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Why Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. Shares Plummeted Today

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Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. fell 21% Tuesday after the power conversion technology specialist released mixed first-quarter results and disappointing forward guidance.

So what: Quarterly revenue rose 26% year over year to $140.9 million, which translated to adjusted net income of $18.1 million, or $0.43 per diluted share. Analysts, on average, were looking for lower adjusted earnings of $0.41 per share on higher sales of $142.6 million.


However, Advanced Energy also expects second-quarter sales of $135 million to $145 million, with adjusted earnings per share of $0.34 to $0.40. By contrast, analysts were modeling Q2 earnings of $0.47 per share on sales of $154.48 million.

Now what: Advanced Energy blamed its weak outlook on a decline in OEM customers' second-quarter bookings, which was "consistent with industry reports." To its credit, Advanced Energy also suggested that its own diversified product portfolio helped to balance the negative effects of those declines.

In any case, it appears much of investors' pessimism might be priced in, with shares now trading below nine times next year's expected earnings. Even if those estimates drift lower as analysts have time to fully digest today's news, I think today's plunge might just offer a great entry point for long-term investors to add to or open a small position.

Warren Buffett just bought nearly 9 million shares of this company
Imagine a company that rents a very specific and valuable piece of machinery for $41,000 per hour. (That's almost as much as the average American makes in a year!) And Warren Buffett is so confident in this company's can't-live-without-it business model, he just loaded up on 8.8 million shares. An exclusive, brand-new Motley Fool report reveals the company we're calling OPEC's Worst Nightmare. Just click here to uncover the name of this industry-leading stock, and join Buffett in his quest for a veritable landslide of profits!

The article Why Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. Shares Plummeted Today originally appeared on Fool.com.

Steve Symington and The Motley Fool have no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Why Twitter, athenahealth, and Capstone Turbine Tumbled Today

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On Tuesday, the stock market gave up some of its recent gains, with a combination of economic worries and rising geopolitical tension holding back investors from pushing the market to further gains. By the close, the Dow and S&P 500 both fell between 0.75% and 1%, but for Twitter , athenahealth , and Capstone Turbine , the losses were much more dramatic, sending shareholders scurrying for cover.

Source: Twitter.

Twitter plummeted 18%, adding further to its recent losses as the social-media stock hit a new all-time low. The post-IPO lockup period for insiders expired today, with the possibility that more than 80% of Twitter's outstanding shares could be sold at any time. Many prominent insiders have said that they plan not tell sell their Twitter shares, but with many investors questioning Twitter's ability to keep up its growth rate, nervous shareholders took the event as an excuse to get out. Bullish investors, on the other hand, should take comfort in the fact that lockup expirations associated with Twitter's main rival proved to be close to that stock's eventual lows from which it posted huge gains.

For athenahealth, today's decline of 14% came as Greenlight Capital hedge-fund manager David Einhorn announced that his firm had taken a short position in the cloud-based medical billing and clinical services company. Einhorn's case at the Sohn Investment Conference late yesterday characterized athenahealth as a "bubble stock" that would more accurately be seen as a business-services provider rather than a cloud-computing stock and said that the shares could lose 80% of their value. Given Einhorn's track record of making successful short calls, investors rushed for the exits even as the company and some analysts challenged Einhorn's thesis. More generally, Einhorn has said that he thinks that we're in a second tech bubble, and the reminder of that might have been responsible for sending the Nasdaq to bigger losses than the overall market today.

Source: Capstone Turbine.


Capstone Turbine plunged 15% as investors reacted to analysis of the company's preliminary results for its fiscal fourth quarter. The company made numerous disclosures in its prospectus for its most recent secondary stock offering, and analyst Adam Gefvert noted that the figures included the revelation that Capstone Turbine expects a sequential drop in revenue from the previous quarter as well as a lower than expected cash balance. With shareholders already on edge because of the offering itself, the suggestion that the microturbine-maker's recent encouraging results could simply be a flash in the pan raised new concerns about the sustainability of the stock's jump earlier this year.

Warren Buffett just bought nearly 9 million shares of this company
Imagine a company that rents a very specific and valuable piece of machinery for $41,000 per hour. (That's almost as much as the average American makes in a year!) And Warren Buffett is so confident in this company's can't-live-without-it business model, he just loaded up on 8.8 million shares. An exclusive, brand-new Motley Fool report details this company that already has over 50% market share. Just click here to discover more about this industry-leading stock, and join Buffett in his quest for a veritable landslide of profits!

The article Why Twitter, athenahealth, and Capstone Turbine Tumbled Today originally appeared on Fool.com.

Dan Caplinger doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned in this article. The Motley Fool recommends Twitter and athenahealth. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Can Facebook Inc Grow Oculus to Critical Mass?

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Facebook  recently acquired Oculus VR for a hefty $2 billion, which turned some heads since the two companies seemingly have little in common. Facebook clearly hopes that Oculus will become a broader platform, and as such Oculus now envisions a future where its virtual reality platform extends beyond just gaming. Oculus VR CEO Brendan Iribe recently discussed the deal at TechCrunch Disrupt, and says that Oculus could reach 1 billion users in the future. Iribe also notes that the deal sparked considerable interest among bigger developers who are now interested in developing content for Oculus Rift.

In comparison, Facebook's WhatsApp deal cost almost ten times as much and Facebook also expects WhatsApp to reach 1 billion users in the near future. In fairness, WhatsApp is already halfway there, while Oculus is starting from scratch as its product has yet to officially ship. How realistic is it for a seventh of the world's population to adopt virtual reality technology?

In this segment of Tech Teardown, Erin Kennedy discusses Oculus VR's ambitious hopes with Evan Niu, CFA, our tech and telecom bureau chief.


The biggest thing to come out of Silicon Valley in years
If you thought the iPod, the iPhone, and the iPad were amazing, just wait until you see this. One hundred of Apple's top engineers are busy building one in a secret lab. And an ABI Research report predicts 485 million of them could be sold over the next decade. But you can invest in it right now... for just a fraction of the price of AAPL stock. Click here to get the full story in this eye-opening new report.

The article Can Facebook Inc Grow Oculus to Critical Mass? originally appeared on Fool.com.

Erin Kennedy has no position in any stocks mentioned. Evan Niu, CFA has the following options: short January 2015 $60 puts on Facebook and long January 2015 $35 puts on Facebook. The Motley Fool recommends Facebook. The Motley Fool owns shares of Facebook. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Here Comes Microsoft Corporation's Surface Mini

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Microsoft  has sent out press invites to a May 20 event, with official tag line of "Join us for a small gathering." That could possibly hint that Microsoft will unveil its long-rumored Surface Mini tablet. The smaller device has reportedly been in development for nearly two years, and rumors of its launch circulated last year. Last September, Microsoft had supposedly delayed the launch until early 2014, which coincides with the current timing. The Surface Mini is expected to feature a 7.5 inch display with a Qualcomm Snapdragon processor and run Windows RT.

This all coincides with previous reports that Microsoft has cut its licensing fee on smaller devices that retail for $250 or less. That move is indication that Microsoft is targeting the smaller-sized tablet segment in numerous ways. It can incentivize third-party OEMs with discounts while launching first-party device. Overall, Surface remains a very young but growing business. Last quarter, Surface revenue jumped 50% to $500 million, but was still unprofitable as Microsoft lost $45 million on Surface sales. 

In this segment of Tech Teardown, Erin Kennedy discusses the rumored Surface Mini with Evan Niu, CFA, our tech and telecom bureau chief.


The biggest thing to come out of Silicon Valley in years
If you thought the iPod, the iPhone, and the iPad were amazing, just wait until you see this. One hundred of Apple's top engineers are busy building one in a secret lab. And an ABI Research report predicts 485 million of them could be sold over the next decade. But you can invest in it right now... for just a fraction of the price of AAPL stock. Click here to get the full story in this eye-opening new report.

The article Here Comes Microsoft Corporation's Surface Mini originally appeared on Fool.com.

Erin Kennedy has no position in any stocks mentioned. Evan Niu, CFA owns shares of Qualcomm. The Motley Fool owns shares of Microsoft and Qualcomm. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Will Intel Win Mobile at 10 Nanometers?

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While semiconductor manufacturing technology isn't the only thing that determines the competitiveness of a given chip, it is one of the key enablers of dramatic performance and power improvements. Intel , which has struggled mightily to develop chips that mobile device vendors actually want to use, is well known for its manufacturing technology lead over the rest of the industry. This lead isn't just in the ability to manufacture the latest-generation parts, but it's also in that Intel's design and manufacturing teams are very closely aligned.

Some background on 14-nanometer
Today, Intel ships chips built on the 22-nanometer FinFET manufacturing process, while its competitors ship on 28-nanometer planar. FinFETs essentially allow a transistor to deliver significantly more performance at lower power than traditional "planar" devices of the same geometry. This, in theory, should have given Intel a pretty significant advantage at the 22-nanometer generation over its 28-nanometer counterparts, but of course Intel's competition had superior chip designs, compensating for the manufacturing deficit.

However, it is likely that Intel will significantly improve the competitiveness of its designs at the 14-nanometer node with Cherry Trail (for tablets) and Broxton (for higher-end tablets and high end smartphones). Further, Intel claims that its 14-nanometer process yields significant density improvements over Samsung's 14-nanometer process and Taiwan Semiconductor's 16-nanometer process, which should allow Intel to pack more functionality into a given area than its competitors, leading to product superiority -- in theory.


Let's talk product timelines
Intel plans to launch its first 14-nanometer tablet processors in late 2014 (think November), and its first smartphone 14-nanometer product by "mid-2015" (let's say that this is the July-August timeframe). Qualcomm , Intel's biggest rival in the mobile space, will have 20-nanometer planar-based product in the marketplace during the first half of 2015 (with silicon probably shipping to partners in early 2015 for April-May 2015 device availability). It stands to reason that Qualcomm will have 14/16 nanometer product available within a year of that.

If Qualcomm has 14/16-nanometer product in the first half of 2016, then this gives Qualcomm and Intel a period of "overlap" (although again, Intel claims its 14-nanometer process is superior) before Intel presumably transitions to its first 10-nanometer Atom products in mid-2016. At this point, Intel will be on the 10-nanometer node (which should be 1.5 to two generations ahead in density relative to TSMC and Samsung-built 14/16-nanometer), which means that Intel will have the largest manufacturing lead it has ever had in the mobile space on both transistor performance and transistor density.

If this comes true, then Intel could do quite well
While the semiconductor manufacturing technology isn't the be-all, end-all of product performance, as long as Intel's product teams do a good job defining and executing next-generation products, Intel should have a clear power and performance lead over its competitors by mid-2016. While this doesn't solve Intel's Android software compatibility issues, the hardware should be unequivocally leadership, if it wasn't already at the 14-nanoeter generation.

Of course, there's plenty of risk here. We saw that even the mighty Intel struggled to ramp 14-nanometer to the right yield levels, so there is risk that the 10-nanometer node may be delayed. Further, even if Intel can ramp 10-nanometer to production yields, the designs need to be there from both a hardware and software perspective. And if all of that is there, Intel still needs to fight Qualcomm (as well as potentially in-house chip designs at some of its customers) for designs, which is a battle that goes beyond technical specifications.

Foolish bottom line
At the 10-nanometer generation, Intel is likely to have a pretty significant performance, watt, and cost advantage over its peers. This has a good chance of translating into unequivocal product leadership, although it is important to understand that Intel's product definition and implementation teams need to execute properly for this manufacturing advantage to translate into a real-world sales advantage. 

The biggest thing to come out of Silicon Valley in years
If you thought the iPod, the iPhone, and the iPad were amazing, just wait until you see this. One hundred of Apple's top engineers are busy building one in a secret lab. And an ABI Research report predicts 485 million of them could be sold over the next decade. But you can invest in it right now, for just a fraction of the price of Apple stock. Click here to get the full story in this eye-opening new report.

The article Will Intel Win Mobile at 10 Nanometers? originally appeared on Fool.com.

Ashraf Eassa owns shares of Intel. The Motley Fool recommends Intel and owns shares of Intel and Qualcomm. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Fear Slams the Dow As Intel, Verizon Salvage Minimal Gains

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The Dow Jones Industrials got hit hard Tuesday, falling almost 130 points after trade data called into question whether the U.S. economy will recover as quickly from its winter-induced slowdown as investors had hoped. Moreover, with geopolitical concerns on the rise and ongoing nervousness about the state of the global economy in key international markets, the Dow Jones Industrials are having a harder time staying near record highs. But even on a big losing day, Intel and Verizon posted small but still positive returns on the day.

Source: Intel.

For Intel, today's three-penny gain came as the company unveiled a new set of Chromebooks, with a wide variety of different hardware companies planning to offer the devices to customers by the end of the year. Chromebooks have emerged as a key entry-level computing device, with lean hardware that meets the needs of low-demand users who primarily want Internet surfing capability. By targeting Chromebooks, Intel can take advantage of its prowess in the PC laptop arena while also helping take Chromebook performance up a notch. More broadly, Intel hopes that by making a firmer push into up-and-coming devices, it can position itself to get a greater foothold in the mobile and wearable computing arena, where most of Intel's future growth potential lies. Chromebooks won't be a solution by themselves, but they could help Intel make the transition without immediately sacrificing too much in profit.

Verizon's gain of almost 0.2% was slightly more substantial, and it bucked the negative trend of all of its U.S. wireless-network rivals. One of Verizon's biggest issues is whether smaller competitors will be given preferential treatment in future government auctions of wireless spectrum, which could eat into the huge advantage that Verizon has built up with strategic purchases of spectrum over the years. Currently, the battle is a political one, with House Republicans having called for the Federal Communications Commission not to establish rules that would put Verizon and its fellow Dow telecom component at a disadvantage compared to smaller carriers. With a vote coming as early as next week, it's important for Verizon to get a favorable resolution on the issue in order to protect itself from further competition.


Investors in the Dow Jones Industrials need to remember that it has been a long time since they've seen even a normal correction in the bull market. Meanwhile, Intel and Verizon should remind Dow investors that even in down markets, some stocks can still perform well.

Warren Buffett just bought nearly 9 million shares of this company
Imagine a company that rents a very specific and valuable piece of machinery for $41,000 per hour. (That's almost as much as the average American makes in a year!) And Warren Buffett is so confident in this company's can't-live-without-it business model, he just loaded up on 8.8 million shares. An exclusive, brand-new Motley Fool report reveals the company we're calling OPEC's Worst Nightmare. Just click here to uncover the name of this industry-leading stock, and join Buffett in his quest for a veritable landslide of profits!

The article Fear Slams the Dow As Intel, Verizon Salvage Minimal Gains originally appeared on Fool.com.

Dan Caplinger has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Intel. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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This One Miniature Move Signals an Enormous Strategy Shift

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On March 8 2012, the launch of Doritos Locos tacos by Taco Bell of Yum! Brands was met with great rejoicing by the college-aged adrenaline-junkie crowd. Four months later, Taco Bell launched Cantina Bell in an effort to draw in a new hip, health-conscious crowd. Doritos Locos tacos have enjoyed massive success, as the company sold almost $1 billion worth of them in just 18 months according to the Huffington Post. Cantina Bell hasn't turned out so well.


A restaurant frequently tries to draw in an additional segment of the food culture by offering menu items that make customers rethink the restaurant's image. For Yum!, Doritos Locos tacos only reinforced Taco Bell's image, while Cantina Bell didn't come close to changing it. Nowadays Yum! is learning from its past mistakes and going with a brand new game plan.

Ladies and gentleman, meet the new Yum! Brands
In recent months Yum! has unveiled three new brands that demonstrate the company's evolving strategy.

  1. Super Chix
  2. US Taco Company
  3. Banh Shop
First off, Super Chix is a new chicken-sandwich-centric concept with its sights firmly locked on the massively popular 1,700+ location Chick-fil-A chain. Super Chix has menu items eerily similar to those of its peer, and both restaurants cook their food in peanut oil, but there's more here: Yum has placed its first Super Chix in Arlington, Texas.
 

 
Source: screen shot Google maps. Red dots represent Chik-fil-A locations.
 
Many of Chick-fil-A's customers are motivated by personal values as much as quality food. In 2012, founder and CEO Dan Cathy publicly spoke out against same-sex marriage, which drew criticism. However, loyal customers -- many of them Southern Baptists -- rallied around the chain in an "Appreciation Day," which created record-smashing sales.
 
 
By locating the first Super Chix in Arlington, I believe Yum! is looking to see if it can lure customers in the buckle of the Bible belt -- Chick-fil-A's stronghold. If it can go toe to toe with its peer there, it can succeed absolutely anywhere in the country. Early reports from Yelp have generally been positive.
 
 
Don't miss this
Yum! once tried to take on Chipotle Mexican Grill by creating a couple of new menu items at Taco Bell. If the company had maintained its strategy, KFC would be trying out new items to compete with Chick-fil-A. However, its strategy has changed completely. Yum! created a brand new concept to compete with Chick-fil-A. Similarly, its new attack on Chipotle will come from the US Taco Company set to open this summer in Huntington Beach, CA.

The menu for the US Taco Company looks unique, with offerings like Philly cheesesteak and lobster, but the real differentiator will be the Urban Taproom which gives patrons a craft beer selection and spiked milkshake options. The combination of alcohol and premium menu items will cause the US Taco Company's average check to be over 60% higher than that of Taco Bell, according to Nation's Restaurant News.

Finally, there's the Banh Shop -- the concept we know the least about. This restaurant will likely be a Vietnamese-inspired "better sandwich" shop. I can't help but think Yum! is targeting Panera with this move.

Panera is losing customers, and it blames the weather for the decline. Its transactions fell 2.8% in the most recent quarter. However, this downward trend isn't new--two quarters ago, management suggested that faster throughput would result in more transactions. Panera's speed of service improved this quarter, but this didn't solve the traffic decline. Simply put, now's a good time for Yum! to take aim at Panera.

What this means looking forward
To sum up, Yum! is beginning to cater to different customers in different ways. Instead of uniting two very different customer segments under one roof, it will look to create complimentary restaurant concepts. This strategy will allow Yum! to please two crowds at the same time without cannibalizing sales from either concept. 

While Yum! has quickly said that these concepts are just experiments, the potential is enormous. Greg Creed -- Taco Bell's head honcho -- said he'd like to see 1,500 locations for US Taco Company. Could Super Chix and the Banh Shop grow to over 1,000 locations each? It's extremely early, but not extremely ridiculous.

The last couple of years haven't been great for Yum!, but I happen to believe the enormous strategy shift outlined here signals that the best is still to come.

Will this stock be your next multi-bagger?
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The article This One Miniature Move Signals an Enormous Strategy Shift originally appeared on Fool.com.

Jon Quast has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Chipotle Mexican Grill and Panera Bread. The Motley Fool owns shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill and Panera Bread. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Lorillard's Results Contain Some Worrying Numbers

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The U.S.' smallest listed domestic cigarette company, Lorillard recently reported first quarter results, and although headline figures were in-line, underlying figures were worrying.

Where to look
Lorillard has been one of the more successful cigarette companies in the U.S. in terms of sales during the past few years. Indeed, while the cigarette industry as a whole has seen the volume of cigarettes sold decline as smokers kick the habit, Lorillard's cigarette sales have continued to expand, bucking the wider industry trend.

However, what's surprising is the fact that Lorillard's Newport brand of cigarettes, which has seen volumes rise every year for the past five, actually reported a decline in units sold for the first quarter. Overall, Lorillard's cigarette sales declined by 2.9%. This slightly better than larger peer Altria's performance, as Altria reported a 4.4% decline in cigarette sales.


As Lorillard's sales are not falling as fast as the rest of the industry, however, the company was able to boost its market share for the period. Year over year, at the end of the first quarter Lorillard's cigarettes accounted for 15.2% of the domestic market; this was up 0.3% from the same period the year before.

Thanks in part to Lorillard's cigarette price hike, the company reported an adjust income per share of $0.69 for the quarter and was up 4.5% year on year. Adjusted cigarette operating income ticked higher by 4.9% thanks to a 100 basis point increase in adjusted gross margin .

After years of growth, though, it is worrying to see that Lorillard's cigarette volumes are starting to decline.

E-cigs
Another worrying trend revealed within Lorillard's earnings report is the company's c-cig sales.

You see, Lorillard was a first mover in the e-cig space and was the largest big tobacco company to commit to a national rollout of its e-cig offering, Blu. Blu e-cigs shot to the top of the industry and quickly becoming an industry leader with a 45.8% share of the national market at the end of last year, up from 35.3% at the beginning of the year.

Unfortunately, this growth did not come cheap. Lorillard spent millions on promotional activities to drive sales. As a result, this increased promotional activity pushed Lorillard's e-cig division from a healthy profit at the beginning of 2013 toward only breaking even by the fourth quarter. Despite sliding profits, though, Lorillard had a market leading position and sales were growing.

Unfortunately, first quarter figures show that things have deteriorated further for Lorillard's e-cig division.

The company's share of the e-cig market dropped from 45.8% at the end of 2013 to 45%. Alongside falling market share, Lorillard's e-cig sales fell just under 11% and the company's operating income from e-cigs went from break even to a loss of $11.

This loss comes as Altria begins the national rollout of its own e-cig offering.

Here comes Altria
Altria's e-cig offering comes in the form of the MarkTen brand, which the company initially rolled out to test markets in the middle of last year. Up until recently, Altria has kept quiet about its initial sales, which implies less-than-impressive results.

That being said, Altria's management broke its silence on the fourth-quarter conference call to reveal that the product's initial sales have exceeded expectations. In just seven weeks, MarkTen achieved brand leadership by taking a market share of 48% within the trial market. Altria intends to leverage lessons learned from its initial rollout when it commences national distribution during the second quarter of this year. Altria's existing dominance in the traditional cigarette market will also allow the company to gain distribution and customer awareness faster than its peers.

Altria also recently acquired Green Smoke, an e-vapor business, to boost its e-cig offering. Green Smoke has been manufacturing and marketing high-quality premium products since 2009, so it knows the market well. The acquisition will bolster Altria's already-strong e-cig development and sales team, and will also expand Altria's product portfolio to address adult smokers' and vapers' different product preferences.

Foolish summary
Overall, there are two worrying trends within Lorillard's results. First and foremost, the volume of cigarettes shipped by the company has gone into reverse after years of growth. Despite ramping up promotional activity, Lorillard is also losing market share of the e-cig segment. This is only likely to get worse as Altria enters the fray.

Top dividend stocks for the next decade
The smartest investors know that dividend stocks like Lorillard and Altria simply crush their non-dividend paying counterparts over the long term. That's beyond dispute. They also know that a well-constructed dividend portfolio creates wealth steadily, while still allowing you to sleep like a baby. Knowing how valuable such a portfolio might be, our top analysts put together a report on a group of high-yielding stocks that should be in any income investor's portfolio. To see our free report on these stocks, just click here now.

  

The article Lorillard's Results Contain Some Worrying Numbers originally appeared on Fool.com.

Rupert Hargreaves owns shares of Altria Group. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Office Depot Jumps, but Whole Foods Market Slides After Hours

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Stocks sank today as tensions in Ukraine heightened and some big names including AIG and Twitter fell, putting pressure on their respective sectors. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  shed 130 points or 0.8% with drugmakers Merck and Pfizer again falling the furthest. The two declined as Merck sold its consumer health division, which includes brands such as Afrin cold remedy, for $14.2 billion, to Bayer, and AstraZeneca continued to signal that it was not interested in being acquired by Pfizer, outlining a plan to make sales grow to $45 billion within 10 years to help convince shareholders the company was better off as an independent entity.  Outside the Dow, results weren't any better, as the S&P 500 lost 0.9% and the Nasdaq fell 1.4%.

Only one economic report was released today, the March international trade report, which showed the trade deficit narrowing slightly from $41.9 billion to $40.4 billion, essentially in line with analyst estimates, but the figure was lower than government estimates in the first-quarter GDP report, meaning that figure could be revised downward to show a contraction. That would mark the first time the economy had shrunk in three years, though much of the blame has been pinned on poor winter weather, and data has shown a resurgence since then.


Source: Flickr.com.

Turning to individual stocks, Whole Foods Market  plummeted after hours, falling 14% on a rotten earnings report. The organic grocery chain missed the mark in nearly every category, reporting revenue, earnings, and guidance all below expectations. Though Whole Foods pioneered the organic foods segment it still leads, the company has come under pressure from increased competition, including mainstream grocers such as Wal-Mart and Kroger, which have entered the high-growth organic business. Whole Foods is still growing, but perhaps not at a rate that warrants the stock's high price tag. Revenue increased 9.7% in the quarter to $3.32 billion, below the consensus at $3.34 billion, as same-store sales improved 4.5%, a respectable clip. Net income, however, was flat at $0.38 per share as food costs rose and its gross and operating margins fell by 50 basis points. Analysts had expected a profit of $0.41 per share. The company also dialed down its full-year EPS guidance from a range of $1.58-$1.65 to a range of $1.52-$1.56, below the consensus at $1.61. With sales growing at just around 10%, it may be hard for the stock to justify a P/E close to 30.

Moving in the opposite direction today was Office Depot , whose shares jumped 16% after the company reported earnings and announced a store closure plan this morning. The office-supply retailer posted an adjusted EPS of $0.07 against expectations of $0.03, and said that sales trends improved throughout the quarter. It also said it will close at least 400 of its nearly 2,000 stores in the U.S., adding $75 million to annual cost savings from its merger with Office Max. Still, overall sales fell 5% on a 3% decline in same-store sales, indicating continued problems for a contracting industry. Looking ahead, management said that "market trends will remain challenging," but lifted its operating income guidance to at least $160 million from at least $140 million because of early realization of cost savings. Office Depot's prospects look improved after today's report, but I'm still concerned about long-term profitability in a declining industry.

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The article Office Depot Jumps, but Whole Foods Market Slides After Hours originally appeared on Fool.com.

John Mackey, co-CEO of Whole Foods Market, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Jeremy Bowman has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends AIG, Twitter, and Whole Foods Market; owns shares of AIG and Whole Foods Market; and has options on AIG. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Disney's Magical Earnings and Office Depot's 400-Store Surprise

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Like a bad, late-night Cinco de Mayo burrito sitting heavy in your stomach (post-2 a.m. street meat is never a good idea), some sour quarterly earnings reports weighed heavy on investors on Tuesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average . fell 130 points as Wall Street continues to sell down the tech stocks it's been buying up all through 2014.

1. Walt Disney reports magical Q1 earnings
Thanks, Tinker Bell. Entertainment legend The Walt Disney Company reported a first-quarter performance that looks like it was high on pixie dust. The company enjoyed $11.65 billion in revenues in the first three months of 2014, above the $11.25 billion analysts were expecting. Shares rose 0.65% in after-hours trading and are already up 6% so far this year.

What's making Disney stock more fun than Disney rides? Frozen, the animated holiday movie. Just last month, the film topped $1 billion in total ticket sales, making it officially the highest-earning animated film in history. Plus, because kids want to also hang out with Olaf, the movie's talking snowman lead, nine out of the top 10 toys sold in Disney stores were related to Frozen.

The takeaway is that Mickey doesn't have all his eggs in one basket. It ain't just Frozen tickets that are driving Disney's stock price up. Disney theme parks set attendance records last year -- and the company just announced that it's investing $800 million in Shanghai Disney and is completing the much-anticipated Seven Dwarfs Mine Train later this month. It'll be the first new roller coaster in Disney World since '06. We'll always be faithful to Splash Mountain, though.
2. Office Depot surges despite 400-store shutdown
Staple these earnings to the front of your screen. America's favorite "No. 2 pencil" supplier, Office Depot , reported first-quarter earnings of $4.4 billion, just barely above the $4.3 billion Wall Street projected. Add to that the costs of the company's November merger with Office Max, and the Depot swung to a $109 million net loss.
 
The big news, though, is what Office Depot is shutting down. As a result of the aforementioned merger, Office Depot now has 1,900 stores in North America, 818 of which are still branded "Office Max." So CEO Roland Smith announced that he's going to close 400 stores by the end of 2016, with 150 going lights-out this year.
 
So why did shares jumped over 17% Tuesday? It's all about "cost synergies." In the earnings report, Smith made clear that the store shutdowns will save the company $75 million starting next year, which is much sooner than investors expected. And if they use their own three-ring bound binders, we assume it'll go even more efficiently.

Wednesday:
  • First-quarter earnings reports: Ceasars Entertainment, Hugo Boss, Molson Coors
  • Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen speaks to Congress

MarketSnacks Fact of the Day: People who tend to win the game "Rock-Paper-Scissors" stick to the same hand and strategy each round, while those who tend to lose switch them up.


Big banking's little $20.8 trillion secret
There's a brand-new company that's revolutionizing banking, and is poised to kill the hated traditional brick-and-mortar banks. That's bad for them, but great for investors. And amazingly, despite its rapid growth, this company is still flying under Wall Street's radar. To learn about about this company, click here to access our new special free report.

The article Disney's Magical Earnings and Office Depot's 400-Store Surprise originally appeared on Fool.com.

Jack Kramer and Nick Martell have no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Molson Coors Brewing and Walt Disney and owns shares of Walt Disney. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Difficulties at Groupon Inc. Continue As It Reports a Net Loss of $38 Million

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As a result of increased operating expenses, Groupon reported a loss of $38 million, or $0.06 per share, in the first quarter of 2014, well above the $4 million loss seen through the first three months of 2013.

Total revenue at Groupon rose by 26% from $601 million to $758 million. This was entirely attributable to its direct revenue -- the products it sells directly to consumers -- which more than doubled, from $163 million to $331 million. Its third-party revenue actually fell by $13 million, or 3%, to $426 million.

"Our marketplace continued to gain traction and growth in our mobile business accelerated, with more than 10 million app downloads this quarter and mobile transactions reaching 54% in March," said Groupon CEO Eric Lefkofsky in the earnings announcement.


However, Groupon had almost identical growth in the cost of its revenue, which grew by $150 million, or 67%, to stand at $371 million. As a result, its gross profit rose by only $7 million, or 2%, to stand at $386 million.

In addition, the discount retailer saw a significant increase in its marketing expenses, which grew from $50 million in the first quarter of 2013 to $79 million in the most recent quarter. In addition, its selling, general, and administrative expenses rose by nearly $17 million, or almost 5.5% to $325 million.

In total, the operating expenses at Groupon rose by $48 million relative to the first quarter of 2013, which outpaced its gross profit growth. As a result, it saw an operating loss of $20 million in the first quarter of this year, compared with a profit of $22 million over the same time period last year.

Groupon did further clarify its expectations for 2014, as it said it expects to see its adjusted EBITDA exceed $300 million. It previously said it thought its adjusted EBITDA would be slightly above the $287 million seen in 2013. Its adjusted EBITDA stood at $40 million in the first quarter of 2014, versus $72 million in the first quarter of 2013, a decline of nearly 45%.

"We're on track with our plans in 2014 to invest in the growth of Local, improve our Goods margins, and drive profitability in our International operations," Lefkofsky concluded, in his prepared remarks. "As a result, we have further confidence in our results for the back half of the year and have increased our full-year outlook." 

The article Difficulties at Groupon Inc. Continue As It Reports a Net Loss of $38 Million originally appeared on Fool.com.

Patrick Morris and The Motley Fool have no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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Prospect Capital Corporation's Net Investment Income Jumps 30% to $0.31 Per Share

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In reporting its results for the third quarter of fiscal 2014 on Tuesday, Prospect Capital saw its net investment income increase from $0.26 per share in the third quarter of last year to $0.31 per share in the most recent quarter, a 30% gain. Meanwhile, net investment income at the business development company increased by 65% to $98.5 million. However, its common shares outstanding have risen by approximately 35% over the past year. That's why EPS was up, but not as significantly as the total dollar amount.

Total assets at Prospect Capital have risen from $4.5 billion through the end of March 2013 to $6.4 billion at the end of the most recent quarter, a 43% gain. It made 18 new and follow-on investments for a total of more than $1.3 billion in the most recent quarter, a record total.

Included in those originations were a $277.5 debt facility for Instant Web, which provides direct marketers with direct marketing solutions, and a $246 million cash investment in Harbortouch Payments, which provides point-of-sale equipment merchants use to process transactions.


The company said that it "closed approximately 65% of our March 2014 quarter originations during the last two business days of the quarter," and as a result, "we did not realize the full economic benefit possible from such investments during the quarter." The company continued: "However, we expect to generate full-quarter interest benefits in the June 2014 quarter from these investments."

The article Prospect Capital Corporation's Net Investment Income Jumps 30% to $0.31 Per Share originally appeared on Fool.com.

Patrick Morris and The Motley Fool have no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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What Would It Take to Pay Back Mom for All She Does?

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young mother and son in kitchen ...
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One day out of 365, we pay homage to our sainted mothers. Those of us who are members of this long-suffering, uncomplaining, self-sacrificing class may get some soggy French toast in bed, (don't worry, kids; mom will clean up the kitchen), a chance to read in peace, or perhaps time to indulge in a long, hot bath.

Bringing Home the Bacon

If you really want to pay back mom for all she's done, get ready to pony up big. A card and some carnations (the official flower of Mother's Day, who knew?) just won't cut it. The cost of replacing mom as nurturer, nurse, cleaner and cook -- according to Insure.com's 2014 Mother's Day salary index -- would run you $62,985 a year, up from $59,862 in 2013. Breaking down the price of having someone else handle her various duties:
  • Cooking and cleaning, $12,230
  • Child care, $21,736
  • Homework help, $7,290
  • Chauffeur, $5,672
  • Shopping, yard work, party and activity planning, finances, etc., $15,019
  • And my personal favorite, finding out what the kids are up to (paid in the equivalent value of a private detective), $1,036.

Salary.com placed a higher value on moms in its 2014 Mother's Day salary survey, concluding that stay-at-home moms were worth $118,905 and working moms worth $70,107 (this does not include any paid salary from their job), with both groups putting more than 56 hours of overtime at home. These numbers are all up from last year's survey.

Cooking It Up in a Pan

Mom helps to pay for other things, too. Thanks to the Department of Agriculture, you can see what it costs to raise a child in the U.S. to 18. As of August 2013, the average cost is $241,080. This does not cover college, and hopefully dear old dad is contributing. In 2012, there were 10.3 million single U.S. mothers with children under 18, and one-third of women who gave birth in 2012 were single moms.

By becoming moms, women give up time to do other things, what economists call an "opportunity cost." Particularly if your mother stayed at home when you were young, there are years or decades of lost wages, lost contributions to her Social Security, and missed chances at career advancement. Forbes used the example of a public school teacher, comparing her financial outcomes if stayed home or continued teaching. Becoming a stay-at-home mom would cost her an aggregate $700,000 in work benefits, and halve her Social Security benefit.

The Census Bureau says 76 percent of moms are working moms, and that the number of stay-at-home mothers has slightly declined since 2008.

Mothers, Priceless

This year is the 100th anniversary of Mother's Day in America. A gesture by Anna Jarvis to remember her dear departed mother has escalated into an annual sales boon for businesses, small to large.

Florists like FTD Companies (FTD) and 1-800-Flowers.com (FLWS) rank Mother's Day second only to Christmas, accounting for 25 percent of flowers and plants bought for holidays, surprisingly ahead of Valentine's Day.

On average, Americans spent $168.94 on their moms last year and, according to the National Retail Federation annual Mother's Day Consumer Spending survey, are expected to spend $162.94 this year. Two thirds of us will buy flowers; 81 percent will give her a card; and a third will buy her apparel, with outings, books, housewares and jewelry among other popular gifts. Almost $20 billion will be spent.

What Moms Really Want

Of course, mom doesn't expect you to pay her back for all those years and dollars spent on you. Moms only want for us to be happy, healthy and appreciative: A mention in your Oscar speech like Jared Leto's beautiful tribute to his single mom, a moving quotation a la Abraham Lincoln ("All I am, or hope to be, I owe to my angel mother") or a dedication in your best-selling novel.

If you can't pull those off, I suggest you go to Salary.com's mom salary wizard to print out a pretend check for Mom for the real-world equivalent of all she does for you. Slip it -- along with a gift card -- into the prettiest greeting card you can find, and let Mom know you truly understand what she's worth. It's the least you can do.

 

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Why I Gladly Spend Money to Work Out With a Personal Trainer

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Personal trainer with man on rowing machine in gymnasium
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Three times a week, I get up early and work out with a personal trainer at my local gym. Many people quickly write off the idea of paying someone to yell at you and push you to lift more weights or run faster. But what if your job depended on staying physically fit? Or, what if you could save money on your life insurance or health insurance premiums by going to the gym and working out consistently?

I take a lot of flak from my friends and coworkers for spending the money. (A certified personal trainer can cost $35 or more for a half-hour session.) But to me, it's an investment that I'm making in myself and my health. We hardly think twice about spending money to continue our education to get ahead on our careers. I think we should look at spending money at the gym the same way.

Do the Benefits Outweigh the Costs?

Many researchers tie costs of not having a healthy life with our mood, health issues, happiness and sleep patterns. A study from researchers at the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center published in the American Journal of Preventive Medicine found that exercise significantly reduced symptoms of depression in patients aged 20 to 45. Studies from the Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine show that aerobic exercise programs than run at least 16 weeks can help with insomnia.

One reason that I love working out with a personal trainer is that he provides me with accountability. Paying him gives me an added incentive to go to the gym, because he charges me if I don't show up without giving at least 24 hours notice. That monetary penalty works for my personality. A personal trainer can help you form plans to diet, lift weights and conduct cardiovascular exercises. I find it extremely helpful to have a personal trainer who can teach me more challenging exercises and ensure I am performing them correctly.

People in many professions -- such as police officers, firefighters, members of the military, prison guards -- are required by the nature of the work to be in good physical shape. In some of these jobs, a portion of your performance evaluation and elegability for promotions is tied to your fitness level. For these workers, it can be a savvy strategic career move to hire a personal trainer.

There is a tradeoff to these benefits: a cost associated with working out, in both time and money. Only you can decide of the benefits outweigh those costs.

Working out could lower the cost of your life insurance and health insurance. Many U.S. companies, including Fortune 500 businesses, provide discounts on employee health insurance premiums to those who work out through company-approved programs.

Factor a Physical Trainer Into Your Monthly Budget

Do you want to work with a personal trainer? Do you think your job or health could depend on it, but you're not sure how you can afford one? Consider what is important to you. If working with a personal trainer and taking back control over you health is important to you, consider adding it to your family's monthly budget.

While everyone's health and career are different, hiring a personal trainer can pay dividends in your life. Often it is hard to directly see the return the return on investment in monetary terms. But the second- and third-order effects of becoming healthier can help to make it worthwhile.

Do you use a personal trainer? Do you think it is a needless splurge? What if you could not only see health benefits but an increase in your career prospects? Would it be worth it then?

Hank Coleman is the publisher of the personal finance blog Money Q&A, where he answers readers' tough money questions. Follow him on Twitter @MoneyQandA.


 

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LeapBand: Can a New Fitness Tracker for Kids Save LeapFrog?

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www.leapfrog.com
The company that breathed new life into electronic learning toys has fallen on hard times. LeapFrog Enterprises (LF) may have raised the bar with its interactive reading platform and cartridge-based system that made learning fun for young children, but it's been running dry since the initial success of its LeapPad in 2011.

Toddlers are turning to other diversions these days, but LeapFrog is hoping to win them back with a new fitness tracker that encourages kids to embrace active lifestyles. When LeapBand hits the market in August, kids will be able to sport colorful bracelets with color screens that engage with 50 apps. It's a big and bold move for LeapFrog, but it doesn't have much choice. Business is slumping.

Leaping Backward

LeapFrog had a rough first few months of 2014. It posted a 31 percent plunge in net sales, and its adjusted net loss more than tripled to 17 cents a share. If that sounds bad, keep in mind that analysts thought it would be worse.

LeapFrog's fortunes started to sour last summer when it introduced the LeapPad Ultra, the third generation of its LeapPad line of learning tablets. The first LeapPad was so popular in 2011 that it became Walmart Store's (WMT) most popular toy placed on layaway ahead of the telltale holiday shopping season. A year later the initial supply of the LeapPad 2 sold out in two weeks. The LeapPad Ultra wasn't as fortunate, generating mixed reviews.

The biggest problem for the LeapPad Ultra is that traditional tablets are too cheap now. Kindle Fire tablets are as low as $119. Three years ago, parents didn't want to hand over their costly iPads. However, now it's not the end of the world if kids have a more full-featured Android device that they won't necessarily outgrow as they would a kid-oriented LeapPad.

Leader of the Band

LeapFrog hopped on the tablet trend early, and now it's hoping that it can cash in on another hot trend in wearable computing. Fitness wristbands are growing in popularity, and while the market is dominated by Fitbit, Jawbone and to a lesser extent Nike's (NKE) fading FuelBand, no one is trying to corner the children's market.

LeapBand has a shot. Every $39.99 LeapBand comes with 10 preloaded apps, access to another 40 free downloads and a virtual pet that kids can engage with as they score points earned through physical activity. LeapBand features an accelerometer to track motion, and it doesn't hesitate to offer fun commands like asking wearers to hop like a kangaroo or wiggle like a worm.

There's plenty riding on this, but LeapFrog isn't loading on ammo. Despite the market's lukewarm reception to the LeapPad Ultra, it will introduce a couple of new tablets later this year, including one that it hopes to sell alongside other traditional tablets at consumer electronics departments. There's also LeapTV, a kid-friendly active video game console system for kids.

All it would take is one big hit for LeapFrog to resume its growth, and for now its best shot appears to be the LeapBand. We'll find out for sure if kids do in fact enjoy wiggling like a worm, but if they don't, it may be LeapFrog that's doing the squirming.

Motley Fool contributor Rick Munarriz has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of LeapFrog Enterprises.


 

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How Long Should Your Household Purchases Last?

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How Long Should Your Household Purchases Last?
Ty Wright/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesMost household appliances, such as washing machines, refrigerators and gas ranges, should be replaced every 10 to 15 years.
By Geoff Williams

As consumers, we've all probably held some unexpected funerals for our purchases. Maybe it was the refrigerator with the smart cooling system that died far too young. Or the self-cleaning double oven, which was so shiny and full of promise when you first met. You tried to tell yourself that everything happens for a reason, but it didn't make you feel any better about losing the dishwasher or your 42-inch television.

It isn't your imagination: Consumer products don't last as long as they used to. Here are some thoughts about why that is, and how long you can expect many of the products inside and around your home to last.

Appliances. In 2007, the National Association of Home Builders and Bank of America Home Equity released the "Study of Life Expectancy of Home Components," which included these estimates for long various appliances should last before you should think about replacing them.
  • Gas range oven: 15 years
  • Refrigerator: 13 years
  • Trash compactor: six years
  • Dishwasher: nine years
  • Microwave oven: nine years
  • Washing machine: 10 years
  • Electric or gas dryer: 13 years.
  • Food waste disposer: 12 years
Keep in mind that these numbers are seven years old. If the expected life spans of these products have changed, they have probably decreased, according to Neal Asbury, CEO of the Legacy Companies, a manufacturer and exporter based in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.

It should be noted that he feels his companies' products -- all made in the U.S. -- are durable. For instance, his Omega juicers have a 10-year warranty. "We don't design failure into a product," he says.

But Asbury says that as a whole, consumer products don't last as long as they did several decades ago and beyond, "when a lot of what was produced were products that lasted forever."

Of manufacturing today, he says, "A lot of it is doing more assembly work than it was in the traditional sense, like back in the 1950s and 1960s, where you not only made the product but all of the components."

He says even when a company manufactures a product in America, many of the components often come from overseas nations that don't always have the best standards. "A product is only as good as its components," Asbury says.

And there is plenty of incentive to make those components as cheaply as possible to stay competitive. Asbury says many of the compressors used at his ice machine factory were made in countries like Brazil, France and Korea. But those countries outsource to other countries that can make things even cheaper. "Everyone's chasing that cost reduction," he says.

Much of what drives that cost reduction is of the rising cost of raw materials, says Roger Beahm, executive director of the Center for Retail Innovation at Wake Forest University School of Business.

"Competitive and trade pressures keep the manufacturer from raising prices too fast. So manufacturers look elsewhere to find ways of offsetting these raw-material cost increases. These factors reduce product longevity and, relatedly for some products, durability," Beahm says.

Around the house. If you have an air conditioner, you can expect it to last 10 years, according to the Study of Life Expectancy of Home Components. Carpet? Eight to 10 years. A linoleum floor fares better at 25 years, and a laminate floor can last 15 to 25 years. Here are the life expectancies of more home products:
  • Electric water heater: 11 years
  • Gas water heater: 10 years
  • Electric boiler: 13 years
  • Gas boiler: 21 years
How long should your mattress last? According to Consumer Reports, about 10 years if you don't let your kids use it as a trampoline. Mattress advertising campaigns suggest you should buy a new one every eight years. However, your backside is probably the best judge of when to replace your mattress.

Electronics are infamous for not lasting as long as consumers would like, but they probably break down less than one might think. According to a December 2013 issue of Consumer Reports, if you buy a flat-screen TV, there is a 3 percent chance of it dying within the first four years of ownership, and if you purchase a laptop, there's an 11 percent chance it will give out within three years. It's not a good thing if you're among those 3 or 11 percent of buyers, but generally, Consumer Reports says electronics are reliable enough to make an extended warranty unnecessary.

Still, while your TV will probably last longer than four years, you'll be lucky to have it in, say, 14 years. "As manufacturers try to keep costs and pricing down to compete, the product life on our core categories -- appliances and electronics -- has shortened significantly," says Jon Abt, co-president of Abt Electronics and Appliances in Glenview, Illinois. "Customers who come into our store to replace their 20-year-old refrigerator are surprised when we tell them the average life expectancy of a new one is seven to 12 years."

Incidentally, if you've noticed that stores are pushing extended warranties just as products' standard warranty time seems to be shrinking, that may have nothing to do with the quality. Asbury says many manufacturers are reducing the time due to warranty fraud.

"People will buy a computer, use it a month because they needed it to study through final exams, and then return it," he says. "There are all kinds of abuse out there."

Your house. The aforementioned "Study of Life Expectancy of Home Components" report states that a typical roof made of asphalt shingles should last about 20 years. Roofs made of fiber cement shingles should last 25 years, and roofs made of wood shakes are typically good for 30 years. If you have a roof made of slate, copper, clay or concrete, you can expect it to last 50 years.

The foundation and frame of your house should last a lifetime if they were properly built. And while the walls should also last the lifetime of the house, aluminum windows are only expected to hang around for 15 to 20 years. Wooden windows should last as long as 30 years.

Your garage door opener won't have as lucky of a fate, however. Expect it to last 10 to 15 years.

Let's say you buy a garage door opener today. Perhaps when it conks out in 15 years, consumer products will have turned a corner, and the next one will last 30 years. That's doubtful, according to Chip Manning, director of The University of the South's Babson Center for Global Commerce in Sewanee, Tennessee.

"Planned obsolescence isn't a new concept in business but an ever-evolving and important one," he says. "Any manufacturer of goods wants your loyalty but also wants you to keep buying product."

Asbury doesn't buy that view. He says every manufacturer he knows is passionate about delivering the best product it can. From an environmental standpoint, he says it's immoral to do otherwise. But he isn't too optimistic that the country will see garage door openers with 30-year life spans.

"I think some products will improve," Asbury says. "I think the American automobile manufacturers make a much better product than they used to as a result of the shellacking they took throughout the 1970s into the 1990s. I think that's a good example of quality levels improving because of competitive requirements. But that might be the outlier. By and large, there are always going to be a huge pressure by the American consumer for manufacturers to drive their costs down."

So it's our fault. But who can blame us? We need to cut costs after replacing all of our appliances and electronics and making payments on our more-durable but expensive cars.

 

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Is Google Glass Worth $1,500 - or $79.78?

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US-IT-INTERNET-GOOGLE-GLASS
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Google Glass glasses may look goofy. They open up a can of privacy concern worms. And the $1,500 price tag is enough to make even most early adopters wince. However, Google's (GOOG) first major foray into wearable computing can't be considered a failure just yet.

But what if Google were exposed for being a greedy gouger? What if a Google Glass isn't worth anything close to the price that the world's leading search engine and online advertising platform provider is charging?

Google easily sold out of its Google Glass inventory in a single day in April, but the shocking truth about the cost of its components may make the next sale a little trickier.

Tearing Down Glass Houses

TechInsights recently completed a teardown of Google Glass, in which a product is disassembled, and each component is assessed a value. Teardowns are popular with tech buffs just to see what's inside the guts of consumer electronics. TechInsights estimates that all of the parts making up Google Glass -- including the eventual assembly and test procedures -- set Google back a mere $79.78. A spokesman for Google called the estimate "absolutely wrong" and declined further comment.

No one was expecting Big G to be selling Google Glass at a loss. That's just bad business. Companies need to operate profitably, and research and development costs should be recouped.

Outside of video game consoles and some of Amazon.com's (AMZN) Kindle products, most products hit the market at markups. And the only reason why gaming console makers and Amazon have sold products at or below costs in the past is because they expect to make that back -- and then some -- in the future through their vibrant ecosystems. Video game system makers get paid by software developers for every game that's eventually sold, and Amazon hopes Kindle buyers spend enough money buying digital books, music, videos, and games to make the gamble pay off over time.

Google wants folks online to consume its growing array of ads, but that's not enough to take a big hit on hardware.

Google Glass Isn't Just for Rich Nerds

Don't let the backlash against Google Glass owners -- or even the tone of this article -- blur the benefits of the specs, which can project computing images so only the wearer can see them. It's not just for rich nerds. For every tech blogger getting dirty looks upon entering a theater or walking down the street for fears that the five-megapixel camera is rolling, plenty of people are putting Google Glass to extraordinary uses.

Early responders are using Google Glass to beam images to nearby hospitals so they can get up to speed on the injuries of arriving patients. Fitness junkies are using Google Glass to navigate running and cycling paths without missing a beat. Google Glass apps add gaming elements to workouts, encouraging more active lifestyles. A surgeon is using it to call up a patient's X-ray during a procedure so there's no need to look away from the operating table. The New York Police Department and U.S. Air Force are testing them to see if they enhance their operations.

All of these benefits will make Google Glass a big winner down the line, but it will have to come at a lower price. For now, it may not matter. On April 15, it sold out of one of one of the five frames available within hours, and by the end of the day all of the Google Glass Explorer slots were filled up. The one-day sale was the first time that Google made the specs available since offering select developers and tastemakers the glasses as beta testers a year ago.

The reviews have been mixed, but it's a safe bet that published perspectives will improve -- and wider adoption will continue -- once Google does the right thing and prices them at a more reasonable markup to its actual cost.

Big markups are Apple's (AAPL) thing, and Google is trying hard to set itself out as the platform for the masses. Google got in early on the wearable computing revolution, but it can't let greed lead to it falling behind.

Motley Fool contributor Rick Munarriz has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Amazon.com, Apple and Google (C shares). The Motley Fool owns shares of Amazon.com, Apple and Google (C shares).

 

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Alibaba Seeks Blockbuster IPO, But How Much Is It Worth?

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AP
By Dhara Ranasinghe
@DharaCNBC

Alibaba has finally filed for a U.S. initial public offering that will see it become the largest Chinese firm to list in New York. The question now is how much will the e-commerce giant be valued at when it starts trading.

Recent estimates put Alibaba's value between $150 billion to $200 billion. That suggests the IPO could raise up to $15 billion, making it one of the biggest tech IPOs since Facebook (FB) listed its shares in 2012.

"There's going to be no trouble at all with this thing having a market cap of over $200 billion in my opinion after looking at the numbers. And there's a fair chance that in three or four years, it could be the most valuable company in the world," said Larry Haverty, a portfolio manager at Gabelli Funds.

"Alibaba is a one-off," he added. "U.S. investors have rarely seen a company with these kinds of growth characteristics. You have massive scale and profit growth and enormous market share."

After weeks of anticipation, Alibaba late Tuesday filed for a nominal $1 billion initial public offering, or IPO. The ultimate offering is expected to be much higher.

The company, co-founded by former English schoolteacher Jack Ma, had listed revenue of $5.66 billion and net income of $2.85 billion for the nine months that ended Dec. 31.

It handled over 1.5 trillion yuan, or about $248 billion, of transactions for 231 million active users across its three main Chinese online marketplaces last year, more than Amazon.com (AMZN) and eBay (EBAY) together, according to Reuters.

Tech Backdrop

Still, Alibaba's U.S. trading debut will take place at a time when high-flying stocks such as Twitter (TWTR) have fallen back to earth.

"The big guessing game is the valuation of the company when it starts to trade. Most people believe this is a company that is worth between $150 and $160 billion," Eric Jackson, founder and managing partner at Ironfire Capital in Toronto, told CNBC.

"It's a one-in-10-years company. In some ways people will look past the macro-environment of the moment or sell-off in momentum stocks and see this company as a unique, high-growth company," he added.

Its platforms allow customers to buy and sell anything from luxury leather jackets to prefabricated container homes.

"We are witnessing a lot of weakness in social media stocks in the U.S. and that highlights the fact that promises and expectations are not the same as profits. And here you have a company with strong profits and it's only going to continue to expand," said David Joy, chief market strategist, Ameriprise Financial (AMP).

"I suspect the IPO is going to be extraordinarily well-received. It is a well-seasoned company and it is profitable," he added.

 

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As Interest Rates Fall, Mortgage Applications Rise

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By Caroline Valetkevitch

NEW YORK -- Applications for U.S. home mortgages climbed last week as interest rates fell, an industry group said Wednesday.

The Mortgage Bankers Association said its seasonally adjusted index of mortgage application activity, which includes both refinancing and home purchase demand, rose 5.3 percent in the week ended May 2. That's a rebound from the previous week, when applications for U.S. home mortgages fell to their lowest level since December 2000.

The MBA's seasonally adjusted index of refinancing applications rose 2.4 percent, while the gauge of loan requests for home purchases, a leading indicator of home sales, jumped 8.9 percent.

Fixed 30-year mortgage rates averaged 4.43 percent in the week, the lowest since November 2013. It was down 6 basis points from 4.49 percent the week before.

The survey covers more than 75 percent of U.S. retail residential mortgage applications, according to MBA.

On Tuesday, MBA said first-quarter commercial and multifamily mortgage loan originations were down 1 percent from the same period a year ago and down 45 percent from the fourth-quarter of 2013.

 

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Wintry Blast Sinks Worker Productivity in 1st Quarter

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Productivity
Patrick Semansky/AP
By Lucia Mutikani

WASHINGTON -- U.S. nonfarm productivity fell at its fastest pace in a year in the first quarter as output slowed sharply, leading to a jump in labor-related production costs.

Productivity declined at a 1.7 percent annual rate after advancing at a 2.3 percent pace in the fourth quarter, the Labor Department said Wednesday. It was the biggest drop since the first quarter of 2013.

The fall in productivity, which measures hourly output per worker, was in tandem with a weather-driven sharp weakness in the economy during the January-March period

Manufacturing sector hours fell at a 1.4 percent rate. They had increased at a 3.4 percent pace in the fourth quarter.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast productivity falling at a 1 percent rate.

First-quarter gross domestic product expanded at a 0.1 percent annual rate, the government said in its advance estimate last week, an abrupt slowdown from the fourth quarter's 2.6 percent rate.

However, subsequent data on March trade, factory orders and construction spending suggest the economy actually contracted in the first three months of the year.

The trend in productivity, however, remains modestly up. Compared to the first quarter of 2013, productivity increased 1.4 percent.

Growth in output braked to a 0.3 percent rate in the first quarter, also the weakest pace in a year. Output had increased at a 3.8 percent rate in the fourth quarter.

Factory output grew at an only 1.8 percent pace, sharply slower than the 4.7 percent rate logged in the fourth quarter.

With overall output slowing sharply because of the adverse weather conditions labor-related production costs jumped.

Unit labor costs, the price of labor per single unit of output, surged at a 4.2 percent rate after falling at a 0.4 percent rate in the fourth quarter. It was the biggest rise in unit labor costs since the fourth quarter of 2012.

Economists polled by Reuters had expected unit labor costs to increase at a 2.6 percent rate. Despite the rise last quarter, there was little sign that wage inflation was igniting.

Unit labor costs rose only 0.9 percent compared to the first quarter of 2013.

A government report last week showed labor costs increased at their slowest pace in more than two years in the first quarter.

Slack in the jobs market is suppressing wage inflation, keeping overall price pressures in the economy benign.

 

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