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We Just Got Around to Figuring the Costs of Procrastination

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Businessman Playing with Paper Airplanes at Desk
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By Geri Detweiler

I recently switched my family's cellphones from a major national carrier to a smaller provider to save money. Purchasing the phones upfront set me back several hundred dollars, and perhaps it was because I was feeling the pinch of that major purchase, or maybe it was sheer laziness, but I procrastinated on buying cases for them. I thought about it a number of times, and meant to go online to shop, but two weeks later I still hadn't done it. Then I dropped my phone and shattered the screen. It cost me at least $100 -- twice the cost of the sturdy case I ended up buying after the fact -- to get it fixed.

In short, procrastinating cost me a fair amount of money, and it's not the first time that's happened. In fact, once I started thinking about it, I discovered I could recall a horrifyingly long list of ways I had thrown away money by putting off essential tasks. But at least I am not alone. When I polled friends and colleagues, several quickly rattled off their own experiences.

Why do we avoid taking care of important tasks at our own expense? "Fear is the number one reason people procrastinate about money," says M.C. Coolidge, a certified Martha Beck life coach. "We think we procrastinate because we're too busy, the kids have homework, the dog needs to be walked, we can't find the calculator, or we're just feeling lazy. But what's really going on is, we're so frightened we're frozen in our tracks."

More on how to fight that fear in a moment. In the meantime, here are five ways this tendency to put off the things you know you need to do can cost you dearly:

1. Penalties Add Up

My friend Barbara Brockway seems like one of the most disciplined people I know. Her careful spending allowed her family to pay off their mortgage years ago, and she's written a novel (something easy to put off until tomorrow!) while working and raising a family. But she, too, confesses that, at times, she can be the "queen of procrastination."

"There was the time when I forgot to pay the electric bill, and when we came back from vacation we found a freezer full of spoiled food and dead fish floating in the fish tank -- yeah, it was bad," she says. "There was a $50 re-connect fee, crying children and an extra night of no power, just for good measure. I found the disconnect notice in a pile of unopened mail lying on the kitchen counter."

Reconnection fees, late fees and other charges can make a small bill mushroom into a much larger one. I once was charged a $400 fee for failing to renew my corporation's annual filing with the state on time. The original bill was $150 and I had the money to pay it. I just put it off and then "forgot" about it. Other ways penalties can cost you:
  • You fail to return a book to the library and your "free" book winds up costing you more than if you just bought it in the first place.
  • You are late making a credit card payment -- even by just a day -- and you will likely be charged a $25 late fee (unless you happen to have a no-fee credit card). Worse, if you fail to pay it before the next month's bill is due, you will likely wind up with a late payment on your credit reports that can cost you a small fortune in additional interest.
  • You let your license plate or tags expire and get an expensive ticket.
2. The Devil's in the Details

As founder of the nonprofit organization Women's Money, Gina Robison-Billups spends many of her waking hours focusing on ways to help women make the most of their money. But she learned the hard way that bargain hunting sometimes carries a price:

"I lost a ton of money because Southwest (LUV) airlines changed their policy on no-shows, and now you lose your money if you are a no-show," she laments. "This is where I did get in budget trouble because I booked four months of advanced travel to get the best rate, thinking that I could be a no-show if the trips had to be canceled and I would at least have travel funds left. I was left with nothing -- no vouchers, no money. Painful lesson," she says.

All the bargain-hunting in the world won't save you money if you neglect to notice the details in the fine print. Have you ever been hit with:
  • Early termination fees for cellphone, cable or Internet services you canceled? Or worse, have you been billed for utilities or other services you weren't using because you failed to cancel them?
  • Auto renewal for subscriptions or annual services you forgot about?
3. An Ounce of Prevention

"The last time I saw my dentist, he told me that if I came in sooner that cavity wouldn't have turned into a root canal," says Susan Nilon. She has plenty of valid excuses for neglecting to take time out for routine appointments; after all, she's running a radio station, hosting a daily two-hour program, all while raising a teenager and volunteering for a range of local organizations. But she admits she'd save money if she took the time to take care of things like regular dental checkups. "It's the small little things that don't seem to be a big thing that turn into a big problem," she observes.

Whether it is regular dental checkups, health screenings or tests, waiting can not only cost you a fortune in medical bills later, it can even be life-threatening. And it's not just your body that can use preventive maintenance. Other routine items that can turn into costly repairs if neglected include:
  • Oil changes and car maintenance such as tire rotations.
  • Home maintenance such as changing an air filter on your furnace or air conditioning unit.
And, of course there are check-ups and vaccinations for your pets that need to be taken care of.

4. I Bought What?

Ever had the shock of getting a credit card bill that's higher than you expected? If you're not carefully tracking your spending, no doubt that's happened to you, and perhaps more than once. It's one of the reasons we wind up with credit card debt; we have good intentions of paying our bill in full but then charge more than we planned.

In my closet there are two pieces of clothing with tags still hanging from them. Both were items I planned to return after I realized I'd never wear them, but I waited too long and the time frame for returning them expired. My next plan was to sell them on eBay (EBAY), but I haven't gotten around to that, either. There's about $60 down the drain (and a reminder of that every time I look in my closet).

Though gift cards no longer carry the short expiration dates they used to, if you don't use them you are still throwing away money. If someone gave you a gift card you can't use, you may want to donate it to someone who can use it, or sell it online for cash.

5. Not Shopping When You Should

In 1969, Tom Corley's father's warehouse burned to the ground, and with it the family's business. "My Dad told me much later in life that he had been thinking about getting additional insurance on his inventory prior to the warehouse burning down," says Corley, the author of the best-seller "Rich Habits." "Unfortunately, he dragged his feet too long. At the time (1970), he had about $3 million in cash (about $20 million in today's dollars), so it was not about the money. He procrastinated and random bad luck caught him by surprise."

Whether it's checking that your insurance beneficiaries are current, or shopping for that life insurance/car/health insurance policy, sometimes the consequences of failing to act can be significant. When my homeowner's insurance rate more than doubled, I looked for a new policy. Not only did I find a better rate (with a better company) -- but I discovered I had overpaid by about $1,200 the year before.

Shopping is also important when it comes to credit. For example, you may be paying a higher rate than you need to on your credit card, car loan or even your mortgage because you haven't taken the time to look for a lower-rate credit card or loan. Or you may be paying more because you have procrastinated on checking -- or fixing -- your credit scores. This can be incredibly expensive, though. According to this lifetime cost of debt calculator, the difference between what you'll pay with excellent credit versus poor credit is nearly $160,000.

How to Tame the Procrastination Beast

Changing ingrained habits can be hard work, and there are all kinds of hurdles facing us, among them our brains and our biology. As Bob Sullivan and Hugh Thompson explain in in their book, "Getting Unstuck: Breaking Free of the Plateau Effect," our bodies evolved to rest between periods of hard work -- finding food, or running from lions -- but in our now 24/7 lifestyles, our "impulse to rest is unchecked," he writes. "Bodies at rest tend to stay at rest. Getting up always involves at least a small kick in the butt."

And sometimes the problem goes deeper, says Coolidge: "Every time we procrastinate out of fear, every time we avoid taking conscious action to take care of our finances, we're unconsciously sending a message to ourselves: 'I'm not worth the effort.' That message, in turn, perpetuates the procrastination cycle: 'I didn't take action, so I feel unworthy and because I feel unworthy, I'm not motivated to take action.' "

Sullivan and Thompson warn that changing how you get things done can be challenging: "It's essential for anyone who plans to take on the battle of distraction to know this: the temptations never go away." But there are techniques you can use to improve. Among them:
  • Set a time limit. If a decision is relatively unimportant, make the time limit short and set a timer. Or delegate the decision and live with the results, suggest Sullivan and Thompson in their book.
  • Take "turtle steps," Coolidge recommends. Breaking tasks that seem overwhelming into tiny steps, "will allow us to feel good about doing the barest minimum possible, won't overwhelm our to-do lists, and still moves us incrementally, and surely, toward our goals," she says.
  • Create daily to-do lists. Among the five strategies Corley uses to stop procrastination, one is to create daily to-do lists which include two types: goal to-dos (activities tied to your job or to a big goal, dream or purpose in life) and non-goal to-dos (routine tasks you need to get done). With that in mind, you create each a list of the "five things that you do every day that move you forward to accomplishing some big goal, dream or purpose in life." He says "These five things could take as little as an hour to perform each day."
  • Automate life. When you automate routine tasks, like setting up recurring bills on auto pay, you not only free up the time required to make those payments, you will have less to worry about. Some experts suggest you limit your wardrobe so you don't agonize over unimportant decisions like what to wear in the morning, freeing your mental energy for more important tasks.Plus, automatic payments can ensure you won't forget to make a payment, which can ding your credit scores. (You can get your free credit scores, updated monthly at Credit.com.) "I'm a big believer in setting reminders, because who thinks about finance 24/7?" says Stephanie Chan, founder of Outer Worth, a financial education website for millennial. "To avoid last-minute money stresses, I schedule reminders to notify myself of upcoming payments, filing taxes well before the rush and contributing to my retirement investment."
  • Reward yourself. You saved $300 by shopping around for car insurance? Take 10 or 20 percent of that savings and splurge on a nice lunch out, a manicure or a round of golf. Use the rest to pay down debt or build your emergency savings fund.

 

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Will Facebook Score a Touchdown With the NFL?

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Cowboys Redskins Football
Alex Brandon/APYou may soon see NFL clips on Facebook, like this moment when Dallas Cowboys running back DeMarco Murray pushes Washington Redskins cornerback Justin Rogers.
Football is big business. Facebook (FB) is big business. This week the two are coming together for a winning connection, like when a quarterback hits a wide receiver running a post pattern in stride.

The NFL and the leading social networking website operator are testing a new video offering. The pro football league will make game highlights available, and the first batch features ads from mobile giant Verizon (VZ).

The important thing about this partnership is that Facebook and the NFL are splitting the ad proceeds. This is something that could lead to some big money for both parties.

Ad It Up

There are a lot of NFL fans on Facebook. This isn't a matter of opinion: We know that nearly 12 million Facebook users "like" the professional football league. And that's just the league itself. Each of the NFL's 32 teams also has millions of fans on Facebook apiece. The Dallas Cowboys has more than 8 million Facebook users that "like" the playoff-bound team.

All of these connections are important given the viral nature of Facebook. These fans will see these clips populate their feeds, having opted in by clicking "like" on the teams' pages or listing the teams as personal interests.

The net goes out farther than that. Some of these fans will then go on to share the clips by posting them to their timelines, sharing them with their friends and families who may not be directly paired up with the NFL or the individual teams. In other words, there are plenty of ways to amplify any broadcast on Facebook, and now we have a platform that provides what should be a lucrative form of monetization.

It's the equivalent of a Trojan horse, where marketing is sneaking into the market disguised as a gift of content. It's going to work, and just wait until the NBA, rock bands, and producers of favorite shows step up to broker similar deals.

YouTube in the Crosshairs

Facebook and Google (GOOG) (GOOGL) have been butting heads a lot lately. A lot of the Web traffic and lead-generating search requests that used to come to Google are now being satisfied on Facebook.

The new NFL-backed video ads will challenge Google's YouTube. It's clear that Facebook sees video as a growth opportunity. Video ads pay more than stagnant display spots, and users crave engaging video.

But this is not the only way that Facebook is using video to compete more effectively with Google's YouTube. TechCrunch is reporting that Facebook is now giving some companies the option to choose a featured video to be displayed on top of their "videos" page. There's also the option to make playlists of their videos. This gives a company's video page on Facebook a similar look to YouTube, with thumbnails of various clips available on YouTube channels. Facebook confirmed to TechCrunch that it's testing the new format with a few pages.

We're still early in the game. There are still a lot of plays to run. However, this NFL-on-Facebook deal is a game changer, paving the way for 2015 to be the year of video monetization for Facebook. That's a score in any sport.

Motley Fool contributor Rick Munarriz has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Facebook, Google (A and C shares), and Verizon Communications. The Motley Fool owns shares of Facebook and Google (A and C shares). Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. Build a winning team in your portfolio with The Motley Fool's one great stock to buy for 2015 and beyond.

 

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5 Stock Predictions for 2015

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Chris O'Meara/APExpect to see "Star Wars" characters like Chewbacca a lot in 2015 -- and for the latest movie in the series to help Disney.
It's that time of the year. Financial writers and analysts break out their crystal balls, peering into what the near future may hold for investors.

There's no point in denying the desire to go out on a limb to see how things play out. Let's give it a shot. Let's make some market predictions, knowing full well that I'll be accountable by the end of 2015.

1. The Market Will Move Higher in 2015

There seem to be a lot of doom-and-gloom market pros out there, warning that 2015 is going to be a bad year. The stock market has moved too high. Interest rates can't stay this low forever. Global tensions are percolating, and the worldwide economic recovery is on the cusp of faltering.

These are the concerns being raised, but these were also the same concerns raised last year, and the market still moved slightly higher in 2014. The boo birds always come out, but historically speaking, the smart money has to be on stocks moving higher.

2. Energy Prices Will Move Higher

The big narrative in recent weeks is how fuel prices are plunging. A barrel of Brent crude oil that was fetching $115 in June has gone on to shed nearly half of its value six months later. Consumers are generally cheering the lower prices at the pump, but the ramifications run far deeper and are more complicated than that.

Countries like Russia and Venezuela that rely heavily on exporting oil are reeling. Some economists are warning of deflationary pressure. However, most folks are generally happy to know that the holiday road trip is cheaper.

Some economists argue that cheap gas is here to stay. Lower consumption given the improving efficiency of appliances and automobiles -- as well as the growing popularity of residential solar panel installations -- should keep increases in check. However, it's hard to see energy prices staying this low for a sustainable period. The uptick in energy prices will likely be minor through 2015, but it should happen.

3. 3-D Printing Stocks Will Bounce Back

There's no denying that futurists pitching 3-D printing as the industry of 2014 missed. Shares of niche leaders 3D Systems (DDD) and Stratasys (SSYS) have taken a beating in 2014 after being some of the hottest stocks in the two previous years.

There was too much hype. The stock prices were inflated. The printers were too expensive and slow for mainstream consumer adoption, and success in health care applications wasn't enough to sustain the high prices.

Now let's look ahead. Analysts see strong growth here. They see both companies posting better than 30% growth in revenue and earnings per share through 2015. The valuations are now reasonable. Both stocks should move higher.

4. Disney Will Move Higher in 2015

One of the big winners among the otherwise sleepy 30 Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) components is Disney (DIS). The stock has nearly doubled over the past two years and has more than tripled over the past five.

The good times should continue in the year ahead with highly anticipated Lucasfilm and Marvel movies hitting the silver screen, improving attendance at its theme parks and broader opportunities to monetize its valuable catalog through digital distribution.

5. Best Buy Will Move Lower in 2015

One of the biggest surprises of 2014 is that Best Buy (BBY) is closing out the year pretty much where it started. The stock that shed nearly half of its value in 2012 before more than tripling in 2013 had a ho-hum performance in 2014. The surprise here is that it didn't crater at a time when its smaller consumer electronics rivals got crushed and its own performance was pretty uninspiring.

Sales were ultimately flat over the past year, and that's also what analysts see in the new fiscal year. That's not very encouraging for investors hoping that the stock moves higher, especially as many online and showrooming trends continue to work against Best Buy.

Motley Fool contributor Rick Munarriz owns shares of Walt Disney. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of 3D Systems, Stratasys and Walt Disney. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. Check out our free report on one great stock to buy for 2015 and beyond.

 

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Those Fancy-Schmancy Gadgets Are Spying on You

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jesadaphorn
By Adam Levin

T'was the night after Christmas, when all through the house

Every stripe of device with no need of a mouse

Sent oodles of data to that Cloud in the Air

While their owners slept soundly, with nary a care...


When it comes to gifts from the Internet of Things department, there's no jolly guy in a white-trimmed red suit with a bag full of presents, no magic reindeer clip-clopping on the roof. In fact, it's far more likely that you'll never discern the pitter-pat of digital feet when you connect that IoT gift to your WiFi -- whether it belongs to members of a marketing team, cyber thieves or your garden-variety voyeur.

You know what I mean here. I'm talking about the new smart everything: televisions, various household help such as thermostats and water heaters, garage door openers, alarms, lights, medical devices, fitness wearables and baby monitors with many more connected devices coming early and often to a store near you.

You're Letting Spies Inside

You've hopefully heard this before with regard to your Facebook (FB) account and other social media sites, but it bears repeating: Whenever you are offered something free of charge or for a negligible fee, assume that you are the product. Often you are unwittingly pitching the product to acquaintances who are likely to buy the same thing -- this goes for all those products that ask to share information about your new acquisition on social media upon registration -- or you are helping the service that you just subscribed to (by purchasing their device) to perfect itself.

In a perfect world, this would be ... well, perfect. In the real world, IoT is still in the Wild West stage of its evolution. Indeed, smaller companies are rushing IoT products to market in a mad dash to beat bigger brands that have more at stake when it comes to security and therefore roll out new products and services with more deliberation and caution. As a result, you can't always be so sure that your data is going to be safe. Over the past few years, we've learned the hard way that there is no such thing as too safe or secure when it comes to cybercrime, and there are a whole host of organizations out there -- both big and small -- that are doing a miserable job of protecting you.

Just this year, a fitness wearable sold by Jawbone collected data about users' sleeping patterns after an earthquake in California and published it. The data was anonymized but still many users protested because they didn't realize that the product's privacy policy allowed Jawbone to do that. A similar device called FitBit transmitted information about users' sex lives. Both information gushers were enabled by untoward privacy policies unread by early adopters and users' false assumption that these products came with privacy controls set tightly as a default. (FitBit has since stopped tracking sex activity, Forbes reported, and Jawbone said its privacy policy is clear and the company doesn't share individual data without consent, Re/Code reported.)

Your Information Is Being Sold -- Again and Again

The rule here should be as follows: Assume you need to set your own long and strong password, and that every shred of your personal information is being passed along to third (and fourth and fifth) parties, and to set your permissions accordingly.

The fact is that few of us know much about the Internet of Things, but that doesn't stop us from wanting it in our homes and on our bodies. But as we snatch up connectable products with reckless abandon this Christmas season, the number one issue we face is the protection of our privacy and the security of our data.

The market for IoT products is snowballing. There are as many connected devices out there as there are human beings on the planet, and while estimates vary wildly, the lowball projection for 2020 is 25 billion IoT devices (the upper range is double that number). That's three to six IoT devices per person on the planet.

If the lucky owners of this holiday season's latest crop of IoT products only knew the downside of the seamless convenience promised (but not always delivered) by web-enabled products, they might be as sleepless as every child was on the night before Christmas.

Adam Levin is chairman and co-founder of Credit.com and Identity Theft 911 and former director of the New Jersey Division of Consumer Affairs.

 

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3 Industries That Need to Bounce Back in 2015

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3dsystems.com
With 2014 coming to a close, the market's setting itself up to post modest gains for the year. Naturally, a rising tide doesn't lift all ships. There are a few industries that have fallen out of favor this year despite the gains elsewhere.

Let's take a look at three markets that have been battered in 2014. There's a lot riding on them bouncing back in the year ahead.

3-D Printing

One of the hottest new industries of 2012 and 2013 was 3-D printing. 3D Systems (DDD) and Stratasys (SSYS) were two of Wall Street's biggest winners as investors got pumped about the prospects of printers that produce physical 3-D objects in a wide range of forms, colors, and textures.

Reality hasn't been as kind as the romanticized vision of 3-D printing. There have been pricing and performance stumbling blocks. The machines are still too expensive and too slow.

3D Systems may have seen its stock more than triple in 2012 and more than double in 2013, but it's one of this year's most prolific laggards. Shares of 3D Systems have shed nearly two-thirds of their value. Adjusted earnings tumbled in its latest quarter, and 3D Systems warned of delays in new consumer products and a slowdown in metal printer sales.

Stratasys initially held up well, but it has gone on to buckle along with 3D Systems and the other publicly traded 3-D printing specialists. It, too, had to hose down its guidance in its most recent financial report, and Stratasys stock has plunged 40 percent in 2014.

Mobile Gaming

We're in a mobile computing revolution, but the makers of mobile games aren't exactly feeling the love. We saw Zynga (ZNGA) implode in 2012 as gross bookings slipped at the company behind "Words With Friends" and "FarmVille"; after moving higher in 2013, it resumed its slide in 2014.

Shares of Zynga have fallen 28 percent this year, and it's not alone. King Digital Entertainment (KING) went public earlier this year, hoping that it could parlay the success of its "Candy Crush Saga" casual game into a hot IPO. It didn't last. Shares of King have also gone on to shed more than a quarter of their value since the company went public at $22.50 in February.

The problem with mobile gaming companies is that smartphone and tablet owners are too fickle. Games peak in popularity too quickly, and the barrier to entry is low. There's no shortage of hot apps that come and go.

A perfect illustration of the quick spike and hard fall in this niche is Glu Mobile (GLUU). It soared this summer when a Kim Kardashian game raced up the Android and iOS app charts. However, it didn't stay there for long, and Glu has gone on to give back nearly all of its summertime gains.

Energy

The year is coming to a close with energy stocks attempting to stage a comeback after getting battered in recent weeks. With gasoline prices plunging, it's not a surprise to see everyone from offshore drillers to oil producers to pipeline operators taking a hit.

Many consumers don't seem to mind. They're relishing the benefits of cheap gasoline, and that goes beyond simply making it cheaper to get around. Cheaper fuel makes it less expensive to produce goods and transport them to end users. There may be deflationary concerns if energy prices stay low for too long, but for now the market's not in a hurry to see this particular market bounce back.

Motley Fool contributor Rick Munarriz has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of 3D Systems and Stratasys. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. Is your portfolio ready for the new year? Check out our free report on one great stock to buy for 2015 and beyond.

 

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The 5 Best Investments of 2014

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India Economy
Aijaz Rahi/AP
Stock-market investors continued to have good fortune in 2014, with the Dow Jones Industrials (^DJI) having set more than three dozen records this year and the S&P 500 (^GPSC) topping the Dow's returns with another year of double-digit percentage performance. Yet even though investors are generally happy with the performance of the broader market, certain investment niches produced even healthier returns for investors during 2014. Let's look at five of the best-performing investments in 2014 to see what clues they might have to help you improve your own investing returns both next year and in the future.

5. Semiconductor Stocks

The technology sector performed well in 2014, and initiatives like the rise of cloud computing and the Internet of Things especially helped the semiconductor industry. After years of tepid performance through damaging price wars and supply gluts, the rising demand for chips for mobile devices and enterprise technology infrastructure broke the industry out of a long slump and produced huge gains for investors. The Market Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) climbed 32 percent in 2014, with strong performance from companies ranging from industry giant Intel (INTC) to smaller players like Skyworks Solutions (SWKS). Technology needs are only going to increase, and that should bode well for semiconductor stocks in 2015 and beyond as well.

4. Real Estate Investments

Interest rates remained in check in 2014, and low financing costs brought out the best in the real-estate industry. Real-estate investment trusts performed exceptionally well, with the iShares Cohen & Steers REIT ETF (ICF) climbing 36 percent for the year. Strength came from across the REIT spectrum, with good returns from retail, storage-facility, health care, and commercial properties alike. As interest rates threaten to move back upward, though, REITs could see a tougher environment ahead. Even though bullish investors could rightly say that the same objections applied at the beginning of 2014, REITs won't be able to produce such stellar returns in anything but the most favorable rate environment.

3. Long-Term Treasury Bonds

Along the same lines as REITs, long-term Treasury bonds proved to be a huge surprise in 2014. Most investors expected long-term rates to soar in 2014, but instead, rates on the 30-year bond plunged from close to 4 percent in January to around 2.8 percent in December. That produced huge returns for bond investors, with the Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (EDV) climbing more than 40 percent for the year and other long-term Treasury funds posting respectable gains in the 20 to 25 percent range. Again, with further declines in long-term rates being unlikely, investors shouldn't expect similarly huge gains in 2015, and there's the risk of losses in the Treasury arena if rates rise substantially.

2. Biotechnology Companies

The biotech industry is a boom-or-bust business, where long years of waiting can end in huge success or utter failure. During 2014, many biotech companies got good news, lifting the SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI) to gains of almost 40 percent. Big names like Amgen (AMGN) and Biogen Idec (BIIB) put up respectable returns this year, but the blockbuster performances were reserved for smaller standouts like Intercept Pharmaceuticals (ICPT) and Achillion Pharmaceuticals (ACHN). In many cases, biotech stocks have soared before the companies involved actually have products approved, so biotechs will have to follow through on their business fundamentals in order to satisfy investors going forward.

1. Indian Stocks

Emerging markets had a mixed year, but India got a huge shot in the arm as a pro-business government won power. iShares MSCI India Small-Cap (SMIN) capitalized the most with a 48 percent gain on the year, but even larger-cap funds enjoyed returns of 25 to 30 percent. New Prime Minister Narendra Modi has strongly supported growth and development in the huge Indian economy, and with more than a billion people on the subcontinent, India has immense potential to become a key economic power not just in Asia but throughout the world. Even with its big gains in 2014, India has more room to grow, and that could further reward shareholders in the future.

Motley Fool contributor Dan Caplinger likes finding winning investments. You can follow him on Twitter @DanCaplinger or on Google+. The Motley Fool recommends Intel. The Motley Fool owns shares of Intel and Skyworks Solutions. To read about our favorite high-yielding dividend stocks for any investor, check out our free report.

 

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Sony Blows 'The Interview,' Its Reputation, Its Future

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Sony Hack-The Interview
Richard Vogel/AP
When you blow an interview, you're going to miss the story or not get the job. Sony (SNE) blew "The Interview" this month -- and it may have a higher price to pay.

Yes, the narrative behind the ill-fated flick has tried to paint Sony as going from zero to hero. Sony went from being the bullied movie studio that pulled its Christmas Day release to a rock star that ultimately scoffed at safety concerns in offering the movie across several digital outlets and through any theater still willing to show it. Even the initial retreat has been whitewashed. It's no longer Sony that buckled under the pressure; it was merely reacting to the handful of leading multiplex operators that refused to screen the movie.

However, what can't be lost in all of the back-patting that Sony is receiving for finally cranking out the critically panned movie is that it was a bad decision executed poorly by a bad company.

Blowing "The Interview"

There is no shortage of debate when it comes to a studio's right to put out a movie. Even if it's as questionably offensive as depicting the graphic death of a sitting political figure, there's an argument to be made in favor of freedom of speech and the expression of art.

The rub here is that the film, by most accounts, is just not very good. More than half of the critics tracked by Rotten Tomatoes don't recommend viewing the movie, and that's not something that holds true for most of the comedies mining controversy and lewd humor for laughs. In other words, it's not as if Sony was necessarily fighting to get a good movie noticed.

The other and potentially bigger problem here is that this may have been an American release, but it's a movie that likely should have never been made by a movie studio owned by a Japanese company, given the tension with and proximity to China and North Korea.

This ultimately led to the hacker attack that exposed a ton of unflattering emails between Sony's top studio executives and the folks that make movies. It remains to be seen how many careers were crushed at Sony over this, but it's a fair bet that some other projects that Sony was working on may suffer as a result of the embarrassing leaks.

Only the Sony

Sony has suffered costly attacks from hackers before, mostly to its Sony PlayStation Network. There was even a Christmas outage, though it wasn't on the same scale as an earlier attack that shut down the online gaming platform for weeks.

Sony wasn't at its best even before the controversy. Back in September, it suspended its dividend for the first time since 1958.

Sony has been profitless in all but one year since fiscal 2008, and it's not necessarily any closer this year after selling off its unprofitable computer business and spinning off its equally profitless TV manufacturing operations. It also recently took a 10-figure impairment hit to write down the value of its smartphone business.

The subsidiary-shedding move has placed a greater emphasis on entertainment, and that didn't seem like such a bad plan a few months ago when the PlayStation 4 became the top dog in the latest generation of consoles and digital distribution offered new ways for creators of content to monetize their catalogs. However, the reputation-damaging email leaks and the latest PlayStation hack find Sony retreating to a core that's under attack. Sony may deserve some praise for its resilience under pressure in recent weeks, but at the end of the day, it's a weaker company after all of the knocks. With profits and now dividends gone, the only real surprise ending here is that Sony shares have beaten the market in back-to-back years now. That's not likely to continue given the decaying fundamentals.

Motley Fool contributor Rick Munarriz has no position in any stocks mentioned, and neither does The Motley Fool. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. Is your portfolio ready for the new year? Check out our free report on one great stock to buy for 2015 and beyond.

 

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Savings Resolutions for the New Year -- Savings Experiment

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Savings Resolutions for the New Year
Have you been trying to save money, but still find yourself a little short on your rainy day fund? Sometimes putting a simple savings plan in place can do the trick. Here are a few easy ways to help you boost your budget in the new year.

First, kick things off by committing to a yearlong savings plan, like the 52-week Savings Challenge. Start by saving $1 in the first week of January, $2 in the second, $3 in the third and so on. After 52 weeks, you'll have saved a total of $1,378 in the bank without even realizing it.

Another popular way to see some yearly savings is to set up monthly transfers. All you have to do is set up a separate account for extra funds and then arrange to have a little money automatically transferred into it every week. It's just like setting up "auto-pay" for your bills, except you're paying yourself.

When it comes to unexpected bonus income, be smart. While a little quick cash can tempt anyone to splurge, using a simple rule of thirds can help keep your funds from disappearing entirely. Here's how it works: Set aside one-third of the money to put toward any past debts. Save another third for the future, and then use the remaining for whatever you want in the present.

Step up your savings for the new year with these tips. With the right plan in place, you can bump-up your budget, one day at a time.

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From West Virginia, the World's Purest Titanium Powder

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Making High Tech Dreams a Reality in West Virginia

One of the hardest things about Matt DuBois' high tech job is trying to explain it to his friends and relatives who live in the rugged mountains of northeastern West Virginia.

First off, it's not the job DuBois expected to land -- he majored in history and religious studies at West Virginia University -- and he's a born-and-bred mountaineer, who plays guitar and loves to hike.

But at just 28, DuBois has found a great job he loves only 20 minutes from the small town where he grew up. His job: a production supervisor at Puris LLC, a small company that makes titanium powder in the tiny town of Bruceton Mills, West Virginia.

JP FulksMatt DuBois at work at Puris.
Most people know at least something about titanium, an expensive metal that's lighter and stronger than steel. One of Earth's most common elements, it's resistant to extreme heat and corrosion, which is why it's perfect for airplane parts, knee replacements and golf clubs.

But titanium powder is altogether different. Few people know much about it or how it's used. Made of millions of microscopic spherical titanium beads in a process that involves melting and atomizing bars of titanium, the powder is sold to manufacturers, who then turn it into the metal they use to make their titanium products.

It's safe to say there's no other job like DuBois' in his neck of West Virginia's woods. He's one of only 14 employees, including management, in a company not yet six months old. But his job -- his career, actually -- is looking more secure all the time.

While Puris doesn't come close to making the most titanium powder in the industry, says its CEO Craig Kirsch, it does make the purest titanium powder in the world with its one-of-a-kind all-titanium atomizer. And because the emerging 3-D printing industry is starting to increase its use of metals like powdered titanium, demand for the high-tech, high-quality product Puris makes is likely only to go up.

JP FulksPuris makes the world's purest titanium powder in a plant in Bruceton Mills, West Virigina.
Chapter One: Printing with Powder

Until recently titanium powder was used mostly to make parts for the aerospace, medical and the oil and gas industries. But in the last few years, it's found a potentially huge market in 3-D printing, a manufacturing process that is rapidly changing the way many products are made.

New generations of large industrial printers can use super-thin layers of powdered metals, including titanium, to slowly "print out" almost any solid three-dimensional object designed and controlled by a computer. That includes everything from bicycle frames to a perfectly fitted human jawbone.

Titanium powder sells for upwards of $200 a pound, depending on the powder's size and purity. Absolute purity, which is what Puris specializes in, is crucial in making titanium powder. The smallest imperfection -- a single human hair, for instance -- can create a weak spot that can become a point of failure for whatever is made with the powder.

The 3-D printing boom changes everything for Puris, Kirsch says. He expects the revolutionary method of manufacturing to become the standard for how most titanium parts are made. It's fast, flexible and dramatically cuts production costs because 3-D printing uses less material than traditional manufacturing processes, which make metal parts from molded shapes that have to be milled or ground down. No one knows yet how big the demand for pure titanium powder will be, Kirsch says. But in the next four years he expects the 3-D printing industry to double its use of all grades of titanium powder.

Puris is ready to take advantage of that growth, he says. It already has the people, the patents, the equipment and the production capacity to make 300,000 pounds of pure titanium powder per year. That's more than any competitor, he says. Puris can also potentially double its production within a year or two by hiring just six workers and installing a second atomizer to make the powder.

JP Fulks

Chapter 2: Titanium and Trust

Kirsch, 49, has a background in accounting and finance, not metallurgy. But in 2014 he and a group of investors created Puris by buying the uniquely valuable pieces of FMW Composite Systems, a Bridgeport, West Virginia, company that had gone bankrupt.

Originally started in 1993 to make rubber fuel systems for Army half-track vehicles, FMW evolved into producing titanium parts for both the military and commercial aerospace customers, including components for F-16 and F-22 fighter planes.

In 2012, FMW built the facility in Bruceton Mills to increase its production of an expensive composite material called TMC, which is made from titanium and silicon carbide fiber and used to make structural components for aerospace and military use. Some of its TMC went into the making of a light, but super-strong, cargo carrier that took supplies to the Hubble Space Telescope.

He felt the Bruceton Mills facility was a priceless national asset.

FMW needed the purest titanium powder it could get to make TMC and because no company was making it, it began producing the powder in-house. The company installed an advanced gas atomizer that melted titanium bars and turned the dripping metal into high-grade powder by blasting it with argon gas. When the large TMC program the company was working on for the federal government came to a successful end, FMW could find no customers for TMC in the private sector and in 2013 it had to file for bankruptcy.

Kirsch and his partners bought FMW in 2014 because he saw the growing market for titanium powder in 3-D printing. He also felt the Bruceton Mills facility was a priceless national asset and thought it would be a shame if it and its equipment were allowed to just disappear, be scattered or mothballed.

Kirsch then merged it with Summit Materials, a small Pittsburgh sales and consulting company owned by Eric Bono and research metallurgist Fred Yolton. Summit created and sold special wear-resistant titanium alloys for use by makers of bearings and knives. Bono and Yolton also briefly worked part-time at FMW before it went bankrupt. They helped design the patent-pending all-titanium atomizer that gives Puris the ability to make its pure titanium powder.

The merger was a perfect fit, Kirsch says. Puris needed Summit's brainpower and marketing savvy. Summit needed Puris' financial capital, assets and pure titanium powder. The parties trusted each other so much, say Kirsch and Bono, the deal was sealed with only a handshake and they worked together for several months until the merger became legal.

Bono, 41, is now Puris' vice president in charge of business development, looking for new uses for titanium powder. Yolton, 70, has the simpler title of "technical fellow," but his role is far more complicated than the title implies.

Yolton is a world-renowned pioneer in titanium powder atomization. "It's safe to say most people in the industry know who Fred Yolton is," says Kirsch, who jokingly, but reverentially, calls him "the godfather" of atomized powder.

Serene and professorial, Yolton spent his entire 45-year career in Pittsburgh working in powdered metallurgy at Crucible Materials Corp. Since 1990 his primary research has been on titanium powder, how to make it as pure as possible and what to make out of it.

He and Bono became colleagues and friends at Crucible in the early 2000s, and after Yolton retired in 2009 Bono asked him to start Summit Materials with him. Bono says he wouldn't have formed his company if Yolton hadn't agreed to become his partner. "There's not anyone else I would have trusted technically," he says.

Yolton says he's excited about being teamed up with a company that has the vision and courage to expand the use of titanium powder into the new and uncharted territory of 3-D printing.

Both Bono and Yolton commute to Bruceton Mills from Pittsburgh. Despite the distance, about 75 miles on the highway, being in Pittsburgh allows Yolton to continue his research into testing titanium powder in 3-D printers made by ExOne, a leader in industrial printing.

"Fred's helping us to look beyond what we're doing today," Kirsch says. "The 3-D printing companies who want to use titanium powder to make things don't know how to do it yet, and we ultimately want to teach them everything because we want them to buy our powder."

Chapter Three: Producing Pure Powder

Puris' nondescript white metal building shares an exit on Interstate 68 with a few trucking companies, a convenience store and a Microtel Inn that is Kirsch's second home when he commutes from Raleigh, North Carolina.

But step inside the cavernous 50,000-square-foot facility and you are transported into a brightly lit space with gleaming floors clear of any industrial clutter. A banner on a wall boasts the corporate slogan: "Puris -- Fanatically Clean."

The most important piece of equipment in the factory is the silver and gray atomizer FMW built in 2012 to make pure titanium powder. It's about 15 feet by 15 feet with a set of metal steps leading to an open-air control center that looks like the cab of diesel locomotive.

The atomizer melts titanium rods at 3,000 degrees in an all-titanium environment. Then it blasts the dripping metal with inert argon gas to create tiny beads of pure titanium. The industrial violence occurs out of sight inside the guts of the atomizer, which doesn't smoke or clang, but fills the plant with a loud steady hissing sound when it's working.

"These machines have a personality. If there's something weird going on, you can definitely tell." - Matt DuBois

No Puris employee actually ever sees the titanium in its powdered form. It falls into a sealed argon-packed canister and is transferred into a larger sealed container for shipping to customers. Nothing -- not a piece of fuzz or a whiff of oxygen -- can contaminate the final product.

Next to the atomizer sits the larger blue hulk of the plasma arc melter. Puris' customers usually supply their own titanium rods for melting, which contain the exact mix of alloys they want. But if Puris needs to make rods from scratch, this machine can transform 1,500 pounds of porous titanium ore -- or sponge, as it's called -- into six shiny bars 40 inches long and 2 inches wide.

Probably no one has a better feel for the technical idiosyncrasies, subtle sounds and day-to-day workings of the atomizer and the arc melter than DuBois.

He may be a mountaineer, not an engineer, but he has the kind of intimate, hands-on knowledge of the magical machines that can't be taught. DuBois helped construct Puris' building and he uncrated and put together the gas atomizer and the plasma arc melter bolt by bolt.

When he runs the atomizer, which is one of his favorite jobs, his musician's ear comes in handy. "The more you run something, the more familiar you get with it," he explains. "You can hear how much gas is flowing through it. You can feel how the machine is running. These machines have a personality. If there's something weird going on, you can definitely tell."

For more Made in the U.S.A. stories, go to This Built America.

 

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Market Wrap: Modest Losses in a Quiet Day

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Greece Europe Economy
Kostas Tsironis/APWorries about Greece were said to be among the factors affecting global stock markets.

By Ken Sweet

NEW YORK -- Lingering concerns about the political future of Greece pushed U.S. and global stock markets modestly lower on Tuesday. Trading was slow as most investors have closed their books for 2014. It was the eighth-slowest day of the year on the New York Stock Exchange.

As been the case several times this year, investors turned their eyes to Europe. Greek stocks stabilized after a volatile day Monday, when the country's government was forced to call elections that could create more economic turmoil. Investors worry that the elections might be won by the left-wing opposition Syriza party, which opposes the austerity measures associated with Greece's international financial rescue deal. The Athens stock market plunged as much as 11 percent on Monday before recovering some of those losses to close down 4 percent that day.

"An election puts all sorts of doubt on the future of the bailout agreement," said Stan Shamu, a market strategist at IG Markets. "Potentially markets had already priced this in, but I would still remain cautious around Greece."

U.S. stocks opened lower and stayed down throughout the day. The Dow Jones industrial average (^DJI) lost 55.16 points, or 0.3 percent, to 17,983.07. The Standard & Poor's 500 (^GPSC) index lost 10.22 points, or 0.5 percent, to 2,080.35 and the Nasdaq composite (^IXIC) fell 29.47 points, or 0.6 percent, to 4,777.44. he day's losses were broad, with each of the ten primary S&P 500 sectors in negative territory. Utilities -- 2014's best sector performer -- led the decline with a drop of 2.1 percent.

European markets also fell. France's CAC 40 lost 1.7 percent, Germany's DAX declined 1.2 percent and Britain's FTSE 100 dropped 1.3 percent. Greece's stock market fell 0.4 percent.

Closing Out the Year

At this point, most investors are done trading for the year. The market is also expected to be quiet Wednesday ahead of New Year's Day holiday, however oftentimes the last trading day of the year does see a modest burst of trading as some investors shift their portfolios around for tax purposes. With one more trading day in 2014, the S&P 500 is up 12.6 percent for the year, or 15.4 percent including dividends. That gain is almost double what stock market strategists expected at the beginning of the year.

"There were some negative surprises along the way, including the Ebola scare and increasing social tensions around the globe," Gary Thayer, chief macro strategist at Wells Fargo Advisors, wrote in a note to investors. "However, U.S. markets were able to weather these problems as (the U.S. economy) improved."

NeuroDerm (NDRM) soared more than 193 percent to $18.14 on heavy volume after it said data from a mid-stage study suggested that a higher dose of its Parkinson's drug could provide an alternative to treatments that require surgery.

Civeo (CVEO), which provides temporary housing for oilfield workers and miners, late Monday slashed its workforce and forecast revenue could fall by one-third as slumping crude prices force oil producers to cut costs. The stock plunged 52.6 percent to $3.92 on volume of about 56.2 million shares, the most active day in its history.

Other Markets, Commodities, Currencies

In other markets, the dollar fell against the euro and yen. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell to 2.19 percent from 2.20 percent Monday. Gold rose $18.50 to $1,200.40 an ounce, silver rose 50 cents to $16.28 an ounce and copper rose three cents to $2.85 a pound.

Benchmark U.S. crude rose 51 cents to settle at $54.12 a barrel in New York. On Monday, the contract plunged $1.12 to settle at $53.61. Brent crude, a benchmark for international oils used by many U.S. refineries, edged up two cents to close at $57.90 a barrel in London. In other energy commodities, wholesale gasoline was little changed at $1.454 a gallon, heating oil rose two cents to $1.869 a gallon and natural gas fell 10.5 cents to close at $3.094 per 1,000 cubic feet.

In the latest economic data, consumer confidence rose slightly less than expected in December, while U.S. single-family home price appreciation slowed less than forecast in October.



What to Watch Wednesday:
  • Weekly jobless claims are released at 8:30 a.m.
Reuters contributed to this article.

 

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9 Simple, Quick Ways to Cut Back on Food Waste

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Want to trim back your expenses without lowering your standard of living? Pledge to only buy food that you'll actually eat.

Yes, we know that food waste is the definition of a first world problem. "I have so much food, I don't have time to eat it all!" But this problem is still real -- and it's draining your bank account. Letting food go to waste is a huge budget drain. So consider these steps:


Paula Pant quit her office job in 2008, traveled to 32 countries and became a successful real estate investor. Her blog Afford Anything is the groundswell of a rebellion against standard, tired old financial advice that says you should skip lattes and chain yourself to a desk for 40 years. Afford Anything is dedicated to crushing limits, creating riches and maximizing life.

 

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The Biggest Risk You're Taking With Your Retirement Nest Egg

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safe haven green road sign with ...
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By Vanessa Richardson

Investors can afford to be aggressive when they're younger. But in their 50s or 60s? That aggressive manner should be mellowing down.

Yet the vast majority of investors who are approaching retirement age are way too heavily invested in stocks. Investment company SigFig recently analyzed the asset allocation of more than 30,000 investors and compared that to their ideal allocation, based on their risk profile and investment horizon.

The results: across all age groups, investment portfolios were too heavy on equities and too light on fixed income. Of baby boomers, only 3 percent of those in their 50s and 2 percent of those in their 60s had an allocation to fixed income investments that corresponded to their age risk tolerance, as determined by SigFig's questionnaire and an estimate of a well-balanced allocation.



Bonds? What Bonds?

A
study released earlier this year by the Investment Company Institute, a mutual fund industry group, found that a third of investors in their 50s had 100 percent of their IRA accounts in stocks -- and so did a quarter of those age 60 to 64.

For boomers easing into retirement, having 100 percent of their portfolio in equities probably doesn't feel too reassuring at times like the first half of this December, when the S&P 500 (^GPSC) fell more than 3.5 percent. More importantly, it's a risky strategy. You don't need to look back further than 2008-09 to know why.

Why the Love of Stocks?
  • It's the great recession, stupid. Investors, especially those boomer-age and up, are still feeling the effects of the market crash in 2008-09. According to the Federal Reserve, Americans saw $1.3 trillion of wealth vaporize in the first quarter of 2009 alone. Many older investors saw their retirement portfolios shrink so much that they might still be heavily invested in equities to make up their losses.
  • Bonds are boring. Investing in Apple (AAPL) is sexy. Investing in Treasury bills is just not. Stocks are easier to understand and to follow online. Bonds, with their multiple maturity rates, yields, prices and other factors to follow, can be head-scratchers. Most Main Street investors lack a deep knowledge of bonds.
  • Bond yields are low. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury dropped to 2.07 percent this month (as of Dec 16, 2014): a 19-month low. That's due to factors ranging from tame inflation to slow global growth, and many investors end up chasing higher returns elsewhere.
Three Investing Strategies for Retirement

Despite all that, simply ignoring fixed-income investments is a big mistake, especially for those approaching retirement.
  1. Review your asset allocation now. The end of the year is a great time to do this, anyway. Are you too heavily invested in stocks? If you're over 50, your retirement nest egg probably shouldn't be invested in 100 percent of any one asset class. That doesn't mean you should give up on equities, of course. Jane Bryant Quinn, a personal finance expert at AARP, cites one investing strategy that recommends a 55 percent allocation to stock funds for 65-year-old investors. That might sound aggressive -- and it might be for some risk-averse investors. But with life expectancy and working careers extending, investors can afford to absorb more market swings and need more cash to make it through a lengthy retirement.
  2. Get a fix on your fixed income. Take a look at all the low-risk sources of money you can get, including Social Security, a pension, lifetime-payout annuities, inflation-adjusted bonds, short-term bond funds and certificates of deposit. All your essential expenses during retirement should be covered by these investments. Consider it your "safe" money.
  3. Rethink your expenses. If the "safe money" won't produce enough income to cover your basic expenses, rethink and reduce those expenses. You shouldn't gamble on stocks to cover them.
Sure, stocks are glamorous -- and the market's been on the rise for nearly five years now. The Dow Jones industrial average (^DJI) in late December topped 18,000 for the first time. What could go wrong?

As the great recession showed us, ignoring boring fixed-income investments can cause you many sleepless nights in a bear market. With age should come wisdom, and that means building a smart portfolio that's safe enough to keep you going through the many decades of your golden years.

Vanessa Richardson is a contributing writer at SigFig. Nearly a million people use SigFig to track, improve and manage over $300 billion in investments.

 

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'Frozen' Will Be a Hard Act for Disney to Follow in 2015

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Frozen Frenzy
DisneyDisney has some big princess shoes to fill in 2015.
There's no denying that 2014 was the year of "Frozen." Disney's (DIS) hit animated feature is still making waves, even though it was released more than 13 months ago. The latest accolade came when the Associated Press tapped "Frozen" as 2014's Entertainer of the Year -- with 50 percent more votes than second-place finisher Taylor Swift.

Putting the Biz in Show Business

"Frozen" has set the bar high since hitting theaters late last year. It topped $400 million at the box office domestically. It's been a bigger hit overseas, ringing up $1.274 billion in worldwide ticket sales. That's enough to make it the fifth highest-grossing film of all time, and the top dog of all time when it comes to animated features.

That's just one part of the story. Disney continues to find ways to cash in on its tale of princess sisters featuring some of the catchiest tunes in the family entertainment giant's decorated vault of singsong classics.

The latest no-brainer play was making the franchise the cornerstone of last week's nationally televised Christmas parade. Disney even changed the name of its annual broadcast to "Disney Parks Frozen Christmas Celebration." The parade airs every year on Christmas Day. It's probably not a coincidence that it plays on ABC: Disney owns the network. Disney has a funny way of owning a lot of the tools that it can use to turn a hit property into a monster-hit property.

The parade capped off a holiday season dominated by the franchise. The National Retail Federation's annual survey of toy demand revealed that Disney's "Frozen" line topped Mattel's (MAT) Barbie as the plaything purchase of choice for girls this season. That's a big deal for Disney shareholders, since Barbie delivered $1.2 billion in sales for Mattel in 2013.

This wraps up a year in which Disney has made "Frozen" the star of its theme parks, traveling "on ice" skating shows, and even ABC's cult fave "Once Upon a Time" television series.

Do You Want to Build a New Year?

It doesn't end here, of course. ABC will premiere "Galavant" on Sundays in 2015. The musical show about royal mayhem that's been described as a cross between "The Princess Bride" and "Robin Hood: Men in Tights" will likely be riding the coattails that "Frozen" helped establish, blending royal discord with show-stopping tunes.

"Frozen" itself will also continue to be a thing. Disney closed down the most popular ride at Epcot's World Showcase in Florida a couple of months ago to replace it with a "Frozen" attraction come 2016. That's a long time given the fickle nature of kid-friendly trends, but Disney has a way of milking its properties long after they've peaked in popularity.

In short, it's not realistic to expect the fervor for "Frozen" to continue at the same level of 2014, but AP's now reigning Entertainer of the Year will continue to deliver a windfall to Disney and its shareholders through 2015 and beyond.

Motley Fool contributor Rick Munarriz owns shares of Walt Disney. The Motley Fool recommends Mattel and Walt Disney and owns shares of Walt Disney. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. Do you want to build a better portfolio in 2015? Check out The Motley Fool's one great stock to buy for 2015 and beyond.

 

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5 IPOs That Failed to Live Up to the Hype

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The popular game, Candy Crush Saga, played on an Apple iPad
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Investors tend to love shiny new things, making the IPO market a hotbed of excitement. More than 100 companies have gone public on stateside exchanges this year, but some of them have fallen flat. Let's take a look at a few of the market's more disappointing new issues.

Care.com (CRCM) -- Down 54 percent

One of this year's earliest IPOs was Care.com. The online marketplace for care services went public at $17 in January, but it has gone on to shed more than half of its value.

On the surface, Care.com should be a winner. Leveraging the power of the Internet to pair up nannies, tutors, maids, and senior-care pros with the families that want to hire them sounds like a winning model.

Growth is certainly there: There are now 5.8 million caregivers listed on the site, 37 percent more than a year earlier. Unfortunately, we're not seeing the profitability that the scalable Internet model seems to enhance when a company is moving in the right direction. Care.com will post another steep loss this year, and analysts don't see an annual profit until 2017 at the earliest.

Vivint Solar (VSLR) -- Down 44 percent

When home security giant Vivint decided to take its solar division public, it seemed like a slam dunk. Vivint had a thick Rolodex of homeowners as existing customers for other services, and the market was mesmerized by Elon Musk's SolarCity (SCTY), paving the way for another residential installer of solar energy systems to hit the market.

Unfortunately, Vivint went public in October, when the market was already starting to sour on SolarCity since its shares peaked in February. Vivint Solar didn't help its own chances by reporting a wider than expected loss in its first quarterly report as a public company in November.

Wayfair (W) -- Down 30 percent

Wayfair should've been the next dot-com darling. It managed to disrupt furniture retailing, something that many naysayers thought would never work online. Wayfair's multi-site approach and slick marketing helped drive sales from $517.3 million in 2011 to $601 million in 2012 and $915.8 million in 2013.

However, just as Care.com hasn't been able to overcome its deficit-riddled financial statements, Wayfair can't seem to turn the corner of profitability. Top-line growth is there, but earnings have been an armoire that's hard to crack open.

King Digital (KING) -- Down 29 percent

Investors should always be concerned when a company's flagship offering is starting to fade in popularity as it goes public. That's exactly what happened with King Digital, the mobile gaming giant that happened to time its IPO just as "Candy Crush Saga" was peaking in popularity.

King Digital has some promising games in its arsenal, but gross bookings for its biggest game started to fade late last year. It's not just candy that was crushed at King Digital in 2014.

Sportsman's Warehouse (SPWH) -- Down 24 percent

The outdoor sporting goods retailer's springtime IPO went off without a hitch at $9.50, but then the hunter became the hunted. Sportsman's Warehouse has been able to expand its retail reach, but sales are slipping at the individual store level.

Sportsman's Warehouse cites a drop in demand for firearms and ammunition for the problematic 9.5 percent plunge in comparable-store sales through the first three quarters of the year. The retailer remains quite profitable, but investors may be concerned that the chain went through Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection five years ago.

Motley Fool contributor Rick Munarriz has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of SolarCity. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. Is your portfolio ready for the new year? Check out our free report on one great stock to buy for 2015 and beyond.

 

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Why We Live in a Lawless, Gotcha Capitalism Economy

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Tearing up the rules
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By Bob Sullivan

If you want to know why corporations can thrive on their ability to trick consumers, I can explain it to you in four words: No material financial impact.

Recently, 45 state attorneys general thought enough about complaints filed against satellite radio firm Sirius XM (SIRI) that they bothered to initiate legal action against the firm. Plenty of customers (myself included) complained that they were surprised by credit card charges from the firm, which engaged in the old automatic renewal game.

When Sirius decided to settle, it paid some spare change. When asked by a consumer reporter (me) for a statement about the settlement, the firm was quick to stress how little it was. "We agreed to make a payment of approximately $4 million to the states that has no material financial effect on the company," the firm said in its statement.

Yes, I know that's specific language intended for Wall Street. The payment won't affect earnings guidance, etc., etc. But how can an intelligent person also not read that as a thumb to the nose (being polite here) at 45 states' top legal authority? Sure, you came after us, and we paid, but it didn't hurt. Nah Nah Nah. You can't hurt me! How can it not feel like a Bronx cheer to you?

Bad (Yet Familiar) Corporate Behavior

A little more background about the allegations against Sirius: Here's what Ohio Attorney General Mike DeWine said consumers complained about when he announced the settlement: "Difficulty canceling contracts; cancellation requests that were not honored; misrepresentations that the consumer's Sirius XM service would be canceled and not renewed; contracts that were automatically renewed without consumers' notice or consent; unauthorized fees; higher, unanticipated rates after a low introductory rate; and Sirius XM failing to provide timely refunds."

That list might sound bad, but I'll bet it also sounds awfully familiar. Plenty of companies make it incredibly easy to sign up and incredibly hard to stop paying them money. And why not? They know that their worst-case scenario is usually announcing a settlement that has no material impact. Sirius, by the way, agreed to a list of changes demanded by state attorneys general. It also agreed to compensate affected consumers, but they must ask for refunds by visiting this website.

Here is the company's full statement about the settlement: "We are pleased to have reached agreements that resolve this investigation. The changes to our consumer practices that we agreed to are practices we have already implemented at SiriusXM. Under the terms of the settlements, we have agreed to provide, upon the request of the states, additional information about our consumer practices and to participate in a process designed to address any previously unresolved consumer complaints. In addition, we agreed to make a payment of approximately $4 million to the states that has no material financial effect on the company."

We No Longer Have a Free Market

But here's the point: Companies routinely invent bad business practices, inflict them on consumers, get caught, use the legal system to delay, eventually admit guilt without admitting guilt, and make a token payment that's considered the cost of doing business.

This is why we don't have a free market anymore. We have a lawless economy that I call Gotcha Capitalism, and I've written a book about this. Free markets require perfect information on all sides of a transaction. They require clear price tags. In Gotcha Capitalism, we have little idea what things cost.

Maybe they cost $10 a month, until they cost $25 a month at some point in the future. Or maybe $35. Who knows? If I'm a company, I don't want intelligent consumers who appreciate the value of the product they get. I want suckers who are too busy to check their credit card bills and too worn down to file official complaints, which is the only way you'll get a refund from Sirius.

Sure, this is annoying. But it's more than that. Gotcha Capitalism rewards bad behavior. It turns the normal reward function of capitalism on its head. Instead of good companies with good products and creative innovation rising to the top, we have companies that refine their gotcha mechanisms rising to the top.

They create just enough surprise to walk the thin line of the law -- or slip over it, but not enough to do something that might have a material impact on the bottom line. But for now, know this: Until bad behavior starts resulting in material impact, companies won't stop. And we'll remain stuck in the sucker economy.

 

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FedEx, UPS Recalculate, Raise Rates

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By Nick Carey

CHICAGO -- United Parcel Service (UPS) and FedEx (FDX) are rolling out pricing systems to curb online retailers' large package sizes. That means, of course, higher rates.

Starting Monday, UPS and FedEx will no longer charge for U.S. ground packages under 3 cubic feet by weight but by their "dimensional weight." Instead of simply weighing a box, retailers must multiply its length by its height and width, and then divide that by 166 to reach its dimensional weight.

"We believe this (dimensional weight pricing) will encourage customers to reduce their package sizes," Bill Smith, UPS vice president of marketing, told Reuters.

UPS and FedEx announced the change in May and have worked to help customers adjust. But some small firms lack the resources to change packaging and may switch to the U.S. Postal Service, said Amine Khechfe, general manager of Endicia, which offers shipping solutions for e-commerce vendors. Under the new systems, according to Endicia, a woman's shoulder bag weighing 2 pounds -- shipped in a box measuring 19 by 15 by 5 inches -- will have a dimensional weight of 9 pounds and cost 45 percent more to ship.

More Business Headed for the Post Office

Atlanta-based UPS says retailers are shipping lighter goods but have not shrunk the size of their packaging materials.

"We need to charge a fair value for use of our asset, which in this case is space," FedEx spokesman Jess Bunn told Reuters.

Online retailers such as Amazon (AMZN) are expected to be prepared. But smaller firms like Oregon-based Natura Health Products would struggle: It expects to pay 36 percent more for shipping many packages. Natura sells nutritional supplement products, many for cancer patients, and spends about $180,000 a year on shipping through FedEx and USPS, said logistics manager Chris Thorsen. To avoid such increases, the company will shift more shipping business in 2015 to U.S. Postal Service. The share shipped by USPS will rise to about 50 percent from 40 percent in 2014.

The USPS still charges by weight. In July, it announced some price cuts to target e-commerce.

Research firm Morningstar estimates e-commerce will grow at least 10 percent annually over the next five years. Analyst Keith Schoonmaker said such growth and the new pricing model will allow UPS and FedEx to let some of this low-yield business to the post office.

 

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Coca-Cola's Going Flat in More Ways Than One

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A Coca Cola can flattened in the road next to a red route road marking in bright red paint, London, UK.
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A flat soda is bad, but for Coca-Cola (KO) investors, a flat stock chart is even worse. The world's largest beverage company's stock is trading marginally higher in 2014, and while that's enough to keep an impressive streak alive -- six consecutive years of higher closing prices -- it's undeniable that Coca-Cola's business is in a funk.

Sluggish soda sales that are being barely offset by growth initiatives in new beverage lines are taking a toll on Coca-Cola. Revenue and gross profit declined through the first nine months of 2014, and the former market darling is now cutting costs to keep its profitability on track.

Coca-Cola will be laying off as many as 2,000 employees in the coming weeks, sources are telling the Wall Street Journal. The days of shuttling execs around in fancy limos and springing for lavish Wall Street parties are being set aside for now.

The stock may be on a six-year winning streak, but Coca-Cola's going to have to bounce back if it wants to stretch that record to seven in 2015.

Taking Names

We're not drinking soda in this country the way we used to, and that's a problem for more than just Coca-Cola. Industry watcher Beverage Digest has been reporting shrinking consumption in the U.S. for nine consecutive years.

An occasional gimmicky rollout blurs the trend. For Coca-Cola, we saw that earlier this year with its "Share a Coke" campaign, which featured cans bearing names or terms of endearment. However, even with that kind of spike, we saw Coca-Cola's case volume shrink 1 percent in this country during the third quarter relative to the same period a year earlier.

Coca-Cola may consider itself lucky. Rival PepsiCo (PEP) saw its carbonated-soft-drink volume slip 1.5 percent in North America in its latest quarter.

A couple of years ago the concern could've been that folks were bypassing soda in bottles and cans to make carbonated beverages at home, but no one's making that argument now that SodaStream (SODA) is getting crushed. As uninspiring as it may be to see volume dry up slightly for Coca-Cola and PepsiCo through 2014, things are far worse at SodaStream, where revenue in the Americas plunged by 41 percent during the same quarter that saw Coca-Cola and PepsiCo shrink by just 1 percent and 1.5 percent, respectively.

Coca-Cola Wants to Pour It On

Layoffs and pulling back on executive perks will dent morale, but it's not fair to say that Coca-Cola is afraid to spend money. After all, 2014 will be the year that the market remembers as the one when Coca-Cola spent billions to acquire minority stakes in energy-drink giant Monster (MNST) and single-serve coffee leader Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR).

Caffeine-packed energy drinks and blasts of K-Cup java may seem like odd interests for Coca-Cola, but it knows that it can't live off pop alone. (Its 500-plus brands already include other types of drinks, such as Dasani water, Minute Maid orange juice and Fuze tea.) It's expected to post a slight dip in revenue and earnings per share for all of 2014 when it reports in February, and analysts see flat growth at both ends of the income statement in 2015.

That isn't going to work in the long run. Coca-Cola has one of the more impressive streaks on Wall Street in hiking its quarterly dividend for 50 straight years, but that is only sustainable if Coca-Cola's fundamentals begin moving in the right direction again. The past year was problematic for its fundamentals. The year ahead could be problematic for its shareholders.

Motley Fool contributor Rick Munarriz owns shares of Keurig Green Mountain and SodaStream. The Motley Fool recommends Coca-Cola, Keurig Green Mountain, Monster Beverage, PepsiCo and SodaStream. The Motley Fool owns shares of Monster Beverage, PepsiCo and SodaStream and has the following options: long January 2016 $37 calls on Coca-Cola and short January 2016 $37 puts on Coca-Cola. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. Want a sweet deal? Check out our free report on our favorite high-yielding dividend stocks.

 

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On the 2015 Menu: Smokiness, Bitterness and Pistachios

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By Frances Largeman-Roth

Here's a glimpse of healthy foods and trends I think we'll be tasting more of in 2015:

1. Riffs on Hot Veggies

For the past couple of years, people have been asking me what the "next kale" is going to be. Cauliflower gave it a solid try this year, but it didn't quite have the crowd appeal that kale has commanded.

But perhaps in 2015 we'll get another sizzling hot vegetable in the form of kale sprouts, also known as kalettes, BrusselKale and lollipop kale. Kale sprouts are a cross between red Russian kale and Brussels sprouts, and look like a tiny head of kale. Their flavor is peppery and their texture crisp. You can use them like you'd use kale -- in salads or sautéed with olive oil and garlic.

We're also set to see more availability of vegetables, like rainbow carrots and broccoflower -- a cross between cauliflower and broccoli -- that have previously been limited to farmers markets.

2. Up in Smoke

According to "Supermarket Guru" Phil Lempert, we'll be seeing lots more smoked foods in the coming year. Smoked salt made its debut about five years ago, and the trend has been gaining steam ever since. Lempert says we'll be seeing smoked vegetables, butters and even cocktails in 2015.

3. Bitter Beckons

Americans seem to finally be getting over their love affair with all things sweet and are experimenting with the alluring bite of bitter. From craft IPAs to Negronis and straight up bitters, we've been getting our acerbic on at the bar. According to restaurant consulting firm Baum and Whiteman's annual trend report, we'll be seeing bitter chocolate, more bitter greens and bitter coffee used in savory dishes. Plus, turmeric -- the ancient anti-inflammatory spice with a strong flavor and deep yellow-orange color -- continues to show up in teas and other beverages.

4. 50 Shades of Green

Baum and Whiteman declare that pistachios are the "nut of the year" for 2015. Perhaps it's due to those wacky Stephen Colbert commercials or their Mediterranean origins, but pistachios are definitely going to be having their moment. Look for the little green nut in sauces, on pizza, mixed into guacamole and even folded into pancake batter.

We'll also be seeing matcha everywhere, says Baum and Whitman's Michael Whiteman. A vivid powder that's produced from finely grinding up green tea leaves, matcha has a sweet, earthy flavor with a high antioxidant content. Whiteman has been seeing it in pesto and doughnuts, and I included it in a panna cotta recipe in my cookbook, "Eating in Color." And yes, hipsters, there's even a MatchaBar in Williamsburg, Brooklyn. Time to get your green on.

5. Plant Protein Gains Strength

I'd say 2014 was definitely the year of pea protein, fueled by a growing number of vegans and a distrust of soy protein. The coming year will usher in food companies offering more ways to get your plant protein on in the form of ancient grains such as freekeh, barley and farro. We'll also see more sprouted grain products, as they boost the protein content of breads, wraps and flours. Kashi will debut a new sprouted grain cereal in March.

We'll also see an increased use of nuts to boost protein content. And even the big fast casual chains will go plant-based. Chipotle (CMG) just finished rolling out tofu-based sofritas.

6. Ingredient Delivery 2.0

New Yorkers and other urbanites have been spoiled by services such as FreshDirect and Peapod for some time now, but 2015 will be the year delivery services spread far and wide -- and get even faster. Lempert and others confirm that we'll see the expansion of same-day delivery from companies like Peapod, FreshDirect, Amazon Fresh (AMZN) and Instacart. And the meal delivery service Blue Apron will spread to all 50 states.

Frances Largeman-Roth is a registered dietitian and author. She has also been food and nutrition director at Health magazine, part of the editorial team at the Discovery Health Channel and managing editor at FoodFit.com.

 

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Dropping Off Your Rental Car Doesn't Mean You're Off the Hook

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By Christopher Elliott

Budget Rent a Car (CAR) recently quoted Roy Bonney a $96 rate for a one-day rental from Norfolk, Virginia, to Washington, D.C. But it sent him a bill for $3,374.

The reason? A tire on Bonney's car went flat only a few hours before his flight back home to Alaska, while he was parked at Joint Base Anacostia-Bolling, in the District. There was no spare, so he had to call Budget Roadside Assistance for help. Budget promised to send another car and a tow truck to pick up the car with the flat, but it gave an estimated arrival time of more than two hours -- not soon enough to catch his flight.

"I asked if I could leave the car for Budget to pick up, since they were sending a tow truck anyway, and I'd make other arrangements to get to the airport," he said. "A Budget employee agreed."

Bonney assumed that the phone conversation was an official transfer of the vehicle back to Budget. It wasn't. The tow truck couldn't access Bonney's vehicle because it wasn't allowed on base. So Budget treated the rental as if he'd never returned it, broadsiding him with a $3,278 bill.

Car rental company representatives say it's simple: Unless the vehicle is in their possession, it's your responsibility. The rental contract, which you sign when you pick up the car, is clear on that point. And in an industry that often has razor-thin margins, car rental companies claim they can't afford to look the other way if a car is damaged on the parking lot after hours or stuck on a military base.

Someone Must Pay

"Consumers should do more to protect themselves," says Sharon Faulkner, executive director of the American Car Rental Association, a trade group.

Of course, most rentals don't end as dramatically as Bonney's. If a car isn't returned in person, it normally sits on the lot without incident. But there are exceptions. Faulkner recently heard from a car rental customer who returned her vehicle at 3 a.m., even though the location didn't accept after-hour returns. It took the company five days to find the car, and it billed her for every minute of it.

"The rule of thumb is that the unit you rented is still on rent and is your responsibility until the office opens and the car is inspected," she says. "If damage is found at that time, the renter is charged."
Faulkner says instances of renters dropping off their car when a business is closed and then getting charged for damage that may have occurred after the drop-off are rare. When she owned a Dollar and a Thrifty franchise, she recalls only one such case.

Returned After Business Hours

But they appear to be happening more often, if my own case files are any indication. One memorable instance involves Ann Colmus, a reader from Manchester, Maryland, who contacted me after her 33-year-old son returned his Alamo rental car after business hours.

"Nine days later he got a phone call from them saying the car looked like it had been rear-ended," she told me. "He was shocked because nothing was wrong with the car when he parked it."

Colmus' son insisted he'd returned the car as good as new, but Alamo was just as insistent that he pay $785 to fix the bumper. The company sent him pictures and demanded his insurance information.
"He would rather go to court than pay for something he did not do," she says. Their tenacity paid off. I sent Colmus the names of several Alamo executives, to whom she directed her complaint. The company dropped its claim against her son.

Bonney's case also had a happy ending. After I contacted Budget on his behalf, it reviewed the circumstances of his return again. According to its records, the Air Force wouldn't allow Budget's roadside assistance provider to enter the base for "many weeks" without clearance through the proper military channels and without being accompanied by a rental company representative.

"In the process of obtaining the required documents, the rental charges continued to accumulate," a representative said in an email to Bonney. In the end, the military gave Budget permission to enter the base. Budget agreed to drop its claim against Bonney.

How to Avoid Extra Charges

So how do you make sure this doesn't happen to you? Avoid returning a car when a car rental location is closed. Ideally, you should bring back your car during daylight hours and ask a representative to inspect the vehicle in bright light.

If there's any question about a ding or dent, don't assume it's normal wear and tear. Phrases such as "Anything smaller than a quarter doesn't matter," usually uttered by a car rental representative when you return the car, should be interpreted as warnings, not reassurances. In my experience, that often means a damage claim is imminent.

And take pictures -- lots of pictures. "Before" and "after" snapshots of your rental are a must. Had Colmus' son taken pictures proving he returned his vehicle in good shape, it's doubtful Alamo's claim would have gone as far as it did.

But sometimes, as was the case with Bonney, a big bill is unavoidable. And you have to remember: If you haven't officially returned the car, it's still your responsibility.

Christopher Elliott's latest book is "How to Be the World's Smartest Traveler." Email him at chris@elliott.org.

 

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Week's Winners and Losers: Apple Gels, Marriott Jams

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Pilgrims Head To The Church of Nativity For Christmas
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There were plenty of winners and losers this week, with the world's most populous nation warming up to its homegrown electric-car makers and a leading hotel giant stirring up some powerful enemies with a controversial connectivity move.

Apple (AAPL) -- Winner

The world's most valuable consumer tech giant made the cut as a winner last week after a couple of analysts issued bullish notes ahead of the holiday season. We're now seeing some proof that it was a very merry Apple Christmas.

Web tracker Flurry Analytics is reporting that 51.3 percent of all smartphone and tablet devices activated between Dec. 19 and Christmas Day were Apple devices. This is a sharp contrast from the market dominance that Android gadgetry has over Apple's iOS.

Marriott International (MAR) -- Loser

It's no fun being on the wrong end of public opinion. Internet giants and wireless service providers have been voicing their disdain for a controversial practice that Marriott International is championing.

Marriott teamed up with American Hotel & Lodging Association earlier this year to lobby in favor of the practice to jam personal hotspots and hotspot-equipped smartphones. The hotel giant argues that hotspot-wielding guests open up the possibility for network attacks or potentially compromising the online security of other guests. The concerns would have some more weight if Marriott were one of the growing number of hoteliers offering complimentary Wi-Fi, but it's not in that camp. The lobbying comes off as self-serving, forcing guests into paying Marriott for in-room connectivity.

Chinese Makers of Electric Cars -- Winners

The world's most populous nation has a smog problem, and that should continue to pay off for Chinese makers of electric vehicles. Draft rules out by Chinese regulators on Tuesday are extending a subsidy that will offer rebates as high as $8,800 for "green" cars through 2020. The original program was set to expire next year.

This isn't good news for foreign electric car makers that have been drooling over the potential of China's eventually lucrative market, but it's great news for BYD, Kandi (KNDI) and other Chinese upstarts that will have a pricing advantage with the meaty four-figure subsidy.

Civeo (CVEO) -- Loser

There have been plenty of stocks crashing in light of the plunge in oil prices, and a new one this week was Civeo. Its stock shed more than half of its value on Tuesday after the company warned that it will fall well short of earlier revenue and profitability expectations.

Civeo provides temporary and long-term housing for oil industry workers. If oil prices are so low that it's not cost-effective to drill for more, it means that workers don't need to live in the Canadian oil sands and near Australian drilling areas.

Civeo now sees revenue of $540 million to $600 million for the fiscal year, well short of the $817.2 million that analysts were targeting. Given the uncertain climate, Civeo is also suspending its dividend.

Micron Technology (MU) -- Winner

It's been a quiet week for analyst notes, but Piper Jaffray's Ruben Roy turned heads by raising his price target on Micron Technology to $44. Roy feels that the memory-chip giant will benefit from rising demand and tightening supply, boosting his revenue and earnings targets for the year ahead.

Motley Fool contributor Rick Munarriz owns shares of Kandi Technologies. The Motley Fool recommends Apple and Kandi Technologies and owns shares of Apple. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. Want to make 2015 a winning investment year? Check out The Motley Fool's one great stock to buy for 2015 and beyond.

 

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