirement payout.

Your Social Security and Medicare contributions. Under your earnings chart, the statement lists the total amount you have paid into Social Security and Medicare throughout your career. It's a good idea to double-check these amounts to make sure you are getting credit for your contributions. Workers are required to pay 6.2 percent of their pay into Social Security up to $117,000 and 1.45 percent of all earnings into Medicare in 2014, which employers match. Self-employed workers pay 12.4 percent of their earnings into Social Security and 2.9 percent into Medicare. And those who earn more than $200,000 ($250,000 for couples) pay an additional 0.9 percent in Medicare taxes.

Of course, you don't have to wait for your paper statement to arrive in the mail. Workers age 18 and older can view their Social Security statements online at any time, although you will need to verify your identity by answering questions about personal information to create an online account. "Set up your access like any other financial site, and check your Social Security data any time you want," says Andy Landis, author of "Social Security: The Inside Story." "I even have the SSA mobile app, just like mobile banking."

Emily Brandon is the senior editor for Retirement at U.S. News. You can contact her on Twitter @aiming2retire, circle her on Google Plus or email her at ebrandon@usnews.com.

 

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Restaurant IPOs Suffer Indigestion

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papamurphys.com
Restaurant companies were among the hotter initial public offerings last year, but things have cooled down now that 2013's debutantes have failed to live up to the hype.

Papa Murphy's (FRSH) went public Friday. It should have been as hot as its oven-ready pizzas post-baking. Papa Murphy's watches over 1,418 franchise and company-owned locations, making it more than 20 times larger than its closest take 'n' bake competitor. At a time when many fast-food chains are struggling to grow at the store level, Papa Murphy's has posted positive comparable-store sales growth in 35 of its last 40 quarters, averaging a decent 4 percent uptick in comps during that span.

Revenue has grown quickly. Papa Murphy's has posted losses in recent years, but it would have been profitable in 2012 and 2013 if it wasn't for one-time accounting hits resulting from the early retirement of debt.

Papa Murphy's had all of the right ingredients to be a big winner last week, but it fell short. After the stock was assigned an initial pricing range between $11 and $13 leading up to the offering, underwriters settled to hit the market at the low end. The pre-baked pizza takeout giant went public at $11, closing at just $11.05 on its first day of trading.

That's as yawn-worthy as an IPO can get.

Blame It on the Wet Noodles

Investors were eating up restaurant IPOs last year, especially those toiling away in the fast-casual category, offering the quick-service convenience of fast food with the quality eats of casual dining. Noodles & Co. (NDLS) more than doubled the day that it went public 11 months ago. A few months later, Potbelly (PBPB) also rose sharply in its Wall Street debut.

It was in the wake of the market's appetite for growing eateries that Papa Murphy's filed to go public. If folks were warming up to a pasta boiler and a sandwich baker, why wouldn't they take to the darling of bake-at-home pizza takeout?

Unfortunately for Papa Murphy's, the enthusiasm for dining stocks died off after Noodles & Co. and Potbelly have turned in uninspiring rookie seasons. Noodles & Co. reported quarterly results just three days before Papa Murphy's report, and it wasn't pretty.

Revenue did climb 10 percent during the period, but that was solely the handiwork of brisk expansion. Noodles & Co. suffered a nearly 2 percent decline in comparable restaurant sales, and profitability fell short of expectations. The 394-unit chain that offers up pasta dishes in a wide range of global-cuisine varieties has now missed Wall Street's profit target in back-to-back quarters. Investors hate to see companies disappoint so early in their publicly traded lives.

Papa, Don't Preach

Potbelly hasn't fared a whole lot better. The stock has shed half of its value since peaking at $33.90 on its third day of trading.

Papa Murphy's can't be blamed for the shortfalls at Noodles & Co. and the sharp correction at Potbelly. However, market sentiment works in cahoots with industry cycles. Restaurant stocks were hot a year ago, and that helped fast-casual darlings Noodles & Co. and Potbelly score massive IPO paydays. Now that those darlings have turned, it's easy to see why even the otherwise-worthy Papa Murphy's is being ignored.

That's a shame. Papa Murphy's seems to be doing all of the right things. It's hard to fault the model. A whopping 95 percent of Papa Murphy's stores are owned by franchisees. It's a compelling business plan. There are no ovens to maintain, delivery drivers to hire and tables and wait staff to support. A Papa Murphy's can open in as little as 1,400 square feet of prep space, making it a prime candidate for all of the vacancies in strip mall shopping centers across the country.

In the end, Papa Murphy's IPO turned out to be a lot like its popular pies, in that the ingredients are there but it's going to have to heat up somewhere else for it to truly get tasty.

Motley Fool contributor Rick Munarriz has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

 

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Who Can Best Survive the 'Clicks vs. Bricks' Era?

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Who Can Best Survive the 'Clicks vs. Bricks' Era?
Wong Maye-E/APSingapore's ION Orchard shopping center on Orchard Road.
By Katie Holliday
@hollidaykatie

The e-commerce boom is a worrying headwind for retailers and shopping mall operators the world over, but BNP Paribas says some shopping hubs are weathering the risks better than others.

"Our view is that the threat of e-commerce is inevitable but malls that embrace this trend will remain highly relevant," said Wee Liat Lee, head of property research at BNP Paribas.

"Multi-channeling is retailer-led, and we expect the trend to move from the U.K./EU to Asia," added Wee, referring to marketing strategies that offer consumers a choice of how to buy products.

It's no secret that e-commerce is one of the fastest growing industries worldwide. Online sales on Cyber Monday -- an annual U.S. online shopping event held the Monday after Thanksgiving -- hit a record $1.5 billion in 2013. Meanwhile, China's equivalent -- Singles' Day, which occurs every Nov. 11 -- racked up $5.7 billion.

According to U.K. e-tail industry body IMRG and advisory firm Capgemini, total online sales in the U.K. alone are set to rise 17 percent this year to 107 billion pounds ($180 billion) after rising 16 percent to 91 billion pounds last year.

However, despite an increase in online shopping, analysts at BNP Paribas argue that many shopping-focused cities around the world will prove resilient.

Europe and the U.K., for example, are key examples, of how "clicks & bricks" can easily co-exist, BNP Paribas argues.

"Consumer decisions involve a combination of online and physical channels for research and financial purchase," said BNP.

According to BNP analysts, in some instances in the region, physical stores are superior to online channels in terms of brand building, quality of service and unique experience. Some pure online retailers have even expanded to physical stores. Meanwhile, the mall operators that have continued to thrive are the ones that have adopted digital strategies.

In Asia, where there is a more ingrained culture of eating out given the smaller living spaces by contrast, the top malls in China/Asia have already been configured for the arrival of the multichannel retailing era, said BNP. A high proportion of food and beverage outlets, large mall sizes, flagship stores, and thematic and event-driven malls, are also encouraging factors.

However smaller and poor-quality shopping malls, such as those found in lower-tier cities in China, are likely to be negatively impacted as retailers scale down their physical presence, the report found "Malls in Hong and Singapore are more resilient given tourist spending," BNP added.

BNP Paribas spoke to individual mall operators in Asia and found that Hong Kong's HysanDevelopment Company and Hang Lung, China's Longfor and Singapore's CapitaLand were the best prepared for the multi-channel retailing era, with teams and plans to roll out digital strategies.

It named Hong Kong's Wharf Holdings -- which owns the Harbour City and Times Square shopping centers in Hong Kong -- along with Hysan Development Co. -- which owns Hysan Place a shopping mall and office building in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong, as operators immune to the rise of e-commerce because of Hong Kong's popularity as a tourist hub.

Other risks impacting shopping malls include supply risks, talent recruitment and retention, and ability to acquire land at a reasonable cost, the research note said.

 

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Bayer to Buy Merck Consumer Business for $14 Billion

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Germany's Bayer to buy Merck consumer business
Emile Wamsteker/Bloomberg via Getty Images
By DAVID McHUGH
and GEIR MOULSON


FRANKFURT, Germany -- Germany's Bayer plans to buy U.S. drug company Merck's (MRK) non-prescription medicine and consumer care business for $14.2 billion, gaining products such as Claritin allergy pills, Coppertone sun lotion and Dr. Scholl's footcare products.

Bayer CEO Marijn Dekkers said Tuesday that the proposed deal "marks a major milestone on our path towards global leadership in the attractive non-prescription medicines business."

The company said the deal would make it the leader in over-the-counter products in North and Latin America. Bayer already has a major non-prescription division whose brands include Aleve, Alka-Seltzer and One-A-Day vitamins. Bayer also makes prescription drugs, industrial materials and farm chemicals.

Bayer AG said the combined business would be headquartered at Bayer's site in Whippany, New Jersey. Merck's consumer business has about 2,250 employees and is based in New Jersey.

Merck & Co. is headquartered in Whitehouse Station, New Jersey, and is different from Germany drug company Merck KGaA.

Bayer said it also has entered an agreement with Merck to cooperate on developing and selling drugs known as sGC modulators, which have potential for treating heart failure and pulmonary hypertension. Merck would initially paying Bayer $1 billion under the and further payments contingent on sales.

 

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Facebook Plans Campaign to 'Friend' Small Business

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SmallBiz Facebook
Mark Lennihan/APFacebook Chief Operating Officer Sheryl Sandberg.
By JOYCE M. ROSENBERG

NEW YORK -- Facebook (FB) wants to increase its advertising and get more clicks on all kinds of ads. It believes tapping into the lucrative small business market will help it achieve those goals.

Sheryl Sandberg, the social media company's operating chief and "Lean In" author, says the key is showing business owners how to find new customers by creating Facebook pages and by buying ads that appear on individual Facebook users' pages. The company plans a campaign called Facebook Fit with workshops in five cities to show small business owners the nuts and bolts of using Facebook as a marketing tool.

"They don't have enough customers. This is their No. 1 problem and we can help them solve it," Sandberg said in an interview with The Associated Press.

The small business market has been difficult to crack for digital companies such as Facebook and Google (GOOG), said Greg Sterling, an analyst with the mobile technology research service Internet2Go. Many owners with Facebook pages are reluctant to advertise, limiting the revenue the company can make from small businesses.

"Many of them are struggling just to provide regular content updates or to understand how to use social media, let alone become masters of social media advertising," Sterling said.

Meanwhile, Facebook needs to get more small business advertising to stay competitive with Google, said Debra Aho Williamson, an analyst with eMarketer, a digital research company.

"They need to be sure they're seen as a strong partner to small business owners," she said.

Facebook has updated its technology to make it easier for business owners to use, Sandberg said. The company is targeting those who don't have the time to sit down at a desktop PC and update pages or ads.

"Now they're able to manage their pages from a mobile phone. Two years ago, they couldn't," Sandberg said.

Facebook says it is used by 25 million small business users worldwide. The company does not report the number of businesses in the U.S. or any other country.

Many very small companies that don't have websites use social media services like Facebook to reach customers. When a Facebook user "likes" a company's page, that customer's Facebook friends see posts on their own pages about the company. Businesses can also buy ads that appear on individual Facebook pages.

Facebook is also creating small business advertising products Sandberg said will be affordable. For example, companies will be able to spend $10 to promote a post on other Facebook pages, something they were unable to do in the past. Facebook pages will remain free.

"We're hoping they'll want to become advertisers if we can help them just spend a few dollars to help them promote a product," Sandberg said.

Facebook is in a good position to get more revenue from small businesses simply because so many of them already use it. But the company must still convince them ads are a good investment.

"They have to make it really simple, affordable, measurable -- a small business owner has to be convinced of the success and efficacy of the ad campaign," Sterling said.

Facebook has held workshops for small businesses in cities and towns across the country the past two years, often in partnership with local chambers of commerce and business groups, said Dan Levy, Facebook's director of small business. Workshops are planned as part of Facebook Fit in New York on June 3; Miami on June 19; Chicago on July 10; Austin, Texas, on July 24; and Menlo Park, California, on Aug. 5.

Software maker Intuit and payment processor Square will also take part. Registration is required for attendees.

More information about Facebook's business products can be found at www.facebook.com/business.

 

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Data Breach Just One Challenge Awaiting Target's Next CEO

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Target CEO
Matt Rourke/AP
By Matthew Rocco

In its search for a new chief executive, Target (TGT) is expected to look near and far for someone to take charge of its response to last year's wide-scale data breach.

The surprise announcement of Gregg Steinhafel's departure on Monday came five months after a massive hack during the holiday season. Steinhafel, a 35-year veteran of the company, resigned as chairman, president and CEO on Monday. Chief financial officer John Mulligan will serve as CEO on an interim basis.

The cyberattack, which compromised 40 million credit cards and 70 million accounts containing personal information, still hangs over Target. The company's stock is down about 5.5 percent since the company revealed details of the hack on Dec. 19.

But the breach is just one of the challenges awaiting Target's next CEO.

The company has gotten off to a lackluster start in Canada, where Target opened its first stores last year. While Target was a familiar brand to Canadians who would travel across the border to shop at the third-largest U.S. retailer, many shoppers have balked at higher prices back home.

Target has also fallen behind in the e-commerce battle with rivals like Walmart Stores (WMT), the world's top retailer.

The retailer has "faced its share of difficulties, from the worst recession in our lifetime, to a high profile proxy context, and most recently, a slow start in Canada and the 2013 data breach," Steinhafel wrote in a letter to Target's board.

Last week, the company named Bob DeRodes to the new position of chief information officer to lead Target's technology operations. Target plans to incorporate MasterCard (MA) chip-and-PIN technology, hoping to bolster the security of its own REDcard program.

The data breach helped drag earnings 46 percent lower in the fourth quarter. Sales came in stronger than expected during the holiday season but "softened meaningfully" following Target's disclosure of a breach, Steinhafel said in the earnings report.

At the same time, his abrupt exit caught Wall Street off-guard. Target shares dropped 3.5 percent to $59.87 on the news.

"When the breach occurred, it was all hands on deck to find a solution. I wouldn't have expected [Steinhafel's resignation] any earlier, but I was surprised it happened today," said Paul Trussell, a retail analyst at Deutsche Bank (DB). "This is quite the surprise. I would have expected more of a transitional phase."

Target spokeswoman Dustee Jenkins declined to provide specifics regarding Steinhafel's resignation but said the decision "did happen recently."

Who's Next in Line?

Analysts anticipate that an outsider will take the helm at Target. Trussell said the company lacks a deep bench to choose from. David Strasser, an analyst at Janney Montgomery Scott, also believes the company will look elsewhere for a new CEO.

Trussell cautioned that finding an external candidate within the retail industry may prove to be difficult, given non-compete clauses that prevent executives from quickly jumping to a rival company.

He said Gerald Storch, Target's former vice chairman, is a possible candidate. Storch helped create Target.com before becoming CEO of Toys "R" Us. He now runs an advisory firm, Storch Advisors. In January, Storch was named chairman of grocery chain Supervalu (SVU).

"Storch is maybe a best of both worlds for Target," Trussell said.

Jenkins said Target is conducting a comprehensive CEO search and will look inside and outside the Minneapolis-based company. Target will also consider candidates from outside the retail industry.

The company retained executive search firm Korn/Ferry (KFY) to help Target find a new top executive.

"With Target, it would definitely have to be someone outside the company. And it doesn't have to be someone in retail," Strasser said. "It could be anybody, even somebody who's happy with their current job. This is a pretty interesting opportunity."

Strasser noted the success Best Buy has experienced since Hubert Joly, former CEO of hotel operator Carlson, took over as CEO.

Home Depot's (HD) Frank Blake, who was named to the top post in 2007, came to the home-improvement retailer in 2002 with experience as a government official and General Electric (GE) executive.

During Steinhafel's tenure as the head of Target, the stock was up 14.9 percent compared to a 35.3 percent gain for the broader S&P 500 (^GPSC). A fresh face at Target could help assuage concerns over the retailer, which has only had two CEOs since 1994, and the continued cyberattack fallout.

Trussell said Target's next CEO needs to address missteps online, where Walmart has superior fulfillment options and a faster website, and reset the bar on its earnings outlook, which runs through 2017.

"I don't believe they're on track to hit their long-term guidance," he added.

Steinhafel's departure also reignited worries over the near-term. The retailer is due to report first-quarter results later this month, and Target appeared to be turning a corner after a bumpy end to 2013.

With the change at CEO, the market is showing concerns that Target could actually be falling back, Trussell said.

 

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Why Interactive Intelligence Group Inc. Shares Dropped Today

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Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of Interactive Intelligence Group Inc. fell 19% Tuesday after the customer experience software provider turned in a surprising first-quarter loss.

So what: Quarterly revenue rose 8% year over year to $79.4 million, which resulted in an adjusted net loss of $0.4 million, or $0.02 per diluted share. By comparison, analysts were expecting net income of $0.01 per share on sales of $79.67 million.


Now what: Interactive Intelligence Group CEO Dr. Donald Brown explained: "As we increasingly shift to a higher proportion of cloud-based orders and have more revenue deferred to future quarters, our reported short-term profitability is affected. But we look beyond this and remain committed to making investments that drive the growth of our business, particularly with our cloud-based offerings targeting the highest growth segment of our market."

To be sure, Interactive Intelligence doesn't recognize cloud-based revenue upfront, which affects its profits over the short term as the company shifts to a more predictable recurring revenue model. Considering cloud-based orders jumped 165% year over year and accounted for 59% of total orders -- compared with 31% in the same year-ago period -- that should bode well for Interactive Intelligence shareholders down the road.

Still, the stock doesn't exactly look cheap, trading around 114 times next year's estimated earnings. But if you already liked Interactive Intelligence Group before today, I don't think its surprise loss should change your opinion of the stock.

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The article Why Interactive Intelligence Group Inc. Shares Dropped Today originally appeared on Fool.com.

Steve Symington has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Amazon.com and Interactive Intelligence and owns shares of Amazon.com. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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