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3 Tax Issues Every Investor Must Factor in Before They Sell

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It's easy for investors to find advice on what investments they should buy. But when it comes to selling, many investors find themselves without much guidance, and navigating complex tax laws to make sure you don't make any big mistakes can be intimidating. If you sell without knowing the most important tax provisions governing investments, then you can end up paying unnecessarily high taxes -- or you can even undo the point of making the sale in the first place.

1. Lower Capital Gains Tax for What You Own More Than a Year

If you're selling an investment that has risen in value, then you'll have a profit from the sale. In most cases, that profit gets taxed as a capital gain, and you'll include the income on your tax return for the year in which you sell.

What gets confusing, though, is which tax rate applies to those capital gains. Short-term capital gains get taxed at your ordinary tax rate, based on your overall income. So if you're in the 25 percent tax bracket, then your short-term capital gains will also get taxed at 25 percent.

But long-term capital gains enjoy much lower tax rates. In fact, if you're in the 10 percent or 15 percent tax brackets, you'll pay no tax on long-term capital gains. In other cases, maximums of 15 percent apply for those in the 25 percent to 35 percent tax brackets, and there's a 20 percent maximum for those who would otherwise pay 39.6 percent on other income.

The trick for the unwary is this: You have to own your investment longer than one year to qualify for long-term capital gains. Exactly one year doesn't count -- you have to have an additional day as well. So if you're close, look back at your records.

2. Less Tax on Dividends for Stocks You Own Longer Than 60 Days

Besides capital gains, the other tax break many Americans get is on dividend income. Lower rates of between 0 percent and 20 percent apply to qualified dividends, which include the dividends that most U.S. stocks pay.

To get this lower rate, though, you have to have owned the stock for longer than 60 days during the roughly four-month period surrounding the ex-dividend date, which is the day on which shareholders buying the stock for the first time will not receive that quarter's dividend payment. If you're a long-time shareholder, you'll always qualify for the lower tax rate, because you'll have owned the stock throughout the first 61 days of the period. But if you recently bought the stock, you have to be careful about when you sell it to avoid having your dividend income taxed at a potentially much higher rate.

3. Selling for Losses? Don't Buy Back Too Soon

The end of the year is prime time for tax-loss harvesting, whereby investors sell investments that have lost money to take capital losses as a deduction on their tax returns. Doing so can help you offset capital gains from more successful investments, or you can deduct up to $3,000 in capital losses against other types of income, including wages and salary.

If you really want to sell the investment and not buy it back, then taking the tax loss is as easy as claiming it on your tax return. But if you still like your investment, the trap you have to avoid is selling for the tax loss and then buying the same investment back too quickly. The wash-sale rules say that if you buy the same investment back within 30 days, then you can't take the tax loss. That requires some patience in order to get the tax benefits of losses.

Note, though, that you can often buy a similar investment immediately and not run afoul of the rules. For instance, if you own an index mutual fund that tracks the S&P 500 (^GSPC), then you can switch to a fund that tracks a different index, such as the Russell 2000 (^RUT). Often, those funds will move in similar directions, but selling one and buying the other shouldn't trigger IRS wash-sale scrutiny.

The decision to sell can be a smart one, but it's important to understand fully the tax ramifications of selling your investments. In some cases, all it takes is a slight change to your plans to save huge amounts in tax.

Motley Fool contributor Dan Caplinger never met a tax he didn't like not paying. You can follow him on Twitter @DanCaplinger or on Google+. To read about our favorite high-yielding dividend stocks for any investor, check out our free report.

 

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Consumer Confidence Rebounds in October, Hits 7-Year High

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consumer confidence
Dean Hoffmeyer/Richmond Times-Dispatch via AP
By JOSH BOAK

WASHINGTON -- U.S. consumer confidence rebounded strongly in October, hitting a seven-year high as solid job gains raised expectations for economic growth.

The Conference Board said Tuesday that its confidence index climbed to 94.5, the strongest reading since October 2007 and the start of the Great Recession a few months later. This month's gains reversed a revised decline to 89 in September from 93.4 in August.

Job gains and falling gasoline prices have helped to improve sentiment, despite muted economic growth in Europe and China that has fueled volatility in financial markets.

Consumer confidence has been trending higher from lows during the worst downturn since the 1930s. However, confidence still lags pre-recession highs more than five years into the recovery.

"At 94.5, the Conference Board index is up significantly from 73.2, on average, in 2013 and 67.1 in 2012," noted Jim O'Sullivan, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency economics.

Steady hiring and fewer layoffs over the past 12 months have pushed unemployment lower. Employers added 248,000 jobs in September, helping to push the unemployment rate down to 5.9 percent from as high as 7.2 percent at the beginning of the year. The new jobs mean more paychecks, which should lead to more spending and overall economic growth.

Economists project that the gains should continue into October with the addition of 235,000 more jobs, according to the data firm FactSet.

The recent hiring has left more people optimistic about getting a raise. The Conference Board found in the survey for its confidence index that 17.7 percent of consumers expect their incomes to improve, compared to 16.9 percent in September. Meanwhile, the share of Americans expecting their income to drop fell to 11.6 percent from 13.4 percent.

Also, Americans are likely feeling less depleted after a trip to the gas pump. Average gas prices have fallen 31 cents in the past month to $3.03 a gallon, according to AAA's Daily Fuel Gauge Report, freeing up cash to spend elsewhere.

Still, shopping has yet to accelerate, according to the Conference Board results.

"Plunging gas prices, strong job growth, and rising confidence should provide support for consumer spending in coming months, but for now the buying plans portion of the survey showed high levels of cautiousness continuing," said Morgan Stanley analyst Ted Wieseman in a client note.

Purchases of clothing dropped 1.2 percent last month and spending on building materials fell 1.1 percent, while auto-buying dipped after surging in August, the Commerce Department reported.

 

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Ford Quarterly Earnings: By the Numbers

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Autos High Prices
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Ford Motor Company (F) Friday reported a 34 percent drop in third-quarter earnings, and revenue fell due to the costs and sales losses associated with refitting assembly lines to build its all-new, aluminum-body F-150 pickup truck. The F-150, long the industry's best-seller and a key profit driver for Ford, remains the biggest question mark for investors' ability to assess Ford's future performance, due to the manufacturing challenges associated with it.

The company reported a pre-tax profit, excluding restructuring costs, of $1.2 billion in the quarter, down from $1.4 billion a year-earlier. Revenue fell 3 percent to $34.9 billion from $35.8 billion a year ago.

"If you go back to the beginning of the year, obviously we haven't done as well as we had hoped," said Chief Financial Officer Bob Shanks. Internationally, economic turbulence in Russia and Latin America resulted in greater-than-expected losses in both regions. And in Asia -- where sales have been growing rapidly -- the company's aggressive expansion effort is cutting into profits.

Still, the 3 percent drop in third-quarter revenue to $34.9 billion can to a large degree be linked to the shutdown of the F-150 plant in Dearborn, Michigan for retooling, which resulted in fewer trucks available for its dealers to sell.

This earnings release follows the earnings announcements from the following peers of Ford Motor Company -- Daimler AG (DDAIY), General Motors (GM) and Honda Motor (HMC).

Highlights

o. Summary numbers: Revenues of $34.9 billion, Net Earnings of $835 million and Earnings per Share (EPS) of $0.21.
o. Performance focus more on revenue than bottom-line: decline in revenue versus same period last year of -3 percent; change in earnings a steeper decline of -34.4 percent.

The table below shows the preliminary results and recent trends for key metrics such as revenues and net income (See complete table at the end of this report):
Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
Revenue Growth (YOY) 11.8% 1.7% 0.2% -1.8% -3.0%
Earnings Growth (YOY) -22.0% 90.2% -38.6% 6.3% -34.4%
Net Margin 3.5% 8.2% 2.8% 3.5% 2.4%
EPS $0.31 $0.74 $0.24 $0.32 $0.21
Return on Equity 25.2% 51.1% 14.7% 19.3% 12.3%
Return on Assets 2.6% 6.0% 1.9% 2.5% 1.6%


Market Share Versus Earnings Growth

Companies sometimes focus on growing their top-line (Sales or Revenues) more than their bottom-line (Earnings or Net Income). Capital Cube looks at revenue growth to understand a company's ability to grow its market share, and earnings growth for the company's ability to generate profits.




Ford's drop in revenue compared to the same period last year of -3 percent is better than its change in earnings, which was -34.4 percent -- suggesting perhaps that the company's focus is on market share at the expense of bottom-line earnings. But more critically, this revenue performance is among the lowest thus far in its sector - opening up a potential loss in market share as well this quarter. Also, for comparison purposes, for the three months ended September 30, revenues changed by -6.7 percent and earnings by -36.3 percent compared to the second quarter.



EPS Growth Versus Earnings Growth

Ford's decline in Earnings per Share (EPS) of -32.3 percent is better than its drop in earnings of -34.4 percent, compared to the same period last year. In addition, this decline in earnings is worse than the average change of its peers announced thus far, suggesting that the company is losing ground in generating profits compared to its peers.





Supporting Data
Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
Revenue Growth (YOY) 11.8% 1.7% 0.2% -1.8% -3.0%
Peer Average Revenue Growth (YOY) 7.6% 2.4% 1.4% 1.7% 1.8%
Earnings Growth (YOY) -22.0% 90.2% -38.6% 6.3% -34.4%
Peer Average Earnings Growth (YOY) -14.2% 53.7% 15.2% -7.8% 1.2%
Net Margin 3.5% 8.2% 2.8% 3.5% 2.4%
Peer Average Net Margin 4.4% 6.1% 3.1% 4.5% 4.3%
EPS $0.31 $0.74 $0.24 $0.32 $0.21
Peer Average EPS $0.57 $0.71 $0.56 $0.62 $0.80
Return on Equity 25.2% 51.1% 14.7% 19.3% 12.3%
Peer Average Return on Equity 13.5% 21.2% 10.2% 15.4% 12.6%
Return on Assets 2.6% 6.0% 1.9% 2.5% 1.6%
Peer Average Return on Assets 3.8% 5.0% 2.2% 3.5% 3.5%

Company Profile

Ford Motor Co. is engaged in the manufacturing and distribution of automobiles. It operates through two business sectors: Automotive and Financial Services. The Automotive sector operates through four business segments: North America, South America, Europe and Asia Pacific Africa. The North America segment is engaged in the sale of Ford and Lincoln brand vehicles, service parts and accessories in North America. The South America segment is engaged in the sale of Ford brand vehicles and related service parts and accessories in South America. The Europe segment is engaged in the sale of Ford brand vehicles and related service parts and accessories in Europe, Turkey and Russia. The Asia Pacific Africa segment includes primarily the sale of Ford brand vehicles and related service parts and accessories in the Asia Pacific region and South Africa. The Financial Services sector operates through two segments: Ford Credit and Other Financial Services. The Ford Credit segment provides vehicle related financing, leasing, and insurance through the company's wholly owned subsidiary Ford Motor Credit Co. LLC. The Other Financial Services segment includes a variety of businesses, including holding companies and real estate. Ford Motor was founded by Henry Ford on June 16, 1903 and is headquartered in Dearborn, MI.

CapitalCube does not own any shares in the stocks mentioned and focuses solely on providing unique fundamental research and analysis on approximately 50,000 stocks and ETFs globally. Try any of our analysis, screener or portfolio premium services free for 7 days. To get a quick preview of our services, check out our free quick summary analysis of F.

 

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UPS Quarterly Earnings: By the Numbers

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UPS delivery truck, Celebration, Florida, USA
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UPS (UPS), which is often viewed as a bellwether for the state of the U.S. economy, posted a higher-than-expected third-quarter profit, driven by rising U.S. consumer and business demand, plus strong growth in Asia. The largest jump in U.S. growth came from e-commerce, which now accounts for almost half of UPS's domestic packages.

As UPS approaches the crucial fourth quarter holiday season, it is again the focus of controversy about whether it will be able to meet customer demand. Last year, the company's delivery capacity was overwhelmed, and packages that the carrier promised to deliver by Dec. 24 wound up delayed after large numbers of shoppers rushed to take advantage of retailers' final deals.

UPS, the world's largest package delivery company, posted quarterly revenue up 6 percent from $13.5 billion last year, and Earnings per Share (EPS) of $1.32, up 14 percent from $1.16 a year earlier.

This earnings release follows the earnings announcement of its peer, FedEx Corporation (FDX).

Highlights
  • Summary numbers: Revenues of $14.3 billion, Net Earnings of $1.2 billion and Earnings per Share (EPS) of $1.32.
  • Performance focus on earnings: rise in earnings of 10.7 percent, better than increase in revenues of 5.6 percent compared to same period last year
  • Gross margins now narrowed to 13.7 percent from 24.3 percent compared to the same period last year, operating margins now 13.7 percent from 16.9 percent

The table below shows the preliminary results and recent trends for key metrics such as revenues and net income (See complete table at the end of this report):
Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
Revenue Growth (YOY) 3.8% 3.1% 2.5% 5.6% 5.6%
Earnings Growth (YOY) 133.9% 166.8% -12.2% -57.6% 10.7%
Net Margin 8.1% 7.8% 6.6% 3.2% 8.5%
EPS $1.16 $1.25 $0.98 $0.49 $1.32
Return on Equity 120.5% 92.0% 57.2% 30.7% 86.9%
Return on Assets 11.8% 12.7% 9.9% 5.0% 13.9%


Market Share Versus Earnings Growth

Because there is sometimes a tension between companies' focus on growing market share versus growing earnings, Capital Cube examines revenue growth to understand a company's ability to increase its market share, and earnings growth to look at the company's ability to generate returns.



UPS' improvement in revenue compared to the same period last year of 6 percent trailed its earnings' performance, which was up 10.7 percent. The company's earnings performance this period suggests an effort to boost the bottom-line. While this is good to a point, the fact that the company's revenue increase was less than average among the results announced thus far of its peers, causes Capital Cube to sound a cautionary note from a long-term market share perspective. Also, compared to the second quarter, third quarter revenues changed by 0.07 percent and earnings by 167.4 percent.



Earnings Growth Analysis

The company's earnings have gone up from the same period last year. But this growth has not come as a result of improvement in gross margins or any cost control activities in its operations - gross and operating margins are both currently at 13.7 percent. Compared to the same period last year, gross margins were 24.3 percent and operating margins 16.9 percent. Looking back to the quarter ended June 30, 2014, gross margins were 16.5 percent and operating margins 8.6 percent.



Gross Margin Trend

Capital Cube probes for companies trading off improvements in revenues and margins by extending friendlier terms to customers and vendors, by comparing the changes in gross margins with any changes in working capital. If the gross margins improved without a worsening of working capital, it is quite possible that the company's performance is a result of truly delivering in the marketplace and not simply an accounting gimmick using the balance sheet.

UPS' decline in gross margins - from 24.3 to 13.7 compared to the same time last year - is offset by some improvements on the balance sheet side. Specifically, working capital management shows progress. The company's working capital days dropped to 25.5 from 40.3 for the same period last year, which suggests that the gross margin decline is not altogether bad.
The company's pretax margins are now 13.1 percent compared to 12.7 percent for the same period last year



EPS Growth Versus Earnings Growth

UPS's rise in Earnings per Share (EPS) of 13.8 percent compared to the same period last year is better than its increase in earnings of 10.7 percent. However, this change in earnings is lower than the average among the results announced to date by its peer group, warning us that the company may lose ground in generating profits in this group.




Supporting Data

The table below shows the preliminary results along with the recent trend for revenues, net income and other relevant metrics:
Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
Revenue Growth (YOY) 3.8% 3.1% 2.5% 5.6% 5.6%
Peer Average Revenue Growth (YOY) 3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 4.6% 5.8%
Earnings Growth (YOY) 133.9% 166.8% -12.2% -57.6% 10.7%
Peer Average Earnings Growth (YOY) 70.3% 90.6% -3.6% 41.7% 17.2%
Gross Margin 24.3% 23.5% 21.9% 16.5% 13.7%
Peer Average Gross Margin 25.0% 24.7% 23.4% 22.4% 20.1%
EBITDA Margin 16.9% 15.9% 14.4% 8.6% 13.7%
Peer Average EBITDA Margin 14.9% 14.4% 12.9% 12.1% 13.8%
Net Margin 8.1% 7.8% 6.6% 3.2% 8.5%
Peer Average Net Margin 6.3% 6.1% 5.0% 4.7% 6.8%
EPS $1.16 $1.25 $0.98 $0.49 $1.32
Peer Average EPS $1.35 $1.41 $1.11 $1.48 $1.71
Return on Equity 120.5% 92.0% 57.2% 30.7% 86.9%
Peer Average Return on Equity 65.8% 51.7% 33.2% 24.9% 51.4%
Return on Assets 11.8% 12.7% 9.9% 5.0% 13.9%
Peer Average Return on Assets 8.8% 9.3% 7.3% 7.0% 10.7%

Company Profile

United Parcel Service, Inc. is a logistics company, which provides global package delivery and supply chain management services. It offers logistics services to the global market, which include transportation, distribution, forwarding, ground, ocean and air freight, brokerage and financing. The company operates its business through three segments: U.S. Domestic Package, International Package and Supply Chain & Freight. The U.S. Domestic Package segment provides in time-definite, money-back guaranteed, small package delivery services and also offers spectrum of U.S. domestic guaranteed ground and air package transportation services. The International Package segment offers a wide selection of guaranteed, day and time-definite international shipping services. The Supply Chain & Freight segment consists of its forwarding and logistics services, UPS Freight business, and its financial offerings through UPS Capital. United Parcel Service was founded by James E. Casey and Claude Ryan on August 28, 1907, and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

CapitalCube does not own any shares in the stocks mentioned and focuses solely on providing unique fundamental research and analysis on approximately 50,000 stocks and ETFs globally. Try any of our analysis, screener or portfolio premium services free for 7 days. To get a quick preview of our services, check out our free quick summary analysis of UPS.

 

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Twitter Earnings Analysis: By the Numbers

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Close up picture of a young woman using Twitter social networking website on an iPad 2
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Twitter (TWTR) reported revenue of $361 million for the quarter ending on Sept. 30, versus $163.6 million a year earlier, beating analysts' estimates. Nevertheless, the stock fell after the results came out Monday night. Almost one year since the San Francisco company went public last November at $26 a share, the stock, which peaked at $74.76 last December, has fallen approximately 24 percent in 2014, as some investors worry that Twitter's growth has peaked.

The reaction from Wall Street emphasized the challenges the company faces, as its positive revenue numbers failed to quash investor concern about user growth and fourth-quarter revenue. Although its user base grew 23 percent to 284 million monthly active users in the third quarter, it wasn't enough to satisfy investors, who have been focused on the company's ability to recruit new users and engage existing ones-numbers they think foretell the company's long-term profitability.

The company is still unprofitable. Its third quarter loss widened to $175.5 million or 29 cents a share. That compares with a loss of $64.6 million, or 48 cents a share a year earlier, when it was still a private company.

We compare Twitter's earnings with the earnings announcements from the following peers: Facebook (FB), Google (GOOG) and Yahoo! (YHOO).

Highlights
  • Summary numbers: Revenues of $361.3 million, Net Earnings of $-175.5 million and Earnings per Share (EPS) of $-0.29.
  • Performance focus more on top-line than profits: same period revenue increase from last year of 114.3 percent vs. drop in earnings of -171.6 percent.
  • Gross margins widened 82.3 percent from 80.3 percent compared to the same period last year, operating (EBITDA) margins now -28.0 percent from -20.4 percent
  • Earnings decline from operating margin decreases as well as from one-time accounting balance sheet items

The table below shows the preliminary results and recent trends for key metrics such as revenues and net income (See complete table at the end of this report):
Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
Revenue Growth (YOY) 104.8% 116.2% 119.1% 124.1% 114.3%
Earnings Growth (YOY) -199.2% -5775.6% -389.8% -242.6% -171.6%
Net Margin -38.3% -210.8% -52.8% -46.3% -48.6%
EPS -$0.14 -$1.41 -$0.23 -$0.24 -$0.29
Return on Equity -36.3% -111.9% -18.0% -19.3% -21.4%
Return on Assets -26.4% -93.9% -15.8% -16.7% -15.5%

Revenue Growth Versus Profitability

Comparing revenue growth to earnings growth helps Capital Cube evaluate a company's focus on gaining market share, compared to its efforts to produce profits.






Twitter's increase in revenue compared to the same period last year of 114.3 percent is better than its change in earnings, which declined -171.6 percent, suggesting perhaps that the company's focus is on market share at the expense of profits. This increase in revenue is better than average among the results announced thus far by its peer group-putting its market share gains in perspective and helping Capital Cube view its weaker earnings performance this period more favorably. Also, compared to the second quarter, revenues increased by 15.7 percent while earnings declined by -21.3 percent.



Decline in Earnings

The company's earnings declined from the same time last year largely due to increases in operating costs. Its operating margins (EBITDA margins) widened from -20.4 percent to -28.0 percent. This worsening in earnings and operating margins would have been worse but for the fact that the company's gross margins improved, from 80.3 percent to 82.3 percent. For comparison, gross margins were 82.6 percent (and EBITDA margins -33.4 percent) in the quarter ending June 30, 2014.



Operating Cash Flow Growth Versus Earnings Growth

Capital Cube tries to determine if the trend in a company's performance is sustainable, as companies often post earnings numbers that are influenced by non-cash activities. We gauge the quality of the earnings number by judging the difference between the growth in earnings and the growth in operating cash flows. In general, an earnings growth rate that is higher compared to the operating cash flow growth implies a higher proportion of non-operating and even one-time activities. Such activities are typically not sustainable over long periods.



Twitter's decline in operating cash flow by -1,492.8 percent trailed its change in earnings, leading Capital Cube to conclude that the earnings number might have benefited from some accounting unlocking of accruals. In addition, this drop in operating cash flow is less than the average among the results announced to date by its peer group.



EPS Decline Versus Earnings Decline: Losing Ground in Generating Profits

Twitter's change from the same time last year in Earnings per Share (EPS) of -107.1 percent is better than its change in earnings of -171.6 percent. This decline in earnings is also worse than the average for the results announced thus far by its peers, suggesting that the company is losing ground in generating profits in this group.






Supporting Data

The table below shows the preliminary results along with the recent trend for revenues, net income and other relevant metrics:
Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
Revenue Growth (YOY) 104.8% 116.2% 119.1% 124.1% 114.3%
Peer Average Revenue Growth (YOY) 32.8% 40.9% 41.1% 36.9% 35.0%
Earnings Growth (YOY) -199.2% -5775.6% -389.8% -242.6% -171.6%
Peer Average Earnings Growth (YOY) -27.4% 22.1% -5.2% 9.0% 45.8%
Gross Margin 80.3% 67.3% 81.8% 82.6% 82.3%
Peer Average Gross Margin 81.9% 75.5% 82.6% 82.8% 83.0%
EBITDA Margin -20.4% -196.3% -35.7% -33.4% -28.0%
Peer Average EBITDA Margin 25.8% 26.9% 25.5% 24.8% 24.6%
Net Margin -38.3% -210.8% -52.8% -46.3% -48.6%
Peer Average Net Margin 20.4% 20.1% 24.6% 23.4% 21.6%
EPS -$0.14 -$1.41 -$0.23 -$0.24 -$0.29
Peer Average EPS $0.23 $0.27 $0.27 $0.28 $2.20
Return on Equity -36.3% -111.9% -18.0% -19.3% -21.4%
Peer Average Return on Equity 11.1% 12.7% 12.7% 11.6% 14.3%
Return on Assets -26.4% -93.9% -15.8% -16.7% -15.5%
Peer Average Return on Assets 9.3% 10.7% 10.2% 9.1% 12.0%


Company Profile

Twitter, Inc. is a global messaging platform for public self-expression and conversation in real time. It provides a network that connects users to people, information, ideas, opinions, and news. The company's application provides social networking services and micro-blogging services through mobile devices and the Internet. It can also be used as a marketing tool for businesses. Twitter was founded by Jack Dorsey, Christopher Isaac Stone, Noah E. Glass, Jeremy LaTrasse, and Evan Williams on March 21, 2006 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

CapitalCube does not own any shares in the stocks mentioned and focuses solely on providing unique fundamental research and analysis on approximately 50,000 stocks and ETFs globally. Try any of our analysis, screener or portfolio premium services free for 7 days. To get a quick preview of our services, check out our free quick summary analysis of TWTR.

 

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Marijuana Backers Hope Legalization Efforts Grow Like Weed

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Cannabis consumers were delighted when Colorado and Washington State legalized non-medical use of marijuana last year. Now the recreational use of the drug -- still classified with LSD, heroin, ecstasy, and peyote in the most dangerous category of illegal drugs, according to the Department of Justice -- comes up for a vote again in various ballot measures, according to The New York Times.

On Nov. 4, Oregon, Alaska and Washington, D.C., all take up whether to change state laws to legalize recreational use of marijuana by adults. The moves mirror the beginning to a change in a policy going back to the 1920s. The politics of pot have changed, and many politicians on both the right and left are finding they can address the topic without necessarily facing an office-ending backlash.

Harsh reactions to marijuana began when Mexican immigrants brought recreational use with them in the early 20th century, according to "Frontline." Antagonism only increased during the Depression, when the immigrants were seen as threats to scarce jobs and research linked use with "violence, crime and other socially deviant behaviors, primarily committed by 'racially inferior' or underclass communities." Twenty-nine states banned its use by 1931.

'Reefer Madness'

The 1936 film "Reefer Madness" displayed greatly exaggerated examples of marijuana-induced behavior. By the next year, Congress effectively criminalized the use.

In 1944, a New York Academy of Medicine study refuted earlier research and said that marijuana did not lead to violence, sex crimes or other problems. But by that time, the substance already had a strongly reinforced bad reputation and had become a topic of concern for the criminal justice system and politicians who wanted to appear supportive of law and order.

Perhaps as a reaction to the 1960s counterculture, in the 1970s and 1980s, regulation and criminal penalties became far more severe.

Taxes, Too

But things have changed radically. Not only have some states already passed full legalization, but, as Colorado has shown, recreational marijuana use can be a profitable source of tax revenue, according to the Washington Post. A federal court is about to hold a rare hearing on whether the national ban is supported by the latest scientific evidence, the San Francisco Chronicle reported.

Republican Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky supports decriminalization of marijuana, according to CNBC. As libertarians in the party gain power, support for continued treatment of marijuana as a dangerous drug weakens. Democrats can also support legalization measures without the fear of being seen as soft on crime. Special interest groups have undertaken marketing campaigns, says WCSH-TV. In addition, the marijuana trade is increasingly turning into an established industry, with money to spend on lobbying and campaigning.

That's not to say opposition will fall away quietly. The U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration recently worked with Denver police to raid multiple marijuana growing operations around Denver and seize plants, money, and cars. One way or the other, marijuana is apparently profitable.

Congress Could Be Big Hurdle in D.C. Marijuana Legalization

 

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Fed Keeps Key Rate at Record Low, Ends Bond Buying Stimulus

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Massachusetts Fed Yellen
Michael Dwyer/APFederal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen
By MARTIN CRUTSINGER

WASHINGTON -- The Federal Reserve plans to keep a key interest rate at a record low to support a U.S. job market that's improving but still isn't fully healthy and help lift inflation from unusually low levels. As expected, it's also ending a bond purchase program that was intended to keep long-term rates low.

The Fed on Wednesday reiterated its plan to maintain its benchmark short-term rate near zero "for a considerable time." Most economists predict that the Fed won't raise that rate before mid-2015. The Fed's benchmark rate affects the rates on many consumer and business loans.

In a statement ending a policy meeting, the Fed suggested that the job market, though still not back to normal, is strengthening. The statement drops a previous reference to "significant" in referring to an "underutilization" of available workers.

The U.S. economy has been benefiting from solid consumer and business spending, manufacturing growth and a surge in hiring that's reduced the unemployment rate to a six-year low of 5.9 percent. Still, the housing industry is still struggling, and global weakness poses a potential threat to U.S. growth.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen has stressed that while the unemployment rate is close to a historically normal level, other gauges of the job market remain a concern. These include stagnant pay; many part-time workers who can't find full-time jobs; and a historically high number of people who have given up looking for a job and are no longer counted as unemployed.

What's more, inflation remains so low it isn't even reaching the Fed's long-term target rate of 2 percent. When inflation is excessively low, people sometimes delay purchases -- a trend that slows consumer spending, the economy's main fuel. The low short-term rates the Fed has engineered are intended, in part, to lift inflation.

Investors are expected to remain on high alert for the first hint that rates are set to move higher. Most economists have said they think the Fed will start raising rates by mid-2015. But global economic weakness, market turmoil and falling inflation forecasts have led some to suggest that the Fed might now wait longer.

Anticipated Decision

The Fed's decision to end its third round of bond buying had been expected. It has gradually pared the purchases from $85 billion in Treasury and mortgage bonds each month to $15 billion. And the Fed had said it would likely end the program after its October meeting if the economy continued to improve.

Even with the end of new purchases, the Fed's investment holdings stand at $4.5 trillion -- more than $3 trillion higher than when the bond purchases were launched in 2008 at the height of the financial crisis. The Fed has said it won't begin selling its holdings until after it starts raising short-term rates.

Most economists have predicted that the Fed's first rate hike won't occur until next summer. Some foresee no increase until fall, in part because of fears that the global economy is weakening and could threaten the U.S. economy.

The bond buying program the Fed is now ending was intended to lower long-term borrowing rates to encourage spending and spur economic growth. The Fed began the purchases after it had cut its main policy tool, the federal funds rate, as low as it could go. The Fed's benchmark short-term rate has been at zero since December 2008.

Supporters have said the bond buying helped invigorate the economy and reduce the unemployment rate, which peaked at 10 percent during 2009, to the current 5.9 percent.

Critics contend that the Fed will find it hard to sell its massive holdings without jolting financial markets. They also worry that all the money it has pumped into the economy will eventually ignite inflation and cause dangerous bubbles in assets like stocks or housing.

 

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Market Wrap: Stocks Slip after Fed Action Strengthens Dollar

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By MATTHEW CRAFT

NEW YORK -- An optimistic statement from the Federal Reserve sent the dollar up and gold prices down Wednesday as traders prepared for rising interest rates.

Major U.S. stock indexes ended with a slight loss after the Fed confirmed that it was shutting down a bond-buying program because the economy no longer needs as much help.

At the end of a two-day meeting, the Fed said that it had ended its $4 trillion bond-buying program, known as quantitative easing, or QE for short, as a result of "underlying strength in the broader economy."

"I was pleasantly surprised," said Brad Sorenson, director of market and sector analysis at Charles Schwab. Sorenson liked the statement's optimistic tone and was happy the Fed didn't extend its stimulus effort. Launching another round of bond purchases would have raised worries about the economy and backfired, he said.

"They don't have a lot of bullets left to shoot at any problems," he said. "The effectiveness of quantitative easing diminishes each time it's done."

The Standard & Poor's 500 index (^GPSC) fell 2.75 points, or 0.1 percent, to 1,982.30. The Dow Jones industrial average (^DJI) fell 31.44 points, or 0.2 percent, to 16,974.31. The Nasdaq composite (^IXIC) fell 15.07 points, or 0.3 percent, to 4,549.23.

The S&P 500 index, the benchmark for most investment funds, is now up half a percent for the month of October. It had slumped as much as 6 percent on Oct. 15 as a host of concerns sent markets tumbling.

Marty Leclerc, chief investment officer at Barrack Yard Advisors, said the market should be able to handle an interest rate increase from near zero to something slightly higher. The Fed has made clear that it plans to move carefully. "The fact is, easy money is still here," he said. "They're not taking away the punch bowl, they're just dialing down the amount of booze in the punch."

The Fed restated a pledge to keep its benchmark short-term rate near zero, but it also pointed to signs of strength in the job market. Most economists think the Fed won't raise that rate until the middle of next year.

"Today's statement shows the Fed believes the economy is nearing the final stages of full recovery," said Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at the Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi, in a note to clients. "They halted the QE purchases today, and tomorrow, rate hikes are coming. Bet on it."

Gold dropped and the dollar jumped after the statement came out Wednesday afternoon. Gold fell $17.70, or 1.4 percent, to $1,211.70 an ounce. Silver fell 14 cents to $17.09 an ounce. Copper lost a penny to $3.08 a pound.

A widely used gauge of the dollar's strength against other currencies, the ICE dollar index, rose 0.6 percent to 85.96.

U.S. government bond prices dipped, nudging the yield on the 10-year Treasury note up to 2.32 percent.

Solid earnings from Caterpillar (CAT), Microsoft (MSFT) and other big companies have helped the stock market recover from its slide earlier this month. Nearly half of the big companies in the S&P 500 index have turned in third-quarter results, and more than seven out of 10 have cleared analysts' targets, according to S&P Capital IQ. Earnings are on track to rise 6 percent for the third quarter.

Video game maker Electronic Arts (EA) turned in earnings that topped analysts' estimates and raised its profit projections for the year. Sales of "FIFA 14," a soccer game, and "Titanfall," a first-person shooter game, helped lift revenue. EA's stock rose $1.43, or 4 percent, to $38.91.

Facebook (FB) lost 6 percent after its chief financial officer said that expenses for the social networking giant could increase by as much as 75 percent next year as it ramps up spending on investments. Its stock dropped $4.91 to $75.86.

Orbital Sciences Corporation (ORB) sank following news that its Antares rocket exploded moments after lifting off from its launch pad on Tuesday. The rocket was carrying a supply ship for astronauts on the International Space Station, part of Orbital's contract with NASA. Orbital's stock plunged $5.10, or 17 percent, to $25.27.

In the commodity markets, benchmark U.S. crude oil rose 78 cents to $82.20 a barrel. Brent crude, the global benchmark, gained $1.09 to $87.12 a barrel in London. The U.S. Energy Department said U.S. crude oil supplies rose by 2.1 million barrels last week, about 700,000 barrels below the expectations of analysts surveyed by Platts.

In other trading:
  • Wholesale gasoline rose 2.5 cents to $2.221 a gallon
  • Heating oil added 4.2 cents to $2.535 a gallon
  • Natural gas jumped 7.9 cents to $3.728 per 1,000 cubic feet

What to Watch Thursday:
  • At 8:30 a.m. Eastern time, the Commerce Department reports initial data for third-quarter gross domestic product, and the Labor Department reports weekly jobless claims.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen speaks at a diversity conference in Washington at 9 a.m.
These major companies are scheduled to release quarterly financial statements:
  • Altria Group (MO)
  • Avon Products (AVP)
  • Ball Corp. (BLL)
  • Barclays (BCS)
  • BorgWarner (BWA)
  • Boston Beer Co. (SAM)
  • Bunge (BG)
  • Cardinal Health (CAH)
  • Cigna (CI)
  • Columbia Sportswear (COLM)
  • ConocoPhillips (COP)
  • Diebold (DBD)
  • Enterprise Products Partners (EPD)
  • Expedia (EXPE)
  • GNC Holdings (GNC)
  • Groupon (GRPN)
  • Johnson Controls (JCI)
  • Kellogg Co. (K)
  • LinkedIn (LNKD)
  • Marathon Petroleum (MPC)
  • Mastercard (MA)
  • MGM Resorts International (MGM)
  • Mohawk Industries (MHK)
  • National Instruments (NATI)
  • New York Times Co. (NYT)
  • Newmont Mining (NEM)
  • Novo Nordisk (NVO)
  • Pitney Bowes (PBI)
  • Public Storage (PSA)
  • ServiceMaster (SERV)
  • Starbucks (SBUX)
  • Steven Madden (SHOO)
  • Tempur Sealy International (TPX)
  • Teva Pharmaceutical Industries (TEVA)
  • Thomson Reuters (TRI)
  • Time Warner Cable (TWC)
  • Western Union (WU)

 

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Should You Talk to Your Kids About Your Money Struggles?

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Let's say you're having some money troubles. Maybe your spouse has been laid off; maybe you're under a mountain of debt. Whatever the situation, it's affecting your whole family, but you're not sure how much information you should share with your children -- or if you should tell them anything about the situation at all. Here are the most common arguments, pro and con.

Disadvantages to Discussing Your Financial Struggles
  • Confusion. It could overwhelm your children.
  • Helplessness. It may put unnecessary stress and worry on their shoulders, given that there's not much action they can take about the situation.
  • Jumping to conclusions. They may worry about the family losing everything or becoming homeless.
  • Guilt. The situation isn't their fault, yet they may internalize the blame and feel guilty about anything you've purchased for them, thinking it contributed to the problem.
  • Growing up Fast. Kids need to be kids. It's your duty as a parent to shield them from negatives, and the family finances are none of their business.
Benefits of Having the "Money Talk"
  • Understanding. It helps your child grasp why they can't have certain things. A broad "because I said so" is frustrating, but if they know money is limited, and every purchase necessitates a trade-off against something else, they'll have more context and understanding for why they can't buy that toy or get that fast food meal.
  • Reverse role modeling. They can learn from your mistakes and how you overcome challenges. Seeing the stress you're under teaches them about consequences and dealing with adversity.
  • Applied financial lessons. It's an opportunity to teach them the building blocks of money management, like budgeting and saving.
  • Jumping to conclusions. Kids are smarter and stronger than we give them credit for. Chances are that your children can already sense that something's up. It's better to clue them in on some details than let their imaginations run wild with all sorts of horrible possibilities for why you're so stressed all the time.
The Verdict?

If your financial troubles are impacting your children, or they've begun to notice something is bothering you, it's time to be honest with them -- to a limited degree. How can you handle the conversation? I've prepared a free guide and want to highlight these points.

What to Say -- and What Not to Say
  • Give your child enough information to understand the basics. "Mommy lost her job, so we don't have as much money to spend right now" or "Daddy spent more than he earned, and now he needs to pay back his credit card debt."
  • Skip the gory details. They don't need to know exactly how much you owe, along with the interest rate and payment terms. Just provide enough information for your children to understand why money is tight right now. Younger kids obviously need only the bare minimum, while older children can handle more information -- and may actually benefit from it as a cautionary tale.
  • Don't scare your kids. There's no reason to tell them you're on the cusp of a foreclosure. Wait until you know whether or not you're actually getting foreclosed upon before you put that type of worry on their shoulders. Let them know that things are not great right now, but temper that information by also letting them know what you're doing to fix matters.
  • Let them know how they can help out. Children enjoy being helpful, and they'll appreciate the opportunity to pitch in. For instance, they could narrow down their list of birthday gifts.
Remember, kids are incredibly perceptive. They're curious about what's going on around them and they're excellent at picking up signs you're not being upfront with them. While no one wants to share bad news like money troubles with their kids, your children deserve to know what's happening and why. Honesty -- and carefully -- giving them some information is always the best policy.

Paula Pant ditched her 9-to-5 job in 2008. She's traveled to 32 countries, owns seven rental property units and runs a business from her laptop. Her blog, Afford Anything, is a gathering spot for rebels who refuse to say, "I can't afford it."

 

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The 2 Most Difficult Conversations I've Ever Had About Money

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Every one of us has had "aha! moments." Epiphanies. Days when we reach a crossroads and realize that we have to make some changes. For the next two months, we're sharing moments like those in our Life Stage Lessons series: Real stories straight from the financial lives of our DailyFinance contributors about times when they realized they were due for a serious course correction. So read on, learn from our mistakes, and get inspired to improve your relationship with your money.

My father died at the young age of 61. Not only was he my role model, but he was my best friend. I learned a lot from him, and I was not emotionally prepared for his death.

However, because my father planned and wasn't afraid to have difficult conversations, I was prepared to step up and handle the financial aspects of the situation. And his willingness to force those conversations helped me organize my own life.

The Conversation

My father's death resulted from complications of open-heart surgery. Before the surgery, my father brought me into his office and walked me through everything. In particular:
  • He showed me his trust, explained how it would work, and explained my responsibilities.
  • He walked me through his finances. He showed me the balances in the investment accounts, the 401(k) and the pensions. He walked me through his budget. He had also thought about what would happen to my mother, his high school sweetheart, and had prepared a budget that I could use as a guide.
  • He knew that if something bad happened, we would need easy access to cash in the short term (to pay for funeral, living and other expenses). He also knew that my mother would be in shock. So, he gave me a checkbook where my mother could just sign and have money deposited into my account, so that I could handle the short-term bills.
  • He wrote me a letter that I wasn't allowed to open until he went in for the surgery. Those details I won't share. But I still have the letter today.
I can't imagine how difficult that must have been for my father. He was a very optimistic person, and he was confident that he would make it through what was supposed to be a routine operation. But he cared enough about his wife and children that he organized everything in advance.

He Was Right

My mother was in shock. She had been with my father since they were teenagers, and the last thing she wanted to do was handle the finances. Although I was in my 20s, it was time for me to step up. And because my father had done such an excellent job preparing, I was able to do just that. My mother could mourn, and we didn't have to worry about where money for the funeral, groceries or gas would come from.

And, later, the budget and planning was incredibly useful. My father had a plan, and I was just helping my mother execute that plan. And my mother has been able to live a comfortable retirement, because he thought ahead.

And Then I Did the Same Thing

I realized that I had not made the same preparations. And I understood how selfish it was to not have a plan.

I think it scared my wife, but I sat down with her and made sure I walked through a complete plan in case something happened to me. We were only in our 20s, so I am sure she thought I was crazy. But the more unexpected the death, the greater the shock can be. And I just wanted my wife to know the details of my life insurance, 401(k) and other financial items so that she would have a similar checklist. The stress of death is great enough, and I never want my family to have that stress compounded with financial chaos.

These conversations are never easy. But, at some point, they have to be had. Even in death, my father was not selfish. He always wanted to take care of us, and forcing that conversation was a great gift to all of us.

Nick Clements is the co-founder of MagnifyMoney.com, a website that makes it easy to cut your costs without cutting your lifestyle. He spent nearly 15 years in consumer banking, and most recently he ran the largest credit card business in the U.K.

 

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FTC to Dating Site: No More Sales Come-Ons from Flirty Bots

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Looking for love in all the wrong places can take on a whole new set of complications when you're doing it online: A company called JDI Dating has allegedly been creating convincing-but-fake computer profiles which it used to entice people into signing up for paid memberships to its dating sites, and then charged those customers recurring monthly fees without their consent -- sometimes even after they cancelled.

But the Federal Trade Commission, protector of romance-seekers everywhere, called foul, and charged JDI with a host of regulatory violations -- the first time the agency had ever taken legal action against an online dating service. And Wednesday, the FTC announced a settlement with the England-based company.

Under a consent decree, JDI Dating has agreed to permanently end its practice of sending messages from its own fake users to real ones. Consumers who do purchase memberships will be told clearly about the recurring nature of the fees, and have a simple way to quit should they choose to. And, the company will fork over a $616,165 fine.

The owner of such sites as cupidswand.com, flirtcrowd.com and findmelove.com reportedly allowed consumers to set up free dating profiles with personal information and photos. Users with those free accounts would receive messages from people who appeared to be nearby. But only someone with a paid membership could reply to messages.

But the messages those free account-holders received "were almost always from fake, computer-generated profiles -- 'Virtual Cupids' -- created by the defendants, with photos and information designed to closely mimic the profiles of real people," according to the FTC. The only indication that such profiles didn't belong to genuine members was a vanishingly small "VC" icon. And the only explanation of what that tiny icon meant was "buried in a terms and conditions page," according to the FTC.

People would sign up for accounts that ranged from $10 to $30 a month, only to be disappointed when the "person" whose interest had encouraged them to join suddenly evaporated.

Fake profiles on dating sites are nothing new. One site, SeekingArrangement.com, told the New York Daily News that it has to remove 200 profiles a day from scammers looking to trick others out of money.

Then there's "catfishing," in which people set up fake accounts to trick someone in particular. A famous example was when Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o was duped by a nonexistent girlfriend, as the New York Times reported. Another was when "Criminal Minds" actor Thomas Gibson was duped by a catfisher, who got the married star to send her a video that then went up on the Web, as TMZ reported.

Creating fake profiles to lure consumers into paying for dating site memberships is just the latest twist on the concept. So remember, if the relationship doesn't pan out: It's not you, it's bot number 73927.

 

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Trade, Defense Spending Boost Third-Quarter Growth

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By Lucia Mutikani

WASHINGTON -- A smaller trade deficit and a surge in defense spending buoyed U.S. economic growth in the third quarter, but other details of Thursday's report hinted at some loss of momentum in activity.

Gross domestic product grew at a 3.5 percent annual rate, the Commerce Department said Thursday, beating economists' expectations for a 3 percent pace.

While the pace of growth in business investment, housing and consumer spending slowed from the second quarter, all those categories contributed to growth.

"The report was broadly constructive, with the gains broadly based and pointing to positive underlying momentum in the U.S. economy," said Millan Mulraine, deputy chief economist at TD Securities in New York.

"However, with some indications of weakness emerging in housing and consumption spending, we expect the pace of growth to slip further in the fourth quarter."

Despite decelerating from the second quarter's brisk 4.6 percent pace, it was the fourth quarter out of five that the economy has expanded at or above a 3.5 percent clip.

A separate report from the Labor Department showed first-time applications for unemployment benefits rose modestly last week, but remained at levels consistent with firming labor market conditions.

The data came one day after the Federal Reserve ended its asset purchasing program. Fed officials said there was sufficient underlying strength in the broader economy.

The dollar extended gains against the euro and the yen, while prices for U.S. Treasury debt trimmed gains.

The narrower trade deficit reflected a plunge in imports, which fell at their fastest pace since the fourth quarter of 2012. That was largely attributed to a drop in oil imports.

Trade added 1.32 percentage points to growth. Although there are concerns a strengthening dollar and slowing euro zone and Chinese economies will crimp U.S. export growth, economists believe the impact will be marginal.

Government spending was also a boost, with defense spending rising at a 16 percent rate, its fastest pace since the second quarter of 2009.

One of the few areas that was a drag on growth was inventories, which subtracted 0.57 percentage point from GDP after adding 1.42 percentage points in the second quarter.

Business Spending Slows

Growth in business investment slowed in the third quarter, with spending on equipment rising at only a 7.2 percent rate. Economists had expected a second straight quarter of double-digit growth.

Business spending on structures and intellectual property products also slowed. Data on Tuesday suggested further moderation in the pace of equipment investment in the fourth quarter, but it is still expected to remain strong enough to keep the economy on a higher growth pace.

While growth in consumer spending decelerated to a 1.8 percent pace from the second-quarter's 2.5 percent pace, it still contributed 1.22 percentage points to GDP growth.

Consumer spending accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity.

The moderate pace of consumer spending helped keep inflation pressures under wraps during the quarter.

A price index in the GDP report rose at a 1.2 percent rate in the third quarter after advancing at a 2.3 percent pace in the prior period. A core price measure that strips out food and energy costs increased at only a 1.4 percent pace, slowing sharply from the second quarter's 2 percent rate.

Declining gasoline prices and accelerating job growth, which is expected to lift wages, will provide tailwinds for consumer spending in the fourth quarter.

 

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Murky Labeling on Shrimp a Raw Deal for U.S. Consumers

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By CAIN BURDEAU

NEW ORLEANS -- Consumers around the nation can't be sure what kind of shrimp they're buying if they simply look at the label or menu at supermarkets, grocers and restaurants, an advocacy group says.

Oceana did a DNA-based survey of shrimp sold at outlets in New York City; Washington, D.C.; Portland, Oregon; and various spots around the Gulf of Mexico.

The group said it found about 30 percent of 143 shrimp products bought from 111 vendors weren't what the label said. Cheap imported farm-raised shrimp is being sold as prized wild-caught Gulf shrimp, common shrimp sold as premium shrimp and shrimp of all kinds sold with no indication whatsoever about where they came from, the group said.

Oceana is urging Congress and regulators to enforce proper labeling.

The group acknowledged that the survey was but a small sample, but said the survey using DNA techniques is the first of its kind. The group did a similar survey last year for fish and made similar findings. A laboratory tested each sample to identify what kind of shrimp each was by species.

"It was a first good look at shrimp," said Kimberly Warner, a marine scientist with Oceana. She went out and obtained many of the samples.

Misleading and illegal labeling of food is considered a major problem among food purists because it cheats consumers and puts them at risk of tainted foods, hurts honest vendors and tarnishes an industry's product. The report said that because of mislabeling, consumers are not guaranteed they are eating shrimp that meets high, chemical-free standards.

Oceana said it found bad labeling on shrimp sold at national and regional supermarkets and smaller grocery stores alike. It also said restaurants of all kinds, from national chains to high-dollar eateries, were selling shrimp with poor labeling.

Oceana declined to provide the names of the vendors it obtained the samples from. Dustin Cranor, an Oceana spokesman, said the company didn't want to identify individual vendors because "fraud can happen at any point in the supply chain."

No Surprise

The group's report came as no surprise to fishermen and others involved in the shrimp industry.

"I've been shouting this for ages from the rooftop," said Kimberly Chauvin, who runs a family shrimp business with fishing boats and docks in Chauvin, Louisiana.

She said shrimp mislabeling has gotten worse in recent decades, and coincided with a growing appetite for shrimp among Americans. For more than a decade, shrimp has become the nation's most popular seafood, according to federal data. The craving for shrimp has been accompanied by a major uptick in imported farm-raised shrimp, which are considered inferior to shrimp caught in the open ocean.

Chauvin said mislabeling will get worse unless regulators "start handing out big fines" to companies that break the Food and Drug Administration's labeling laws.

The Oceana survey found the worst labeling of shrimp taking place in New York City. The group found few problems in Portland but more widespread misrepresentation in Washington and the Gulf.

Jerald Horst, a Louisiana seafood writer and former state fisheries specialist, said mislabeling runs rampant in the seafood industry. He said many of the big vendors want to keep the status quo -- in other words, lackluster enforcement of labeling.

"There's a lot of pressure from the major institutions for them not to do it," Horst said. "They want the freedom to do 'creative marketing.'"

Lauren Sucher, an FDA spokeswoman, said mislabeling is illegal and pointed out that the agency inspects and enforces labeling laws.

 

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Number of Billionaires Doubles Since Financial Crisis

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By Katie Holliday | @hollidaykatie

The super-rich club has become less exclusive, with the amount of billionaires doubling since the financial crisis, according to a report from global charity Oxfam.

There were 1,645 billionaires globally as of March 2014, according to Forbes data cited in the Oxfam report, up from 793 in March 2009.

Oxfam honed in on this figure to highlight the growing gap between the world's rich and poor. Hundreds of millions of people live in abject poverty without health care or education, while the super-rich continue to amass levels of wealth they may never be able to spend.

Far from being a driver of economic growth, extreme inequality is a barrier to prosperity for most people on the planet.

The report "Even it Up: Time to End Extreme Inequality" noted that the world's richest 85 people saw their wealth jump by a further $668 million a day collectively between 2013 and 2014, which equates to half a million dollars a minute.

In January Oxfam issued a report highlighting that the world's 85 richest people's collective wealth is equal to that the poorest half of the world's population.

"Far from being a driver of economic growth, extreme inequality is a barrier to prosperity for most people on the planet," said Winnie Byanyima, international executive director of Oxfam.

"Inequality hinders growth, corrupts politics, stifles opportunity and fuels instability while deepening discrimination, especially against women," she added.

The Oxfam report is the opening salvo of a fresh Oxfam campaign -- Even it Up -- which aims to push world leaders into helping ensure the poorest people get a fairer deal.

"Action is needed to clamp down on tax dodging carried out by multinational corporations and the world's richest individuals," the authors of the report added.

Oxfam suggests a levy of 1.5 percent on billionaire's wealth over $1 billion would raise $74 billion, which would generate enough each year to get every child into school and deliver health care in the poorest countries.

 

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Apple CEO Tim Cook Comes Out, Says 'I'm Proud To Be Gay'

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Brynn Anderson/APApple chief executive and Alabama native Tim Cook laughs with a group before an Alabama Academy of Honor ceremony at the state Capitol on Monday.
By MICHELLE CHAPMAN

NEW YORK -- Apple CEO Tim Cook says he's proud to be gay.

The public declaration, in an essay written for Bloomberg Businessweek, makes Cook the highest-profile business CEO to come out as gay.

Cook said that while he never denied his sexuality, he never publicly acknowledged it, either. The executive said that for years he's been open with many people about his sexual orientation and that plenty of his Apple colleagues know he is gay.

Cook wrote in the column, published Thursday, that it wasn't an easy choice to publicly disclose that he is gay, but that he felt the acknowledgement could help others.

I consider being gay among the greatest gifts God has given me.

"I've come to realize that my desire for personal privacy has been holding me back from doing something more important," he wrote.

Three days ago, Cook challenged his home state of Alabama to better ensure the rights of the lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender community.

Alabama is among the states that do not recognize same-sex marriage, and it also doesn't offer legal protections on the basis of sexual orientation or gender identity. Cook is a native of Robertsdale, Alabama, and attended Auburn University.

The announcement is a "huge deal," said Richard Metheny of executive search firm Witt/Kieffer.

"This really sets the stage for 'It's OK,' " he said. "Anything CEOs do is very magnified, very complicated, and it affects a lot of people. There's no taking away that he has become a role model and will have a positive influence on lots of people that would like to be comfortable being out in the world of business."

"I consider being gay among the greatest gifts God has given me," Cook wrote in the essay Thursday.

The executive said that "being gay has given me a deeper understanding of what it means to be in the minority and provided a window into the challenges that people in other minority groups deal with every day."

'Inclusion Inspires Innovation'

Cook said he's been lucky to work for a company that "loves creativity and innovation and knows it can only flourish when you embrace people's differences."

Cook, 53, succeeded Apple founder Steve Jobs as CEO of Apple (AAPL) in 2011.

Apple has been an outspoken champion for diversity since Cook succeeded Jobs as CEO. The company has trumpeted the phrase, "Inclusion inspires innovation," as a rallying cry. Cook has reinforced that message on his Twitter account with periodic posts supporting gay rights in the workplace.

Cook's public declaration that he is gay comes a little more than two months after Robert Hanson -- the former CEO of American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) -- wrote a piece for Time in which he talked about being an openly gay man for as long as he's been in business and running companies.

Hanson is currently the CEO of luxury jewelry brand John Hardy.

There are no other publicly gay CEOs of major companies. United Therapeutics (UTHR) CEO Martine Rothblatt, who was born male and is now female, has been open about her transgender status.

-AP Technology Writer Mae Anderson contributed to this report from New York.

 

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Third-Quarter GDP Growth Decelerating

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CowsThe U.S. Commerce Department has released its first read on real gross domestic product (GDP) for the third quarter of 2014, showing that GDP rose at an annual rate of 3.5%. Bloomberg was calling for a consensus of 3.0%, and the Dow Jones consensus estimate was 3.1%. The price index rose by 1.3% in the third quarter, which was just shy of the 1.4% consensus estimate from Bloomberg.

Positive contributions were seen in personal consumption expenditures (PCE), exports, federal government spending, state and local government spending and nonresidential fixed investment. These gains were offset by a negative contribution from private inventory investment. The Commerce Department said that imports, a subtraction in the GDP calculation, fell in the third quarter.

Final sales of domestic product rose by 4.2% in the third quarter, after a gain of 3.2% in the second quarter. Final sales to domestic purchasers were up by 2.7% in the third quarter, versus 3.4% in the second quarter.

On the pricing component, the chain-weighted price index showed decelerating growth with its 1.3% in the third quarter, versus 2.1% in the second quarter. Also, core chain index on an ex-food and energy basis rose by 1.6% in the third quarter, versus 1.8% in the second quarter.

An official quote said:

The deceleration in the percent change in real GDP reflected a downturn in private inventory investment and decelerations in PCE, in nonresidential fixed investment, in exports, in state and local government spending, and in residential fixed investment that were partly offset by a downturn in imports and an upturn in federal government spending.

The numbers might have been far worse without Uncle Sam. The Commerce Department said:

Real federal government consumption expenditures and gross investment increased 10.0 percent in the third quarter, in contrast to a decrease of 0.9 percent in the second. National defense increased 16.0 percent, compared with an increase of 0.9 percent. Nondefense increased 0.5 percent, in contrast to a decrease of 3.8 percent. Real state and local government consumption expenditures and gross investment increased 1.3 percent, compared with an increase of 3.4 percent.

In the second quarter, real GDP increased by 4.6%. As with all first projections of GDP, the BEA reminded investors that the third-quarter advance estimate released Thursday is based on source data that are incomplete or subject to further revision. The second estimate for the third-quarter GDP will be released on November 25, 2014.

Equity futures were still down handily on Thursday morning, but they were off the pre-GDP lows. The DJIA futures had been down close to 80 points before the data, and they were down 53 points about 15 minutes after the GDP release.

ALSO READ: States Where Poverty Is Worse Than You Think

 

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4 Clever Chains That Turned Low-Brow Eats into Cuisine

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www.buffalowildwings.com
There was a time when a family wouldn't dare enter a sports bar. There was a time when coffee was cheap bean water you got for pocket change at a greasy-spoon diner. Let's not even get into how ho-hum sandwiches and burritos used to be.

All of that has changed, and it's often been a single company that reshaped public perceptions. Let's take a look at four of the more prominent publicly traded disruptors and innovators in the restaurant industry.

Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)

Before Chipotle came on the scene, burritos were mostly limited to cheap fast-food varieties or served at casual-dining joints where they raved about their margaritas while you put up with a strolling mariachi band. Chipotle changed all that, and the market darling fueled the fast-casual revolution that continues to thrive to this day.

The chain, which now boasts 1,724 restaurants, is growing at a frenetic pace. Revenue and earnings climbed 31 percent and 56 percent, respectively, over the prior year in its most recent quarter. Expansion and a jaw-dropping 19.8 percent spike in comparable-restaurant sales helped drive that growth. A springtime menu pricing increase is a factor in the surge, but what's even more important is that folks continue to line up for its food despite the chain's first substantial price hike in three years.

Starbucks (SBUX)

Howard Schultz was inspired by Italian coffee bars and the romance of the European brews. He took the small Starbucks chain, transformed it, and premium coffee will never be the same.

Starbucks has grown to 20,863 locations, with 13,912 in the U.S. It expects to add another 1,600 stores next year.

We can either blame Starbucks for the pumpkin spice and iced coffee crazes, or we can embrace its success. Starbucks made coffee cool, and its recent expansions find it trying to do the same thing for tea, juice bar concoctions and other beverages.

Panera Bread (PNRA)

Panera Bread got its start as the Saint Louis Bread Company, and was acquired by Au Bon Pain before breaking out as a solo act. Bakeries and sandwich shops weren't terribly appealing as major national chains outside of submarine sandwich concepts, but Panera Bread found a way to make the old-school staples of sandwiches and soups seem cool to mainstream audiences.

Panera Bread's growth has slowed lately. Competition has started to heat up, and analysts see flattish profit growth for all of 2014. It still helped change and shape the fast-casual industry, though, even if it hasn't been at its best lately.

Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD)

Sports bars are often mom-and-pop chains that rally behind the home team. Buffalo Wild Wings has changed all that by using franchisees and company-owned locations to rapidly expand its family-friendly venues that specialize in chicken wings. Families and sports fans are surrounded by TVs broadcasting live sports. This isn't the kind of environment that's been historically child-friendly, but then again you won't find too many sports bars prominently showcasing their children's menu, as Buffalo Wild Wings does.

The approach is paying off. Shares soared on Tuesday after another blowout quarter, with revenue and net earnings soaring 18 percent and 22 percent, respectively. Same-store sales increased 6 percent at its company-owned locations and 5.7 percent at franchised eateries, but that's not a surprise. Since stumbling during 2010, comps have clocked in higher for 15 consecutive quarters.

Motley Fool contributor Rick Munarriz has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Buffalo Wild Wings, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Panera Bread and Starbucks. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. To feast on our favorite high-yielding dividend stock ideas for any investor, check out our free report.

 

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Sirius Earnings Analysis: By the Numbers

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SiriusXM's The Jason Ellis Show Live From Hooters In New York
Getty Images for SiriusXM
Radio service company SiriusXM Holdings (SIRI) reported a better-than-expected 9.9 percent rise in quarterly revenue on the back of strong US auto sales and a 1.2 million jump in paying subscribers so far in 2014.

New car buyers whose vehicles are equipped with Sirius hardware get free access for a few months, but then have to pay if they want to keep the service. Sirius's paying subscribers rose 4.5 percent in the third quarter to 26.7 million, with a net of 433,000 added during the quarter. With approximately 68 million in factory-enabled vehicles in operation at the end of the third quarter, Sirius finished the quarter with about 28 percent of the vehicles on the road. Looking only at new cars, their penetration rate as of September 30, 2014, was 71.5 percent, up 2.8 percent from the third quarter of 2013.

Sirius had total revenue of $1 billion in the quarter ended September 30, 2014, up 10 percent from $962 million during the same period last year. By strictly managing cash operating expenses to just a 1.5 percent increase compared to the same period last year, operating margins widened to 45.3 percent, up from 35.7 percent in the same period last year.

This earnings release follows the earnings announcements from the following peers of Sirius XM: Gannett (GCI), iHeartMedia (IHRT) and Pandora Media (P).

Highlights
o. Summary numbers: Revenues of $1.1 billion, Net Earnings of $136.2 million and Earnings per Share (EPS) of $0.02.
o. Performance focus on profits: Rise in earnings of 116.5 percent compared to the same time last year, better than increase in revenues of 9.94 percent
o. Gross margins now 61.8 percent from 65.0 percent compared to the same period last year, operating margins improved to 45.3 percent from 35.7 percent
o. Change in operating cash flow of -2.03 percent compared to the third quarter of 2013, trailed earnings change
o. Earnings growth from operating margin improvements as well as from one-time accounting items



The table below shows the preliminary results and recent trends for key metrics such as revenues and net income (See complete table at the end of this report):
Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
Revenue Growth (YOY) 10.9% 12.1% 11.2% 10.1% 9.9%
Earnings Growth (YOY) 34.7% -82.8% -24.0% -4.4% 116.5%
Net Margin 6.5% 6.6% 9.4% 11.6% 12.9%
EPS $0.01 $0.01 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02
Return on Equity 8.3% 9.4% 13.7% 22.8% 41.0%
Return on Assets 2.8% 3.0% 4.3% 5.5% 6.4%

Market Share Versus Profits

Capital Cube looks at revenue growth to understand a company's ability to grow its market share, and earnings growth to look at the company's ability to generate earnings, as companies sometimes increase market share at the expense of profitability.




Sirius's rise in revenue compared to the same period last year of 9.9 percent trailed its earnings' rise of 116.5 percent. The company's performance this period suggests an effort to boost profits. While this is obviously good, the fact that the company's revenue performance is below the average of its peers, may not bode well from a long-term market share perspective. Also, for comparison purposes, revenues increased by 2.1 percent and earnings by 13.5 percent compared to the quarter ending June 30, 2014.


Earnings Growth Analysis

The company's gross margins declined from 65.0 percent to 61.8 percent. In spite of this, the company's earnings went up -- influenced primarily by the improvement in operating margins (EBITDA margins) from 35.7 percent to 45.3 percent. (In the second quarter, gross margins were 62.0 percent and operating margins 34.0 percent.)



Operating Cash Flow Versus Earnings: Sustainable Performance?

Capital Cube goes behind the numbers to see if a company's performance is sustainable, as companies often post earnings numbers that are influenced by non-cash activities. To measures the quality of the reported earnings, Capital Cube examines the growth in earnings against the growth in operating cash flows. In general, an earnings growth rate that is higher than the operating cash flow growth rate, implies a higher proportion of non-operating, or accounting, activities. These activities are typically not sustainable or repeatable over time.



Sirius's change in operating cash flow of -2.03 percent, compared to last year, trailed its rise in earnings, suggesting that the earnings number might have benefited from some accounting efforts to unlock accruals. On a positive note, compared to its peers, the operating cash flow change was better than the average results announced to date.


Margins

The company's earnings growth has also been influenced by the following factors: (1) Improvements in EBIT margins from 29.6 percent to 39.2 percent and (2) accounting items. Sirius's pretax margins widened to 21.3 percent, compared to 12.9 percent for the same period last year.



Earnings Growth Versus Competitors

Sirius's 100.0 increase in Earnings per Share (EPS) compared to last year is less than its 116.5 percent increase in earnings. Sirius's earnings performance is better than the average of the results announced thus far by its peer group, leading Capital Cube to conclude that the company is gaining ground in generating profits compared to its competitors.





Supporting Data

The table below shows the preliminary results along with the recent trend for revenues, net income and other relevant metrics:
Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
Revenue Growth (YOY) 10.9% 12.1% 11.2% 10.1% 9.9%
Peer Average Revenue Growth (YOY) 5.4% 6.0% 12.3% 11.1% 12.6%
Earnings Growth (YOY) 34.7% -82.8% -24.0% -4.4% 116.5%
Peer Average Earnings Growth (YOY) -70.8% -36.7% -33.7% -27.5% 17.9%
Gross Margin 65.0% 60.4% 60.9% 62.0% 61.8%
Peer Average Gross Margin 53.7% 53.5% 50.5% 53.8% 54.6%
EBITDA Margin 35.7% 30.6% 31.6% 34.0% 45.3%
Peer Average EBITDA Margin 23.1% 27.2% 19.5% 26.8% 26.3%
Net Margin 6.5% 6.6% 9.4% 11.6% 12.9%
Peer Average Net Margin 2.7% 5.5% -5.3% 3.1% 3.7%
EPS $0.01 $0.01 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02
Peer Average EPS $0.00 $0.03 -$0.06 -$0.02 $0.01
Return on Equity 8.3% 9.4% 13.7% 22.8% 41.0%
Peer Average Return on Equity 8.3% 9.4% 8.1% 22.8% 15.3%
Return on Assets 2.8% 3.0% 4.3% 5.5% 6.4%
Peer Average Return on Assets 0.6% 3.7% -4.4% 0.2% 2.0%

Company Profile
Sirius XM Radio, Inc. provides satellite radio broadcasting services. It operates through its wholly owned subsidiary Sirius XM Radio, Inc. Sirius XM creates and broadcasts commercial-free music, premier sports and live events, news and comedy and talk programming in radio. The company also provides telematics and connected vehicles services, providing safety, security and convenience services to a host of major automotive manufacturers. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

CapitalCube does not own any shares in the stocks mentioned and focuses solely on providing unique fundamental research and analysis on approximately 50,000 stocks and ETFs globally. Try any of our analysis, screener or portfolio premium services free for 7 days. To get a quick preview of our services, check out our free quick summary analysis of SIRI.

 

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Walmart Tests Matching Prices With Online Rivals

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walmart price match
Jacquelyn Martin/AP
BY ANNE D'INNOCENZIO

NEW YORK -- Walmart Stores (WMT) is considering matching online prices from competitors such as Amazon.com (AMZN), raising the stakes for the holiday shopping season.

The world's largest retailer, based in Bentonville, Arkansas, has matched prices of local store competitors but hasn't followed other retailers including Best Buy (BBY) and Target (TGT) in matching prices of online rivals. But last month, Walmart started to test the strategy in five markets: Atlanta; Charlotte, North Carolina; Dallas; Phoenix; and northwest Arkansas.

The move was first reported by The Wall Street Journal on Thursday.

Walmart is trying to rev up sluggish sales in the U.S. as it battles competition from online retailers, dollar stores and drugstores. At the same time, it's also dealing with a slowly recovering economy that hasn't benefited its low-income shoppers. As a result, Walmart's U.S. namesake stores, which account for 60 percent of its total business, haven't reported growth in a key sales measure in six straight quarters.

But matching prices from sellers that don't have the costs associated with running brick-and-mortar stores could also hurt profits.

Walmart's move underscores how stores are being forced to step up their game for the holiday shopping season, which accounts for about 20 percent of retail industry's annual sales. The National Retail Federation, the nation's largest retail trade group, forecasts a 4.1 percent sales increase to $616.9 billion for November and December from last year. But online sales, which are included in the forecast, are expected to increase anywhere from 8 percent to 11 percent.

Overall, stores need to ply shoppers with deals and free shipping to win their money. Target announced this month that it's offering free shipping on all items for the holiday season until Dec. 20.

As for Walmart's price-matching policy, Deisha Barnett, a Walmart spokeswoman, says many store managers have matched online prices for customers on a case-by-case basis.

"Taking care of the customers who shop our stores is what we always aim to do," she added.

Walmart has been trying to reclaim its role as the low price leader. This year, it rolled out an online tool called Savings Catcher that compares prices on thousands of products with those of some of its store competitors. If the tool finds a lower price elsewhere, it refunds the difference to shoppers in the form of a store credit. That's different from traditional price matching because Savings Catcher does the work for the customer.

Walmart told investors earlier this month that since the national launch in August, it's had more than 5 million people using the tool and almost 3 percent of all receipts are submitted through the application.

Walmart has matched advertised prices from competitors' physical stores for several years. In 2011, it simplified the policy by making sure workers have the advertised prices of competitors on hand at the register, eliminating the need for shoppers to bring in an ad from a rival store.

 

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Rate for 30-Year Mortgages Creeps Up, but Remains Below 4%

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Mortgage Rates
Lenny Ignelzi/AP
WASHINGTON -- Average U.S. long-term mortgage rates arrested their five-week decline this week but the benchmark 30-year loan remained below 4 percent.

Mortgage company Freddie Mac said Thursday the nationwide average for a 30-year mortgage rose to 3.98 percent from 3.92 percent last week. It remained at its lowest level since June 2013. The rate stood at 4.53 percent back in January.

The average for a 15-year mortgage, a popular choice for people who are refinancing, increased to 3.13 percent from 3.08 percent.

The sustained decline in long-term rates sparked a boomlet of homeowners looking to refinance mortgages. Homeowners eager for a bargain rate fired off inquiries to lenders. Applications for "re-fi's" jumped 23 percent in the week ended Oct. 17 -- reaching their highest level since November 2013, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

But refinance applications fell 7 percent in the latest week, ended Oct. 24.

In recent weeks concern over global economic weaknesses brought market turmoil and sent investors seeking safety by pouring money into U.S. Treasurys. Higher demand drives up prices for those government bonds and causes their yields to drop. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note touched new lows. Mortgage rates often follow the yield in the 10-year note.

This week, the 10-year note rose to 2.32 percent Wednesday from 2.22 percent the previous week. The note traded at 2.29 percent Thursday morning.

To calculate average mortgage rates, Freddie Mac surveys lenders across the country between Monday and Wednesday each week. The average doesn't include extra fees, known as points, which most borrowers must pay to get the lowest rates. One point equals 1 percent of the loan amount.
  • The average fee for a 30-year mortgage was unchanged from last week at 0.5 point. The fee for a 15-year mortgage also remained at 0.5 point.
  • The average rate on a five-year adjustable-rate mortgage rose to 2.94 percent from 2.91 percent. The fee was steady at 0.5 point.
  • For a one-year ARM, the average rate edged up to 2.43 percent from to 2.41 percent. The fee held at 0.4 point.

 

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